Experts: Foreign Trade Exports Will Maintain A Relatively Stable Growth Trend 2

European debt crisis and labor costs rise and other factors superimposed. There are uncertainties in the trend of foreign trade.

However, the import and export trade that is accelerating recovery is not always smooth.

Overall, European sovereignty.

Zhang Haiyuan, a researcher at the Ministry of Commerce, said that the European sovereign debt crisis is still continuing, and that the recovery is not strong because of the huge fiscal deficit and the risk of inflation.

In the coming months, with the deepening of the sovereign debt crisis in Europe, the negative effects on China's foreign trade export will gradually appear.

Look at the domestic market, because of the superposition of labor costs, raw materials and other factors such as the rising cost of RMB exchange rate and other factors, let some foreign trade enterprises "go on thin ice".

Sun Qinglin, a manager of Li Shen in Tianjin, has hung the RMB exchange rate change on the desk. "The RMB exchange rate has increased by one percentage point, and export profits will at least drop by more than 20%," he said.

Chen Jinshan, deputy general manager of Shaanxi Xi'an standard industrial joint stock company, also admitted that under the influence of the appreciation of exchange rate expectations, the days were equally gingerly.

For most textile enterprises, the pressure on RMB appreciation is only 5%.

At the same time, trade protectionism has become more prominent and the international trade environment has deteriorated in the main economic sectors of Europe and the United States, where unemployment remains high, residents' income prospects are uncertain and overcapacity is still widespread.

In fact, from the beginning of June, China's foreign trade is slowing down.

Customs statistics show that in June, China's import and export value was 254 billion 770 million US dollars, an increase of 39.2%, an increase of nearly 4 percentage points lower than that in 1-6 months.

Export growth in June dropped by 4.6 percentage points over the previous month.

"Taking all these factors into consideration, we can conclude that the export situation of enterprises in the second half of this year is not optimistic, and the export growth will gradually narrow down, and the trend will be higher and lower.

"Long Guoqiang, Minister of Foreign Economic Research of the State Council Development Research Center, said.

The competitiveness of China's export products still exists.

Facing the complex and changeable international and domestic environment and maintaining stable development of foreign trade, "structural adjustment" has become the top priority.

Zhang Yansheng said that at present, it has entered a new stage of "practicing internal strength".

We should actively promote the pformation and upgrading of processing trade, vigorously develop trade in services, and improve the technological content, added value and competitiveness of foreign trade.

Analysis of the current trend of foreign trade, some changes are "commendable".

First, the export of mechanical and electrical products has become a highlight.

In the first half of this year, China's mechanical and electrical products exported 417 billion US dollars, an increase of 35.9%, which is 0.7 percentage points higher than that of China's total export growth in the same period, accounting for 59.1% of the total export value of China in the same period.

At present, China's mechanical and electrical industry supporting system is relatively complete, especially the complete sets of equipment, large single machine, ship and so on, has strong competitiveness in the international market.

The two is to accelerate the export of emerging markets such as ASEAN, India and Brazil.

In the first June of this year, ASEAN was the fourth largest trading partner of China, but bilateral trade volume has reached Japan. Of these, ASEAN's exports to ASEAN increased by 45.4%, 20 percentage points higher than that of Japan.

Before June, Brazil had jumped to the tenth largest trading partner in China, and I increased 103.7% to Pakistan's exports, ranking first among all major trading partners.

In addition, in the field of textile, clothing and machinery manufacturing export, some enterprises are actively planning to invest, build factories, produce and sell abroad, build their own marketing channels and distribution bases, and re arrange the global production and operation system.

"Investment driven exports" are being valued by many enterprises.

Looking forward to the second half of this year, insiders pointed out that despite many uncertainties, our country