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    What Is Your Status?

    2010/9/14 16:38:00 108

    Social Status

    One is in full.

    Materialization

    The society is full of new topics, such as the cost of carbon emissions, how to calculate the price of love, or the value of a company.


    Of course, there seems to be a simple way to calculate the value of a company. For example, an interested company can buy a life insurance and then commit suicide. Technically, this person can not commit suicide immediately, because after a year of life insurance, the insurance company will make compensation. The insurance company will automatically calculate the value of the company.

    But this method seems to cost too much. It's kind of like Cao Chong said that Xu Chu directly cut the elephant into small pieces and got the weight of the elephant. And there were other problems in the insurance company's understanding of the company's worth. That is, the insurance company pays much more attention to the compensation than the company's worth.

    Solomon Stephen Huberna, the father of life insurance, and Walton School of business, University of Pennsylvania, gave the price of a person as expected for ten years.

    Compared with Hubert, the pricing of Chinese insurance companies is really merciful.


    The most unreasonable place for life insurance pricing is repurchase. That is to say, a company can buy ten life insurance. From the angle of the insurance company, this person is ten times the value of the company person who bought an insurance, but actually this guy may have some ulterior motives to do so.

    This kind of valuation is really out of line.


    Maybe here, we need to estimate.

    asset value

    The method is introduced.

    For example, the free cash flow discount method of John Williams, which can be pferred to the company's personal worth, can be simply written as follows:


    Company's personal value = company value change / 1+ discount rate n


    We hope that the discount rate will be 0. In addition to making the formula simpler, the discount rate will be set at 0. The value of the company's personal worth is how much money a company can earn in a lifetime, which seems to be more meaningful.

    That is:


    Company's personal value = sigma (company's calendar year wage income)


    But even for those who have many years of experience in human resources, the future wage level of Forecast Ltd people is very complicated.


      

    ANTAL

    According to her experience, Xie Zheng, partner of international business consulting company, generally speaking, a company that can live well will give employees a certain salary increase every year.

    And this raise level is basically equal to the annual inflation rate plus the annual average national income growth rate. If the imitation rate is called nominal wage increase, this increase level is usually between 5% and 10%. The raise of inflation is the actual salary increase. Such a raise can ensure that the company's wealth level will not decline among all the people under normal working conditions.

    The 5% to 10% employees who perform best in the company will also be rewarded by the company. Their income will increase by more than that of the general employees.

    In addition, if the employees are promoted at a level, the wage base will change. According to different industries, the base of wage income varies.

    Generally speaking, a cardinal number changes will increase the income of the company to 20% to 100%.


    The law of income increase of many companies also presents the "28 principles". Employees who get special rewards and promotions are often the same people, while the income of more companies will only get an average increase, and fewer than 5% of them will be "eliminated".


    In a Japanese cartoon, it often turns luck into a faecal face with a baby face and likes to walk around. Japan is really a nation with unique tastes for some things. Maybe there is such material existence as luck. Whether a company can belong to the top 20% of the company often depends on it.


    Compared with those who mature in the era of rapid economic development, people born in other ages have some differences in luck.

    Compared to those born in 1970s and 1980s, the fortunes of the companies are not bad, because China's economy is still in a period of rapid development.

    With the emergence of the more outstanding "economic man", there are also industrial bubbles. Maybe give us another big bubble.


    Xie Zheng, for example, thinks that she can make partner's position, to a certain extent, to luck. "Because at that time, in 1990s - I was just a little better than the rest of the company, so that foreign customers would come to me and accumulate slowly, and my business would be much larger than others."


    According to the age of Xie, the Chinese who are older than her may be in the form of a formal examination of the English proficiency test in the higher education examination of China. The importance weight of English scores will only account for 1/3 of the math or Chinese scores, and soon after, English proficiency has become the cornerstone for many Chinese companies to surpass the same kind.


    {page_break}


    The example of Xie Zheng is Alex, a programmer who once worked in Motorola.

    After graduating from college, Motorola entered the heyday of his job as a programmer. This choice is also the most rational choice he thinks.

    In the later years, with the change of the whole industry, the hard work of the programmer and the pursuit of people later made him anxious. His income did not rise with his anxiety. Finally, he could only leave the company and start his own business.


    The reason behind this trend is the cyclical nature of the development of various industries.


