Development And Reform Commission: Autumn Grain Production Is Better Than Expected &Nbsp; Grain Prices Are Expected To Remain Basically Stable.

At the beginning of this year, a large area of continuous low-temperature weather occurred in China, which had an adverse effect on the growth of early rice in Hunan and Hubei and the growth of rice and Maize in Northeast China.

After entering the summer, some areas of these main grain producing areas suffered floods and waterlogging.

Autumn grain accounts for 70% of the total grain output in the year. Under the circumstance of great changes in international grain prices, will China's autumn grain production cause a landslide due to natural disasters?

Recently, the head of the national development and Reform Commission came to China.

Heaven does not help, but harder.

China since this year

In order to reduce the adverse effects of these calamity weather on China's grain production, seize the harvest of autumn grain, ensure market supply and manage inflation expectations, Premier Wen Jiabao chaired a State Council executive meeting in August 11th to study and deploy policies and measures to further support the production of late rice and autumn grain production, including the central government's 1 billion 100 million yuan capital allocation, increasing fertilization for 73 million mu double cropping late rice and 60 million mu of Northeast China's Japonica Rice in the main producing areas of the south, and promoting early pest control and so on.

"The lakes are ripe and the world is full."

The two provinces of Hunan and Hubei are famous rice and fish fields in China. The yield of indica rice is among the best in the country and exported to southeast coastal areas such as Guangdong.

The grain situation in this area has a decisive influence on the national indica rice market.

The low temperature in early this year caused the harvest period of early rice in Hunan to be delayed for about 10 days, which would adversely affect the yield of late rice.

In order to ensure annual grain production targets, Hunan province held a provincial rice production conference in July 13th this year. It is proposed that the planting area of late rice in this province should be guaranteed over 27 million mu.

Hunan Agriculture Department said that this is the first time Hunan has held such a conference in the past 20 years, which fully reflects Hunan's importance to food production.

In order to stabilize grain production, the provincial Party committee and provincial government of Hubei province held the provincial teleconference two times in an unprecedented year this year to study and deploy the task of grain production in the whole province.

Faced with floods, governments around the country are also actively organizing farmers to save themselves and reduce the adverse effects of disasters on grain production.

Honghu on the North Bank of the Yangtze River is a famous depression in the Yangtze River in Hubei province.

Jiang Hong, mayor of Honghu, told reporters that in July 8th this year, -13, Honghu suffered 50 years of heavy rain. The rainfall in some 200 years was more than 700 millimeters, and some rice fields were flooded for three consecutive days.

The city's about 300000 acres of farmland are on the verge of extinction.

In order to make a bumper harvest, Honghu has helped farmers to replant crops on the endangered farmland and grow short crops such as late rice, potatoes and corn.

The local government suggested that twenty-five of the paddy fields in July should be planted.

Before August 5th, there was no demand for dry land, and 960 thousand pounds of seeds and more than 500 tons of chemical fertilizer were provided to the affected farmers free of charge.

After replanting, planting and other measures, the city has only more than 80 thousand mu.

Jiang Hong said that despite the serious calamity this year, the city's grain will also achieve a good harvest this year.

Northeast China also suffered cold weather at the beginning of this year.

The local agricultural department has taken a series of effective measures to guide the grain and farmers.

Zhang Jinghui, a farmer in Heilongjiang, contracted 650 mu of arable land.

He and other local farmers used three layers of film mulching to raise seedlings, which reduced the adverse effects of low temperature on rice seedlings.

Autumn grain growth is generally better.

In the face of the adverse effects of this year's disaster, central and local governments at all levels and relevant departments take timely measures to invoke the seeds of disaster relief, give full play to the role of agricultural machinery, broadcast and broadcast quickly, guide and organize farmers to rationally adjust their varieties, and vigorously promote the key technologies to promote early and vigorous development, and strive to minimize the losses caused by disasters.

