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Thousands Of Years Of Extreme Cold Become The New Favorite: Experts Fear That This Winter Clothing Has Been "Warm".

2010/10/13 18:33:00 109

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Recently, there have been reports that the northern hemisphere is experiencing winter this year.

Millennium Arctic

"This year's continued abnormal climate, according to national meteorologists predicted that the northern hemisphere winter may again encounter ultra-low temperature extreme weather, Europe's low-temperature weather may even be" millennium and so on. "

The current signs are the strong basis for the prediction: the slow warming of the Gulf of Mexico slowed down under the influence of La Nina; the Northern Hemisphere experienced the hottest summer in 130 years, and the temperature in the northern hemisphere began to plummet after winter.

Last winter's cold, many people still have a lingering fear, and more and more experts predict that this winter may still encounter low temperature weather, many residents take precautions, or add thick clothes, or add insulation to the external walls of the house.

Some cold war industries have "warm-up" ahead of schedule, and "thousands of years of extreme cold" have become new favorites. The clothing industry may ignite a fire in winter.

Guo Min, senior consultant of Zhejiang merchants Capital Investment Promotion Association and times education management group, pointed out that the textile and garment industry is a typical beneficiary industry as the equipment to withstand the severe cold. According to the latest statistics, the net profit of the textile industry increased by 53.6% in the first 8 months of this year, and the clothing industry increased by 30.92%.

We believe that the textile and garment industry has a high degree of prosperity, though it is a traditional industry, but its production and sales are booming. If there is extreme cold weather, it will inevitably affect our apparel industry.

First, the temperature is too low, the demand for clothing at home and abroad is bound to rise, thereby pushing up the price of clothing. Secondly, if accompanied by severe cold weather, heavy snow and other meteorological disasters will affect domestic to a certain extent.

Throughput

This situation is more obvious in the 08 year Snowstorm Weather. If the labor resources in production are affected, it will cause partial imbalance of domestic clothing supply and demand, and finally will pmit to the clothing price.

From these two aspects, extreme cold weather will indeed have an impact on China's clothing market.

However, we should not overemphasize the impact of "a thousand years of extreme cold" on China's apparel industry.

Investors are reminded of what Buffett once said: "we also have fear and greed, but we are afraid when others are greedy, and we are greedy when others are afraid."

First, the current long-term weather forecast data analysis is more complicated. Generally speaking, the meteorological department only made the winter forecast in November, and now it is too early to draw a conclusion.

That is to say, the "extremely cold" weather is part of the concern of some meteorologists. At the moment, it is only a warning to the European region. Whether the Asian region will be affected is still uncertain. Second, from the present China

Clothing production capacity

On the whole, China's clothing production capacity is quite adequate, and a certain degree of clothing demand fluctuation will not have a significant impact on clothing prices and sales; third, after 08 years of snow disaster, China's clothing industry has had corresponding coping experience for similar weather conditions. Fourth, large-scale public opinion publicity may lead to overcapacity, which will result in oversupply, but may result in price competition, inventory backlog and other issues.

Therefore, at present, we should not pay too much attention to the impact of "a thousand years of extreme cold" on the apparel industry.

Guo Min, a senior consultant of Zhejiang Zheshang Capital Investment Promotion Association and times education management group, pointed out that although the "extremely cold year" forecast has brought business opportunities to warm products such as winter clothing and home textiles.

But for the "extremely cold year," we should treat it rationally and not exaggerate the impact it will bring.

At the same time, we should be more vigilant against some speculators using "a thousand years of extreme cold" such a topic for clothing speculation.

At present, there are already signs that public opinion has begun to link the "thousand years of extreme cold" with clothing prices and sales.

Although the cold weather will have a certain impact on the sale of clothing prices, we should also take a rational view of this effect.

The low temperature information that might hit the northern hemisphere has touched the keen sense of smell of global businesses.

The domestic clothing market will be more likely to enter the speculators' view.

Under the favourable circumstances of "a thousand years of extreme cold", sales performance is expected to explode. Although we think investors can pay close attention to the textile and clothing industry, we need to be cautious when facing other people's crazily.