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    How To View The Return Of Cotton Prices?

    2011/1/6 14:32:00 59

    Cotton Price Regression

    In the past, the red cotton padded clothes worn by Santa Claus were mostly made of polyester, chemical fiber and other fabrics this year.

    Sponge

    Or foam replacement...

    In 2010, cotton prices surged up like a runaway wild horse, and then fell from mid November 2010.


    No doubt, the textile industry is still an important part of Qingdao's industrial structure. The 3000 textile enterprises in the city, 200 thousand people eat the bowl of rice.

    create

    Tens of billions of dollars worth of industrial value.

    It is undeniable that along with the highest cotton price in 2010, the related industries have been affected.

    It is gratifying to note that central and local governments have issued a series of policies to stabilize the market price of cotton.


    "It is a great pleasure to have a holiday in advance for more than a month in 2010, but this time it's not a good thing to do."

    Recently, Ms. Han, who works in a cotton textile factory in the island city, was unable to sit still. I looked at the calendar every day, and waited for the telephone every day. When the factory was closed, what time could I open the door? This year's new clothes could not be bought, but the tuition fees for college students in the next year must continue to earn......


    Miss Han told reporters that cotton prices began to change in September 2010, and saw that there was no stock in the factory, but such a high cotton price did not dare to take the long list of foreign customers. It could only digest the existing inventory and make a short list. In the middle of November, cotton prices began to go down, and they wanted to make a long list. This time the customers did not work. They could do nothing but go home on holiday. Cotton rose sharply and plummeted, and now they are in a stalemate.

    The company stopped buying for one month and had a rest.

    "I think we are doing business, not gambling, keeping the fruits of victory, and preparing for 2011."


    Alternative fabric Christmas rescue


    It is understood that from May 2010 onwards, domestic cotton prices began to climb steadily.

    The price of spot and futures broke through 25000 yuan per ton after the new cotton started to scale. The highest price rose to more than 30 thousand yuan per ton.

    However, from November 11th of that year, cotton prices began to fall, reaching about 27000 yuan per ton.


    Cotton prices have gone up, and clothes are the most expensive ones.

    A boss in Taitung, who has been engaged in children's clothing business for a long time, says that since October 2010, the price of children's clothing has risen by about 10 yuan.

    Price

    It has risen nearly 20 yuan.

    Most bosses are looking forward to the Spring Festival coming quickly, because this is the peak season for clothing sales, especially children's wear. "Parents will not buy them for themselves, but they will also buy them for children".

    Reporters learned from the Qingdao Textile Association and the textile and apparel network that the price of winter clothing increased by 30% in 2010 compared with the previous year, but the momentum of continued rising is not strong.


    Careful citizens may also find that because of the rise in cotton prices, the red cotton padded clothes worn by Santa Claus in the past year have been converted to polyester, chemical fiber and other fabrics. Even the Santa Claus belly is no longer filled with cotton wool, but also replaced by sponge and foam, and it is "thin". But Santa Claus price is equivalent to that of 2009. The small doll with a height of about 25 centimeters is still 8 yuan to 10 yuan.


    The cotton price before and after the Spring Festival is now in its original form.


    "The recent fall in cotton prices is very normal, rising fast and falling fast."

    Jiang Haibin, a sales manager who frequently deals with cotton, told reporters that although cotton prices were rising, many cotton growers and cotton merchants were reluctant to sell, but cotton was not easy to preserve, so hoarding people had to wait until the Spring Festival.


    "Next year's cotton market will not go up and down."

    Dong Yunliang, chairman of Jinqiao textile network, told reporters that from the current cotton futures table, cotton prices in May 2011 were about 29000 yuan per ton, and about 25000 yuan per ton in November. "Cotton prices in 2011 will fluctuate between 25000 yuan and 27000 yuan per ton".


    "Cotton prices account for six or seven of cotton yarn prices, while cotton yarn accounts for five or six of the total price of clothing."

    Dong Yunliang predicts that clothing prices will increase by about 20% in 2011.


    Looking for joint efforts to build a healthy industrial chain


    "Old products are really afraid to raise prices. We can only invest more energy in new product research and development, and appropriately raise the price of new products, so as to dilute production costs."

    During the interview, Jiang Haibin, sales manager of Qingdao Xi Ying men group, said that in 2010, due to the soaring price of raw materials, the cotton related enterprises (including foreign trade enterprises) who made the later process of business were talking about monochromatic and single color changes, which resulted in the lack of single volume of enterprises.


    However, Jiang Haibin also expressed his concern. Influenced by the state's macroeconomic regulation and control, the prices of cotton and other commodities gradually fell down rationally.

    However, because a few textile and garment enterprises fail to look at the problem from the perspective of the health industry chain, it is possible that the irrational performance of the new round process enterprises will still appear.


    "A fence three piles, a hero three help", enterprises can not be separated from the upstream and downstream related enterprises support and help.

    Jiang Haibin said, "we borrow a tree to represent the textile industry chain. The healthy growth of a tree is inseparable from tree roots, trunk, branches and leaves. No matter where we are, we need to grow scientifically and evenly. Our textile and garment industry chain needs more.

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