In addition, in most areas, soil moisture is good, rain is abundant, light and temperature conditions are suitable, autumn grain growth is generally better.

In order to stabilize grain production, Hunan province resolutely curbed the phenomenon of farmland abandonment, and continued to expand the sowing area of double cropping rice, and further improved the grain sown area.

This year, the area of late rice in Hunan is 29 million 240 thousand mu, an increase of 810 thousand mu over last year.

This year, the planting area of Medium Indica Rice in Hubei province has been expanded by hundreds of thousands of Mu over last year, and seed subsidy of 80 million yuan has been granted.

The low temperature at the beginning of the year delayed the maturity of the early rice, while the late rice pplanting period was forced to move backward.

Because of the effective technical guidance measures, the weather during planting is favorable, and the situation of late rice production is better than expected.

From the perspective of growth, the number of late rice seedlings is strong, and there are basically no pests or diseases.

Hacken Lee, director of the Department of grain and oil, Hunan Provincial Department of agriculture, said in September 21st that if there was no low temperature in the next week, the output of late rice would be a foregone conclusion.

According to the Ministry of agriculture's agricultural dispatch, it is estimated that this year's autumn grain area will be 1 billion 149 million mu, an increase of 13 million mu over last year.

Among them, corn is expected to increase by 12 million mu over the previous year.

Zhou Wangjun, deputy director of the price department of the State Development and Reform Commission, said that although there was a cold weather in Northeast China this spring and some areas were also suffering from floods, but because of the local active response and the late accumulated temperature, the growth of the main rice producing areas in Northeast China was generally better than that of last year, and the harvest is already a foregone conclusion.

Grain prices will remain basically stable and rising slightly.

Zhou Wangjun said that this summer grain harvest has been bumping into a bumper harvest, the output is basically the same as last year, and winter wheat has been increasing for 7 consecutive years, laying a solid foundation for capturing grain harvest throughout the whole year.

Although the yield of early rice has been reduced, it accounts for only about 6% of the annual grain output, accounting for less than 20% of the total rice output in the whole year.

He said that at present, the autumn grain production, which accounts for more than 70% of the annual grain output, is in good condition. If there is no widespread natural disaster in the late stage, a good harvest is expected throughout the year.

In particular, this year's bumper harvest of Japonica Rice and Maize in Northeast China can effectively improve the supply structure of the market, realize the balance between production and demand of all kinds of grain, protect the national grain supply and maintain the basic stability of the national grain price.

He believes that in China's grain harvest for six consecutive years, ample inventory, the current domestic grain inventory consumption ratio far exceeds the internationally recognized level of 17-18% safety line, food market supply is fully guaranteed.

Under the control of national policies, domestic grain prices will continue to maintain a moderate upward trend, and there will be no ups and downs.

When it comes to the regulation of grain prices by the state policy, Zhou Wangjun said that there is an old saying that grain is cheap to hurt farmers and rice is expensive.

But now that the government has stepped up regulation and control, it is unlikely that this will happen again.

This year's foreseeable grain harvest, coupled with adequate grain reserves and the ability of the state to rapidly allocate grain, can ensure that grain prices will not substantially rise this year. This will not only guarantee the interests of farmers, but also ensure that the living costs of urban residents will not rise too much.

He said that in the case of rising labor costs, pushing up the cost of grain production, increasing the income from grain production and increasing the income of migrant workers, grain prices can be raised moderately so that grain production can be profitable and the enthusiasm of farmers to grow grain can be mobilized.

He believes that since the mid 90s of last century, China's grain prices have been running at a low level for a long time. In 2006, grain prices were basically the same as 1996.

In recent years, the state has implemented a policy of minimum grain purchase price and raised the minimum purchase price level for three consecutive years. It has implemented temporary measures to collect and store corn and soybeans, and strengthened grain market regulation, so that grain prices have maintained a good momentum of steady growth. Grain production has also achieved good harvest for 6 consecutive years.