2010 World Cotton Inventory /&Nbsp; Consumption Ratio Hit 15 Years Minimum.
In 2010, the Advanced Research Center for Applied Economics (Cepea-Brazil) of Brazil Agricultural College of University of Sao Paulo was expected to be confirmed early this year.
Domestic and foreign market prices of cotton are all high.
The demand is strong.
Supply quantity
In the end, inventory and consumption ratio dropped to the lowest level in 15 years.
The development of the world economy has stimulated demand growth, and the supply has been reduced because of the shrinking of planting area in some important cotton producing countries and the decrease in yield per unit area.
At the beginning of the second half of 2010,
Purchaser
They are more cautious about new trade, and they expect prices to drop as cotton picking season comes.
Therefore, the price increase was small in July.
In August, cotton prices in the domestic market increased substantially, mainly affected by demand.
Spot market
Demand is greater than supply.
Due to low inventories, cotton demand in Brazil and the world started a high fever in the second half of 2010.
Data from Conab (national food supply company) showed that the output of 2009/10 was 1 million 294 thousand tons, 1.6% less than that of 2008/09.
On the last day of 2009 and December 30, 2010, the CEPEA/ESALQ cotton 41-4 index (St Paul delivery, 8 days' payment) surged 114.86%, to 2.9147 or 1.7516 dollars / pound, and hit a new high in December, 30.
According to the data released by the US Department of agriculture in December 10th, the world output in 2010/11 should increase by 14% to 25 million 200 thousand tons.
China and Pakistan are the two major cotton producing countries in the world, but the two countries will face a decline in production.
As for consumption, the advanced research center of Applied Economics of Brazil Agricultural College of University of Sao Paulo expects that higher cotton prices will stimulate the replacement of raw materials and the demand for cotton will be reduced.
World demand may be reduced by 1.8% to 25 million 300 thousand tons.
But consumption is expected to be higher than supply, so end inventory may decline.
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