The Price Of Leather Is Decreasing, And &Nbsp Will Be Ready.
Now, the price of raccoon skin is 20 yuan higher than that before the Spring Festival. Many owners are optimistic about this year's market.
In recent years, when the public is optimistic about a certain market, the market is always at the top. The price rise is only an extension of the price rise years ago, and it does not mean that the price will remain firm this year.
With the possibility of increasing interest rates, prices will be further reduced.
First of all, the state is regulating the real estate industry. By controlling real estate, CPI can be reduced. The speculation of inflation expectations will gradually disappear. These may happen in the second half of the year. Most of the fur animals take the skin at the end of the year, just as the whole price level is falling.
Secondly, last year, many farmers saw that the price was high and a lot of them were left. This year's listing is obviously higher than that of last year. Last year, the price of fur has gone up and has a specific environment. This year the special environment has changed. Last year is the minimum years of fur market in the past few years. The price of raw leather market has been reduced to a relatively low level through a few years' low price plus consumption of consumption. This has created the quantity factor for the price rise, and the inflation expectation has promoted the fur price to rise.
Neither of these two points exists this year. There is no reason why prices should maintain high growth. Therefore, the price drop is inevitable.
The most important thing for farmers to consider this year is the opportunity to sell leather rather than the price. Because of the high price in the first half of the year, it is recommended that the growers should take the initiative and get out of the skin early.
This year
China's economy
There are many uncertain factors for development. If there is an economic downturn, the price downturn will continue for some time.
The production cost of this year has increased considerably compared with that of last year. A few days ago, the news said that because of the rise in oil prices, some fishing boats prefer to wait for the second half of the year to go to sea, nor do they want to go to sea at the risk of high oil prices, which is necessary to raise the price of fish.
There are indications that when the farmers are returning funds, the cost of Chinese fur production has increased greatly last year because of the increase in the price of raw leather, which has a certain impact on sales.
From the economic point of view, there are not many phenomena of hoarding, and now the skins are basically in the circulation channel. The business risk of the leather merchants will expand in the second half of the year. If the shipment can not be completed smoothly in the second half or the first half of the year, the loss of the new leather will be huge.
There is an inference that the price of new leather will be loose before listing, and this year will not be an exception.
Farmers generally do not want to see the price of leather fall. Last year, I repeatedly advised farmers not to expand the group and put the money in useful places, such as raising the level of mechanization.
In the mail exchange, some netizens said that there can be very few mechanized fields now. I say it is because it is necessary and possible for fewer people to implement them. If labor costs are increased, it is unnecessary to say that your production costs will increase. Plus the price drop, the difficulty of making money will not be increased. Mechanization is a trend.
Editor's note: in the past, industrialization seems to be bigger and more aquaculture. In fact, small and medium-sized farmers can joint-venture to establish related facilities. This is much more profitable than simply investing in farming. For example, a few people invest in cold storage, one is storing leather and feed, the other two is the industry outside the main business, adhere to the two way to walk, and reduce business risks. In short, it is essential to think about how to do it concretely, not to hang on a tree, saving time, saving paction costs and increasing revenue.
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