Japan'S Trade Policy Toward China Has Reached A Turning Point. China Should Be Highly Vigilant.

His judgment is based on the following two developments:

According to the news of Japanese economic news, which was quoted by domestic media in July 28th, the Ministry of finance of Japan plans to adjust the "GSP" from 2011 on the trade of goods for developing countries, from the current limit of 20% to 10%~15% for every developing country.

As China is Japan's largest source of imports, China's commodities are expected to bear the brunt of the biggest blow.

In July 19th, according to the Information Office of the Embassy of Japan, the Japanese Ministry of economy and Commerce recently decided to relax the conditions for applying for anti-dumping investigations.

Prior to this, Japanese enterprises should apply for more than 50% of the relevant industry's approval, and the percentage of calculating denominator is the sum total of three items, such as approval, objection and favor or not, and the threshold is higher.

This time, Japan will adjust according to the "international rules". The denominator only reserves two items of approval and opposition.

The Ministry of trade and industry said that once the application was launched, the probability of adjudication of anti-dumping was 70%~80%.

Jin Baisong said that since 2003, Japan has "graduated" two times of China's imports, and gradually reduced the GSP treatment to China.

He said it is clear that Japan believes that the quality of Chinese products has greatly improved, and that China's economic development level has reached the level of "developed countries" and should be "graduated" ahead of schedule.

However, as to whether China has been promoted, it should be judged by the United Nations, the world bank or other authoritative international agencies.

The Chinese government believes that the economic development in the central and western regions of China is still far from the eastern region, and the overall economic level is still lagging behind the developed countries.

When Japan adjusts the GSP treatment to China's imports, it should be practical and realistic, and hastily adopt "radical" measures, suddenly from "loose" to "strict", which is obviously unfair.

Japan adjusts GSP mainly from private interests.

Japanese media reported that the sharp increase in imports from China was the main reason for the adjustment of the GSP in Japan.

Japan imports from China more than 10 trillion yen a year, far more than imports from other countries.

Domestic opinion in Japan believes that China's commodities with high international competitiveness continue to enjoy preferential tariff rates of most GSP in the Japanese market, which is not "fair".

Xu Mei, a researcher at the Japan Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, analyzed the background and reasons for the adjustment. There are indeed the following factors: first, the competitiveness of some developing countries is continuously improving, and the export products for Japan are increasing, which will create certain competition pressure and impact on certain industries in Japan.

Secondly, there are many uncertainties in the current international trade environment. The situation of Japan's economic recovery is still not stable. The domestic unemployment rate is still at a high level after the war, and personal consumption is in a slump.

Under such circumstances, Japan hopes to reduce imports and expand exports to promote economic growth.

Jin Baisong believes that Japan's "self justification" is not sufficient, but he obviously did not see the actual situation of Sino Japanese trade development and change, and did not take care of the interests of China, Japan's largest export target.

Japan should use new thinking to see Sino Japanese trade.

"Sino Japanese economic and trade relations can not be compared with that of 10 years ago. We should use a brand-new vision and have a brand-new way of thinking. Japanese politicians and politicians should recognize the situation and make a correct judgement."

Jin Baisong pointed out.

"Now the Japanese economy has an unprecedented degree of dependence on the Chinese economy, which has already surpassed that of the United States.

Japan can recover from the financial crisis without financial crisis, relying entirely on the support of the Chinese market. "

He said that after the outbreak of the financial crisis, the European and American markets were weak, and Japan released most or even all of its export energy to the Chinese market. Through the "roundabout trading strategy", parts trade bases were set up in South Korea, China Taiwan and Hongkong, China, and then pferred to the mainland of China for final processing and assembly, partly to return to the international market.

If Japan's huge trade surplus with the above three markets and China's trade surplus increase rapidly year by year, China's trade deficit with Japan will be even more alarming.

According to official statistics from Japan, Japan's trade with China actually showed a deficit.

Jin Baisong believes that Japan should give up this outdated export oriented trade strategy and reverse the impression of "closed market".

He said that at the end of 2000, Japan had introduced restrictive import measures, pointing directly to China, and after negotiations and consultation between the two sides, the problem was solved.

Japan's successive trade policy is undeniably aimed at China.

Jin Baisong expressed the hope that the two sides should encourage export expansion by strengthening cooperation through positive thinking and friendly consultations instead of taking unilateral short-sighted actions to suppress and restrict exports.

Improper unilateral action will only lead to a trade war.