Analysis Of The Real Estate Industry At The Present Stage
In the past 10 years, real estate has been the main industry to stimulate the growth of GDP in the country and the place. It is closely related to the level of national economic development and closely related to the life of the people. Therefore, real estate is a very important and extremely popular topic.
Recently, a lot of policies related to real estate have been promulgated by the state, which has made the whole housing market fluctuate very fiercely, and there are many opportunities for investment and speculation.
Learning to study real estate allows us to have more judgement on investment real estate stocks and real property, and help us open the door to wealth.
The study of real estate should be analyzed from four different levels of macroeconomics, policy, industry and enterprise, and the analysis and comparison of supply and demand should be assisted.
I. macroeconomic analysis
Only by grasping the general direction of macroeconomic development can we grasp the general trend of the real estate market.
Macroeconomic analysis includes gross national economic analysis, national economic structure analysis and economic dynamic analysis.
The basic indicators to evaluate the macroeconomic situation include national economic indicators, investment indicators, consumption indicators, financial indicators and financial indicators.
We should analyze the impact and direction of macroeconomic indicators on real estate, and also understand that China's housing market is not mature enough to deviate from the macro economy.
Two, policy analysis
China's housing market and stock market are all influenced by policies, so macroeconomic policy and industry policy are the focus of the study.
Macroeconomic policies include fiscal policy, monetary policy and income policy. Industrial policies include industrial structure policy, industrial organization policy, industrial technology policy and industrial layout policy.
Understand the policies that have been promulgated and pay close attention to the new policies.
Three. Industry analysis
The development stage and investment risk of the industry will have a common impact on the industry, so industry analysis is the prerequisite for the analysis of the enterprises.
The rise and fall of the industry will be affected by technological progress, industrial policies and organizational innovation, changes in social habits and international division of labor.
Industry analysis generally includes market structure analysis, life cycle analysis and industry chain analysis. It can be studied by means of historical data, investigation, induction, deduction and comparison.
Four, enterprise analysis
Whether buying or selling real estate or investing in stocks, they must know enough about the company, otherwise they will face great risks in the future.
Analysis of an enterprise includes its industry status, economic location, production, operation, profitability and growth and other aspects of the analysis.
Annual reports, important notices, and securities analysts' reports are important sources of analysis.
Five, comparative analysis of supply and demand
The change of supply and demand power is the quantification of changes in macroeconomics, policies, industries and enterprises, and is clearly manifested through the fluctuation of stock prices, market prices and volume in the housing market.
The analysis of the change of price and volume is called technical analysis. It is based on past market behavior, and applies mathematics and logic to explore some typical change rules so as to predict the future price trend.
Six. Psychological analysis of buying and selling
There are greed and fear shortcomings in general human nature, which will have a great impact on the purchase and sale in the capital market.
If you want to make a profit in a rise or fall, you must understand the psychological changes of the public, try to figure out your opponent's thoughts, and control your emotions at the same time.
If you want to harvest in a long-term paction, you need to know what your personality can do. You can invest as strongly as Buffett, or you can speculate around like Soros, but you must be the best for yourself.
Seven, others
Real estate involves a wide range of fields, and the contents and methods of analysis are changing with each passing day.
If we want to do a good job in real estate, we must constantly adhere to the above basic analysis and constantly supplement and improve our own analysis system with new knowledge.
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