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I Love Spring: Market Tracking Analysis At The End Of The Week.

2010/9/26 16:57:00 46

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Zhou Market

review

Last week

Euro

Continuation of the early non US and China's leading strength, from Monday began directly to rush ahead, to break through all the important resistance barriers ahead, the week reached the biggest nearly 500 points this year.

Then the Australian dollar reached a high of 0 in 2008.

The 98 stall approached, and the weaker pound finally broke through 1 on Friday.

5730 to 1.

5840, the weekly closing price is at a high level.

Gold once hit the 1300 mark, very close, this will definitely be broken, the early stage has been continuously reminded.

US stocks also strengthened and broke the high peak this year.

The market is mainly concerned about the policy of quantitative easing in the United States, which led to the overall decline of the US dollar. When the US dollar fell, the strength of the non US currencies varied.

US dollar

It is strong, only in different currencies.

According to the order of strength, the commodity currencies of the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen are the first strong positions relative to the US dollar, while the pound and the euro belong to the second position, which can be known from the distance between the current market price and the high point of last year.

Such a choice in the market gives us the message that such a separatist regime will be difficult to change in the future.

The market has no confidence in the US dollar, but in the US and China, the confidence in Europe and the pound can only be hesitant, and the market is more popular with commodity currencies and safe haven currencies and gold.

We need to attach importance to such separatism.

News events this week

This week, I will pay attention to the GDP data of Britain and the United States next week 2 and 4.

Market analysis and outlook for October

On the whole, the US has become stronger. The next stage of the proposal is to support more good points. But we should pay more attention to catch up, especially the more powerful currencies in the early stage. We should be cautious about the callbacks, so we need to wait for the support to do more.

The magnitude of the callback risk.

Gold is still not recommended, especially in the 1300 stage, where it can be rushed to where it is. At present, it is not good enough to predict the market. First look at 1330 and 1350, the 1380 largest.

Gold must pay attention to whether or not to repeat the 08 year oil sample market. After the crazy rise, it will see a sharp fall. Although history may not repeat itself, there is no harm in guarding against it.

How to reduce the number of single positions in the early stage, we have to grasp the specific signal.

And commodity currencies in the case of gold, of course, do not recommend empty, Australian dollar headed to 1, 0 March, the next stage is still not recommended that everyone rush to catch the top and empty.

Sterling stands firm for 1.

5730, challenge 1.

5915 and 1.

6, if this resistance is broken again, then the GU medium term strength will be confirmed, and the conservative target will be 1.

62 to 1.

64, then 1.

The 68 file.

Note that the market will not move in a straight line.

Pay attention to the amplitude of vibration, and lower support can carry out multiple supports and support 1.

56 and 1.

55, the support for the key mid-term rise should not be broken down, then it will return to the big shock area, 1.

5730 close support should be paid attention to.

The euro supports 1.

3280/1.

3315 area attention, and 1.

3160, the key medium-term support, and pay attention to the supporting role of the recent market trend line, pay attention to whether the trend line will be broken down after the rush, then pay attention to whether the callback market occurs.

And from the US point of view, although the current trend is bearish, the sky chart needs to be callback.

Euro resistance is 1.

3580 and 1.

3680 regional attention, specifically see if there is a signal can properly grasp the short line callback empty list.

The target of euro rise is 1.

39 and 1.

The 41 file.

The US and Japan trend is bearish as long as it does not break 86.

15, then it is bearish, so it is based on this.

The United States has been falling this year. If we break the low point before then, we really don't know where the next support is. But from the cycle and the extent of the fall, we are not sure about the future. We don't know how much we can go down.

At present, I am only observing the US, but there is no resistance in the short term. But in the long and medium term, I will wait until the bottom is too much. This requires patience and observation. After all, it has been falling for a long time.

Above for the next stage of some operational ideas, you can grasp the market, pay attention to the distinction between primary and secondary market.

Pay attention to the crazy behavior of the market in October.

Not to be able to wait, do not operate easily.

This week receives K month, this needs to pay attention.