Price Control "Deadline" Is Approaching &Nbsp; &Nbsp; Price Expectation Is Expected To Weaken.

Under the pressure of regulation, whether it is the grain purchase market or the wholesale and retail market of agricultural products,

Hand out

Implementing 16 measures to introduce underpricing policies

In November 27th, the coldest day in Beijing since the winter, traders in the new market have already felt the pressure brought about by the state's control of prices.

When a reporter interviewed a potato wholesaler, soon two or three businessmen came together, and everyone was concerned about the policy trend.

It is understood that from the end of November to December 20th, the general office of the State Council, the development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of agriculture, the Ministry of industry and information technology, the Ministry of supervision, the Ministry of Commerce, the Ministry of civil affairs and the General Administration of industry and Commerce will work with the relevant departments to form six State Council inspection teams and go to 18 provinces and municipalities to supervise and inspect the work. The key is to investigate and understand the general price level of the relevant regions and the changes in supply and demand of important commodities and prices.

The NDRC said on the 26 th that since the end of October, 25 million 500 thousand tons of national policy grain and oil have been put into the wholesale market of grain and oil in Zhengzhou and Anhui. In the near future, the grain and oil market will be increased with the relevant departments such as the State Grain Administration, so as to increase market supply and stabilize prices.

The NDRC also joined the Ministry of pport and the Ministry of finance to expand the green channel network of fresh agricultural products. Since December 1, 2010, all toll roads in China (including toll free bridges and tunnels) have been incorporated into the green channel network of fresh agricultural products. The vehicles are pported legally to pport fresh farm produce vehicles, and the number of fresh agricultural products is increased, including potatoes (potatoes), sweet potatoes (sweet potatoes, sweet potatoes, yam, taro), fresh corn and fresh flowers.

Nationwide, the regulatory policies of Beijing, Shandong, Shanghai and Jiangsu have also been promulgated one after another.

On the 26 day, 19 practical measures were put forward in Shandong Province in combination with the actual situation. From the aspects of ensuring supply, reducing logistics costs, strengthening supervision and so on, stabilizing prices, including increasing the supply of 5 million tons of vegetables, establishing and improving the grain, oil and vegetable reserve system combined with government reserves and commercial reserves, no new price raising measures could be introduced in principle before the Spring Festival, with emphasis on malicious hoarding and vicious speculation.

In the early stage of a series of market supervision measures, the Zhengzhou commodity exchange dominated by agricultural products and the Dalian commodity exchange once again issued the "New Deal".

Since the settlement in November 29th, the minimum trading margin of yellow futures 1, yellow soya bean 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, palm oil and corn futures contracts has been raised to 10%, and the price limit has been adjusted to 6%.

Since its settlement on the 29 day, Zhengshang has adjusted the margin standard of PTA, rapeseed oil and hard wheat futures contracts from 10% to 6%.

The two major futures exchanges have indicated that if market risks increase, further regulatory measures will be taken to combat illegal pactions and curb abnormal pactions so as to ensure the smooth operation of the market.

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Effect

Prices fall and production and circulation costs remain high.

In a number of supermarkets and wholesale markets of agricultural products in Beijing, the reporter saw that vegetable prices were mostly lower than before.

Yang Hongkai, general manager of the new wholesale market of agricultural products, told the economic reference daily. Recently, the market has increased the organization of vegetable supply, which has increased the supply and the price has dropped by about 10%.

Reporters in Shandong investigation found that two years of garlic prices have ended, until next year's new garlic listing, a large number of stocks will be released gradually, garlic prices will continue to callback.

With Shaanxi, Xinjiang and other places Apple has been listed, coupled with the growth of sales of fruit sales in southern oranges, the Shandong apple, which once hit a new high price, is beginning to show signs of price loosening.

A rice wholesaler told reporters that the edible oil has dropped to "extraordinary", like the 5 litre of soybean oil from the golden dragon fish, and the price has dropped from 54.5 yuan at the highest time to 52.5 yuan.

However, the price of rice has not fallen, but it is still rising. The 50 kg of northeast rice is 7 yuan higher than that of more than 20 days ago, up 2 yuan from a week ago, and the price of the same weight of flour is 5 yuan higher than that of 20 days ago.

"Watching TV is always saying that the price is being kept down, or why the price of rice is still rising, but it is impossible to continue to raise prices."

The businessman, who has been doing rice business for more than 10 years, said.

Although the price of grain in the wholesale market has not dropped yet, the price of the grain purchase market has already shown signs of loosening.