    James Aberk in his "grasp the power of innovation" statistics, the United States a few typical pillar industries seem to rise and fall faster and faster, in the context of global integration, it can be said that the company's business seems to rely more and more on luck.

    Burke found that only 3 to 8 years before the peak of industrial development will bring about a sharp rise in employee income. The wealth effect of this surge will attract more practitioners to join.

    In China, the time of higher education is usually 3 to 6 years. That is to say, a person can see the prosperity of an industry before entering the University, and then get the chance to learn the knowledge of the industry through the fierce competition. But when graduation is finished, the industry has already gone through the heyday, and the number of employees is numerous and the competition is fierce.


    For predicting the future, mankind is the least skilled.

    In 2009, the first financial weekly published the FastFuture company's forecast report, and looked at their forecast of the 10 most profitable jobs in 2030 (1 human engineers 2 nanometers 3 genetically modified farmers 4 old age health managers 5 memory expansion division 6 scientific ethicists 7 space drivers / architects 8 vertical farmers 9 climate repair inspector super super quarantine inspector), maybe they are helpful to the next generation of business people, but maybe this prediction is the best example of human laughter when thinking about God. There are also space pilots. I suggest that companies with this aspiration can start with bicycles.


    How should we calculate the future wage income of each company? This first financial weekly interviewed 3 headhunters and Human Resources Inc, and more than 10 hr managers who had more than five years' working experience. Based on their average value, we made a more conservative conclusion.


    The average income growth of the company rose by an average of 5%, and the inflation rate of 3% to 4% has already been included in the growth rate. To be honest, the prediction is optimistic, because in this hypothesis, the average person of the company is getting better.

    As we mentioned before, relatively excellent employees will have a better wage growth rate, and their chances of promotion are relatively higher. On average, their income will be 5 percentage points higher than that of ordinary employees, but this advantage can not be sustained completely, and the growth rate of 10% can be maintained for 15 years on average.

    As a high threshold job, from experience, their income will receive 5% of "threshold income". This professional advantage can be maintained for ten years on average.

    The industry will also have a significant impact on the company's income. In the short boom period, the company's income should increase by an average of 30%.


    According to these indices, if you want to know your salary after several years, you can simply calculate the number of years into the formula and calculate the compound interest.

    The figures may be quite frightening because there is no inflation effect in the calculation.

    Maybe you still know the wages of Chinese 30 years ago. At that time, it was terrible to see the current wage level.


    Another interesting question is the social value of a company. If the GDP created by a company's life is regarded as its social value, it can be reckoned through a total wage income.

    Because GDP can basically be equivalent to the sales volume of the company. If you want to know the GDP generated by the company's wages, you only need to know the ratio between the sales volume of the company and the wages of the employees.

    By calculating the sales and management costs of the listed companies in various industries in China, we get the GDP ratio created by the per unit labor cost. As long as the company multiplies all its wages by this index, the GDP can be generated.


    From the conversion table, it can be concluded that the contribution of Wang Jin's life is 154 million yuan GDP, while Huang Di's GDP creation is more scary, 3 billion 360 million yuan, this reason is mainly caused by the industry of Huang Di, his foreign trade industry, the per capita GDP is very large.


    The reason why this number is a bit scary is another reason: we have not discounted the money earned by the company in the future. Moreover, it is assumed that the same proportion of GDP and staff salaries is maintained in various industries in the next few days. If the trend of the world's economic structure is changing now, this ratio should show a downward trend.


    From the form of GDP, it can be seen why the "working class is the greatest" in modern history, such as engineering construction workers or mechanical manufacturing workers, although their income is not high, but their single wage can create more than 30 yuan GDP, and why companies are more willing to enter securities, banking, real estate and other industries, because these companies have gained a higher level of their creative value. For example, the average amount of GDP per person in the securities industry is $0.45, and GDP has entered the company's payroll. According to this ratio, his income will reach 15 times that of construction workers, so that the same GDP value can be generated.


    Of course, in some industries, the GDP ratio created by the per unit labor cost is very high. This does not necessarily indicate that these industries are more efficient than other industries. If we look at the composition of GDP, we will understand that GDP= investment + consumption + government consumption + export - import, and some industries, such as foreign trade, may create a very high GDP, but it has very low profits. So the situation that will appear in numbers is that high GDP can feed an employee.

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