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Survey Of Cotton Output Forecast And Picking Sale In September 2010

2010/10/28 10:07:00 71

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China Cotton Association cotton farmers cooperative association and Xinjiang Huatai cotton professional cooperative monitoring object: 13 cotton producing provinces, cities and districts, 2641 cotton growers.

September 2010, China

cotton

The association cotton farmers cooperative association and the Xinjiang Huatai cotton professional cooperative group respectively carried out cotton production and picking and sale of 12 cotton farmers in the 310 provinces (cities and regiments) of the 310 provinces in the mainland and Xinjiang autonomous region.

The survey results show that in September, the national cotton was in the crack and boll opening period, picking work started in full swing, cotton farmers began to sell cotton.

The total output and per unit yield of the whole country decreased slightly compared with that of August, and most of the heat and light conditions in the northwest inland cotton area were more suitable. However, due to the widespread use of ripener, there was a certain effect on the yield and quality. The total output was expected to decrease from the previous month. Although the the Yellow River River Basin and the Yangtze River Basin cotton area had been exposed to cloudy and rainy weather, the overall situation was better than that in August.

Affected by low temperature during seed sowing, seed cotton ripening was generally delayed, and concentrated picking time was delayed for about 10 days, and picking progress was slower than last year.

The new cotton prices opened up at a high price, and cotton farmers' selling prices reached a record high. Most cotton growers sold more positively, but due to the low picking capacity, the sale progress was slower than last year.

According to the weighted average of cotton planting area of cotton farmers surveyed, as of September, the total output of the country is estimated to be 6 million 640 thousand tons, down 60 thousand tons from the previous month, which is 2.3% lower than that of the previous year.

The overall picking rate of the whole country was 26.2%, which slowed down 10.8 percentage points compared with the same period last year, and the cotton farmers' sales progress was 11.5%, slowing down 7.3 percentage points compared with the same period last year. The average selling price of cotton farmers was 9.45 yuan / kg, up 61.3% over the same period last year.

Since August, cotton in the Yellow River River Basin has been continuously affected by heavy rain. Cotton has been severely affected. The number of rotten peaches in the lower part of the cotton plant is increasing, and the yield of peach and peach in the middle part are affected.

In September, although there were more rainy days and less weather, it was bad for cotton cracking and bolting, but the degree of disaster was reduced, and the yield of Shandong Province, which was severely damaged earlier, recovered slightly.

Cotton per unit area and total output declined year by year.

From late August to early September, cotton growers began picking up. As of September 30th, the picking rate was 43.1%, 1.2 points faster than last year, and 60-70% in some areas.

Because of the relatively high price of the new cotton scale, the cotton growers picked in the early stage were mostly rotten peach cotton, and the sale was also more positive, and the sales progress was faster than last year.

Cotton prices continue to rise in the late period, and cotton farmers are expected to raise their prices. With the increase in picking quantity and quality, the mentality of selling is aggravated, and the progress of sale is steady.

As of September 30th, the turnover of cotton growers was 10.4%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points over the same period last year.

The opening price of the basin opened at 8.2-8.4 yuan / kg and rose to 9.6-9.8 yuan / kg at the end of the month. The average selling price in September was 8.83 yuan / kg, up 52.5% over the same period last year.

Yangtze river basin

Cotton area has more rainfall, longer time and less sunshine. It is unfavorable to autumn peach peaches, postponing normal cotton bolting, increasing the number of rotten peaches, affecting cotton yield and quality. At the same time, the cotton can not be picked in time, resulting in a further decline in quality.

Due to the large area increase, the total output of the whole basin still has a certain increase.

Affected by the weather, concentrated harvesting time was concentrated before September 10th, which was delayed about 15 days compared with last year.

As of September 30th, the picking rate was 16.1%, which was 28.7 percentage points slower than the same period last year.

Cotton pickers in the early stage were mostly rotten peach, although the purchase price was relatively high, but due to the small number, the sales progress was slow. As of September 30th, the sales progress was 6.7%, slowing down by 16.2 percentage points compared with the same period last year.

The opening price of the basin was 7.8-8 yuan / kg, which rose to around 9.6 yuan / kg at the end of the month. The average price of that month was 8.73 yuan / kg, up 52.6% over the same period last year.

Most of the northwest inner cotton region has better light and heat conditions, which is good for cotton cracking and bolting. But in the middle and late ten days, there was a continuous rainy weather in southern Xinjiang, which caused some cotton cracking and boll opening periods to be further postponed.

Because the cotton boll opening period has been postponed compared with the previous years, in order to prevent the influence of the weather factors such as the frost and cooling at the later stage, plus the higher market price, in order to sell a good price as soon as possible, cotton growers generally used ripener, and the cotton maturity time had been advanced, resulting in the yield and quality of seed cotton decreased.

On September 15-25, cotton began picking in Xinjiang, where the regiment was earlier than the place.

At the end of September, cotton gradually entered the flowering stage, and the picking rate increased gradually.

As of September 30th, the harvest rate in Xinjiang was 16.8%, slowing by 12.6 percentage points compared with the same period last year.

With the increase of picking quantity, cotton farmers' sale began immediately.

Among them, the acquisition of seed cotton has not yet been released, and the two settlement method is still adopted. The sale of farm workers is not active. In the early days of the local cotton market, the phenomenon of panic buying and price continued to rise, and the cotton farmers' sale was more positive.

As of September 30th, the sale rate of 14.9% was 10.9 percentage points lower than that of the same period last year.

Affected by climate factors, the quality of cotton has generally declined this year, and the high-grade flowers in the mainland have been reduced. The cotton grade in Xinjiang is relatively high, and the price increase is higher than that in the mainland.

At the end of the month, the selling price in the southern Xinjiang was around 10.5 yuan / kg, and the selling price in the northern Xinjiang was around 10.3 yuan / kg, up 3 yuan over the same period last year, and the average monthly price in Xinjiang was 10.28 yuan / kg, up 72.2% over the same period last year.