Jiao Shanwei, editor in chief of China Grain net, told the economic reference daily that the price of rice and corn in Northeast China, Jiangsu and Anhui began to fall, and the rate of decline was not too large, with the price of 1 to 2 cents per catty.

However, the sales price of agricultural products has come down, but the cost of production and circulation is still high.

"Grain prices are stable now, but the cost of grain is still rising."

Dan Yuheng, a big grain producer, said that the price expectation of fertilizers and pesticides began to appear again. The price of phosphate fertilizer increased by 10% to 20% this spring, and the price of urea rose from 1600 yuan / ton last year to 1900 yuan / ton.

Jiao Shanwei believes that if the grain price does not rise, but other living costs of farmers will rise, that will have a greater impact on Farmers' next grain sales and grain production.

Compared with the same period last year, the three main staple foods of wheat, rice and corn increased by about 15%. Compared with the prices of industrial products, housing prices, vegetables, eggs and other necessities, the grain price increase was still low.

Jiao Shanwei suggested that there should be a continuous mechanism for the state to re introduce policies, so as to find a reasonable adjustment point, not only to stabilize the price increase in cities, but also to ensure farmers' grain profits.

Because of the drop in vegetable prices and the high cost, merchants in the new market have mostly reported to reporters that they are losing money for business.

Li Da sister, a dealer in green beans, told reporters that the beans were shipped from Nanning, Guangxi. The purchase price was 8 cents per catty, sold to 1.5 to 1.6 yuan a week ago, and now it can only be sold for 1.3 yuan.

A car of more than 50 thousand kg of green beans is sold for five or six thousand yuan, and vegetables can't be released for a few days, even if they lose money.

The potato wholesaler Mr. Wang calculated a cost account for the reporters: the potato shipped from Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, the freight rate was 280 yuan per ton, 0.14 yuan per catty, 600 yuan for the tolls, 200 yuan for overloading, and 300 yuan for the pickup from the 200 yuan last year, and the labor cost was also rising. The unloading and fare loading per ton of potatoes increased by 5 yuan over last year.

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countermeasure

Prices are expected to weaken to curb hoarding speculation.

National price regulation has brought about the weakening of market price expectations, and grain companies are very cautious when they buy them.

Dan Yuheng, a large grain producer in Heilongjiang, said that the sales of grain, especially rice, were relatively slow, and the sales progress of corn was much slower than that of the previous stage, including the rice companies of Wuchang and YIHAI KERRY all waiting to see, and the selection was very strict, and the quality rice must be willing to buy.

"After all, the price of the market is too high, and the state has introduced regulation measures, so many grain buyers are watching, and the purchase of autumn grain market is still relatively cold."

Jiao Shanwei said that only part of the rice and flour processing enterprises need to be stocked up before the Spring Festival.

Futures prices, which reflect spot prices, have also changed markedly in the future.

Since November 12th, domestic commodity futures prices have dropped sharply, while wheat, corn and indica rice prices have fallen by an average of about 6%. Soybean oil and sugar prices have fallen by more than 10%, while cotton prices have fallen by more than 20%.

The NDRC analysis shows that one of the main reasons for the rapid fall in commodity futures prices is that the State Council issued a circular on stabilizing the general level of market prices to protect the basic livelihood of the masses, highlighting the severe cracking down on illegal activities such as manipulating the market, and suppressing excessive speculation, which the market expects to reflect.

This year, some farm products speculation is popular, and this speculation atmosphere may also be weakened due to the expected price decline.

Yu Mengguo, deputy general manager of Jinpeng futures, said that the speculative situation of agricultural futures has weakened now, and the volume of trading is not as big as before. There are fewer people in the day trading, and more investors are involved in the market.

In the spot market, Lao Teng, a new producer, hoarded more than 200 tons of garlic in July. He was a little upset that he did not sell when garlic prices were high, so that there were still more than 100 tons left.

A month ago, Lao Li also hoarded 50 tons of soybeans in Heilongjiang. The purchase price was 1 yuan per catty and 8 fur more. The price reached 1.9 to 1.95 yuan at the highest price, but now it has dropped to less than 1.8 yuan.

Lao Li told reporters that the price of agricultural products had been scrambled, and no one had asked for a price drop.

Garlic prices have been "sentenced to death", will not rise again, "now state control, no longer hoarding other agricultural products."

In an interview with the economic reference daily, Chen Shuwei, senior analyst at Eastern agge, said that the price of agricultural products has gone up too far since October. Now the price is expected to weaken, which is expected to last until next March.