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    Cotton Approached &Nbsp; The Federal Reserve Made A Domestic Attack.

    2011/3/29 10:22:00 46

    Cotton Federal Reserve Attacked

    Bulk

    commodity market

    In the wake of multiple factors, the Fed officials in recent days have said that the US may not start the third round of quantitative easing after the second round of quantitative easing in June 30, 2011.

    Market participants believe that the domestic commodity market will usher in a turning point in the second half of the year, once it is established.

    capital

    It may return to the us from emerging markets and commodity markets, making the US dollar rise, crude oil built, and some varieties.

    Finance

    Attributes will return to the basic attributes of commodities after the liquidity is weakened.


    Yesterday, the domestic market was attacked, except for a small number of varieties such as beans and rebar, but other varieties fell all over the market.

    Cotton fell below the 29000 pass and then approached the limit.


    Beans are relatively strong.


    In March 25th, the United States was better.

    economic data

    The main indexes in Europe and the United States rose generally.

    A number of Fed officials have said that the US economy is stronger and that the Fed is unlikely to extend its $600 billion national debt purchase plan, which will expire in June.


    "Once it is put into practice, it will affect the commodity market.

    Influence

    It must be huge. "

    Xu Haiying, general manager of China Giant asset, said yesterday that it could basically declare that the bull market was declared over and entered a long-term adjustment stage, while the US dollar might enter the appreciation cycle.


    Domestic futures market was attacked yesterday, and cotton rubber took the lead in the futures market.

    Nonferrous metals are high and low, and Shanghai copper and Shanghai lead are down by over 2%.

    Chemical products fell across the board, and PTA fell the top.

    In the 17.06,0.06,0.35%, beans are relatively strong, and the yield of soybean is up 1.2%.

    Cotton suffered a setback and was once close to the limit.

    Rubber futures, which have been bounced back for a long time, are also down and down by more than 4%.


    For the March 28th performance of the futures market, the market did not seem to find much correlation between the two sides of the market.

    "Disk may not reflect this, at present, the commodity market as a whole is out of a state of concussion.

    In particular, the callback of crude oil and copper has led to the negative atmosphere of the whole market.

    Xu Haiying said.


    The two quarter or began to bubble.


    "This is not the first time the Fed has made such a voice, and today's opening has not been directly affected."

    Dai Li Ya CSI Futures Industry Center believes that the market is not a general decline, each has its own fundamentals, and some agricultural products are strong.


    For the Fed's future measures, Dai Liya said the market had anticipated this.

    Xu Haiying also predicted that in the second half of the year Europe might tighten up faster, or even a quarter earlier.


    By that time, when monetary policy was normalized, capital could return to the us from emerging markets and commodity markets, making the US dollar go up, emerging markets and commodity markets down, and gold and nonferrous metals would all come down.

    The whole market is likely to reverse, crude oil may be built, grain and energy may finally fall.

    Xu Haiying described the scenario that might happen at that time.


    Shortly after the second round of quantitative easing in the United States, Xu Haiying told reporters in his Shenzhen office that it was a wave of bubbles, and the end was not known.

    Now, he thinks the second round of suspension is the return, and the two quarter is the process of foam.


    Dai Li also believes that if the United States suspends "quantitative easing", gold will suffer double bad profits.

    For the first time, the US economy has no doubt that the certainty of recovery is a blow to the hedge function of gold, and the second profit is the end of water injection.


    Looking back at the current market, Japan's earthquake, European debt crisis and the multiple shocks of the Middle East have made the commodity market continue to be hot.

    However, for the entire two quarter of the trend of commodities, Xu Haiying insisted that it will remain at a high level of turbulence because external liquidity still exists, and low interest rates in Europe are still continuing.

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