It Is Estimated That Cotton Will Still Rise To Thirty Thousand In January 2011.
1.
cotton
Still look at thirty thousand, but it is estimated that after January next year, why?
inflation
。
Now, in the 11 and December, what kind of commodities will be headed will be the focus of policy.
It's not just shadowing, but soon there will be substantial control behind it.
Therefore, although cotton is not safe, it must be within a certain limit.
The 33000 line of cotton is the high point and the top of the policy.
If inflation is still serious in 2011, this is probably the top of the cotton year.
Why do I still dare to look at 30000? After all, the reduction is a fact, and the shortage is a fact.
The fundamentals of the whole industry are not big.
change
。
2, cotton exploration will be deeper.
It is believed that the 27000 front is cost price, and if cotton fall, it will be supported in this area.
However, on the macro side, the Irish debt crisis will inevitably cause panic in the market.
Now the impact on the domestic market can not be assessed, but the financial market will overreact in many cases. Cotton can only try small purchases on the 27000 front-line, and the probability of nearly 25000 is increasing now.
3, inflation will collapse - the law of eternal change, there are many cotton mills are not short of cotton, but shipped from Xinjiang difficulties, has not yet fallen to the bottom, the downstream has not yet been able to pick up, cotton yarn can not sell, cotton does not fall in place, now many garment factories and weaving factories are closed down, are watching.
4, under the pressure of the current policy, Zheng and the United States cotton diving, the seed cotton purchase market is plummeting. Today, the acquisition companies in Hunan have returned the purchase price to 5 yuan to 5.2 yuan, the quality requirements are stricter, but the cotton traders are basically extinct, and a small number of cotton farmers urgently need to use their own money to sell them, so most of the cotton price drops are puzzled. Most cotton farmers choose to stockpile goods and are not eager to sell.
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