China'S Textile Export Profits Have Been Squeezed By The "Bull Market" Of Cotton.
Whether at home or abroad, Cotton price All of them are in a bull market which is difficult to withstand the rally. In the production season of "golden nine silver ten", textile export enterprises are having a headache.
Up to the last trading day before mid autumn festival, Zhengzhou, China
Cotton futures
The price of electronic contracts and the average paction price of the recent contracts were all up to 20000 yuan / ton, a record high. The cotton price index of China has risen to 19228 yuan / ton. In the international market, New York cotton futures and CotlookA index, which reflect the spot price level of the international cotton market, have reached a new high of nearly 15 years, up 9.6% and 25.8% respectively from the end of 8.
"At present, the prices of agricultural products in the global market are basically at a historical high level. High cotton prices are also more normal. The bull market pattern is beyond doubt. It can be said that the era of high cotton prices has arrived.
Facing the craziness of cotton price, the most difficult to bear is the downstream textile enterprises.
This year, quite a few textile enterprises have reflected that because of the tight supply of cotton, their downstream products, such as cotton yarn and other textile materials, have also become scarce resources, and even the situation that money can not be bought. This situation is still continuing.
Mr. Wang, a vice president of a textile export enterprise in Nanjing, Jiangsu, told reporters that with the rise of cotton prices, the price of cotton yarn is almost "one day, one price", and the sales situation is unusually hot. "Now it is generally a full cash pick up, or even a delivery, which is likely to last until the end of the year".
Mr. Wang further said that as the price of raw materials continues to rise, the cost pressures of downstream garment enterprises are also rising. "Cotton mills are constantly raising prices, but clothing export is very difficult to raise prices, even if it is mentioned, it is far behind the cost increase."
Wang pointed out that since the beginning of this year, as cotton prices have climbed steadily, the profits of fabric manufacturers such as cotton yarn in the middle reaches are almost the highest level in history. "At least the pfer from upstream to middle reaches smoothly." for the clothing and other products of the terminal, the overall price increase of the industry has begun, but the export price is still more difficult, so export profits are being squeezed.
Enter the "golden nine silver ten" production season, domestic
New cotton
It has also been listed on the market. Will this make the "high temperature" of cotton market subsided? A number of domestic agencies have analyzed and predicted that the quality and output of new cotton are not optimistic due to the climatic anomalies of many cotton producing areas in China. The listing is hard to suppress the bull market in depth, and the rally is likely to continue until next year.
For the international market, the Financial Times reported that the rise of cotton prices has gone beyond the rise of industrial commodities such as crude oil and copper.
Reported that the world's largest cotton producer and importer - China's cotton harvest this year has been threatened by rainwater; the second largest cotton growing country in India, because of the export ban imposed by the government this year, has kept traders speculating on the future policy trend; and the fourth major cotton growers in Pakistan, the world's major floods and the sharp decline in production, has intensified the tension of global cotton supply.
The US Department of Agriculture estimates that the ratio of global cotton consumption to consumption has dropped to its lowest level in 15 years.
In view of this, the China Cotton Association has to issue "double high" industry warning to remind all parties in the industry: high cotton price means high risk, and cotton price is too high and too fast to rise, which is not conducive to industrial stability and healthy development.
Textile enterprises should pay close attention to domestic and foreign cotton production and textile situation changes, calm analysis, rational response, guard against business risks, do not follow the trend of speculation.
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