Cotton Prices Plummeted Cotton Farmers "Very Hurt" &Nbsp; When Cotton Prices Will Return To Reason?

In the past 3 months, Cotton price Again, the ups and downs, and last year is different, this is the cotton price "diving". The reporter interviewed found that the cotton price drop has caused many farmers' desire to "reduce production or not reduce", and the following industrial chains such as spinning and weaving were all at a loss because of the huge fluctuation of cotton prices, so many enterprises limited production and stopped production. Ensuring cotton growers' enthusiasm for planting and stabilizing cotton prices have become cotton growers. Textile enterprises Unanimous wish.

　 Cotton prices plummeted cotton farmers "very hurt"

"Now cotton price is only 8 yuan per kilogram, and I haven't sold it yet, and last year when it was high, it came to 14 yuan per kilogram, even if it was 12 yuan per kilogram 3 months ago." Looking at nearly 3500 kilograms of cotton stored in the house, Wang Jinshun, a villager in the twenty Mile Village of Gaotang County, Shandong, regrets.

In the main cotton producing areas of Shandong, Dezhou, Liaocheng and other places, Wang Jinshun is only one of the many "injured" cotton farmers. According to Ma Junkai, Deputy Secretary General of the cotton association of Dezhou, nearly 40% of the farmers' households in many parts of Dezhou have not been sold, and some villages have about 80% cotton reserves. Even some farmers have not sold a catty.

"Watching cotton prices drop day by day, cotton farmers' hearts are getting worse every day." Ding Chuncai, a cotton trader in Linqing City, Liaocheng, said that ordinary cotton farmers should earn less than 7000 yuan a year, which is really unbearable for those farmers whose main source is cotton.

　　 futures Prices and spot prices are quite similar. Zhengzhou cotton futures main contract (zhengmian 1109) in February 17th this year, the highest price once reached 34 thousand and 800 yuan per ton, in May 12th dropped to 24 thousand and 300 yuan per ton recent low point, less than March fell more than 30%. US cotton futures also fell sharply, reaching 220 cents a pound in early March.

In mid May, cotton plants in cotton fields in many parts of Shandong have been exposed to seedlings. Although cotton seedlings are growing, cotton growers are losing their minds. "Last year planted 60 mu of cotton, resulting in a flood reduction, but the price is very good in the early stage, it can be said that the production is not reduced, so this year it has a variety of 10 mu, but now the price has dropped sharply, making mistakes in decision-making." Binzhou City Qin Huang Tai Village Ma Fang village cotton grower Ma Chang Hai sighs.

According to several farmers, the cost of cotton per mu is now close to 1300 yuan (400 yuan for manpower, 500 yuan for agriculture and 400 yuan for rent). The average yield of cotton is about 280 kilograms, and seed cotton price is only 9.3 yuan per kilogram in order to maintain capital, reaching 11 yuan per kilogram. The current cotton price has just been guaranteed.

Cotton prices rise and fall to disrupt the industrial chain

Ma Junkai's assessment of cotton prices in 2010/2011 is going up and down: People's hearts palpitate. Cotton prices up and down so that ordinary people do not understand, let dry decades of cotton purchase and sale of veteran experts also do not understand that cotton industry chain cotton farmers, cotton enterprises, textile enterprises are "entangled" in cotton prices.

He said that last September to early November, cotton prices rose all the way, almost a day, cotton processing enterprises are excited and afraid, do not know if the price of cotton is up or down tomorrow, every day worried, last year, people earned money, cotton prices fell this year, some people have lost their way.

Spinning is the first process after seed cotton processing into lint, and the days are also "ice and fire". Commodity data traders' business monitoring data showed that 21S cotton yarn fell from 37 thousand yuan in mid February to less than 32 thousand yuan. Ma Junkai said that Dezhou now has more than 60% of the textile enterprises with cotton as its main raw material, and an estimated 20% of the enterprises will stop production. As the spinning factory must have certain inventory guarantee production, the high price of raw materials and low price yarn will inevitably lead to a loss.

Wang Enzhu, general manager of Xinxing Textile Co., Ltd., Shenxian, Shandong, told reporters that when the cotton price rises, the cost of the downstream industry will increase and the demand will be affected.

Although sometimes we know that we need to lose money, some enterprises still have to "bite the bullet". Tang Maoyong, deputy director of the textile and Fiber Inspection Institute of Liaocheng, Shandong, explained that some enterprises did not dare to stop work easily, and it was difficult to recruit workers in a short time after shutting down. Therefore, some enterprises could only increase their stock, but this practice can only be a temporary solution, and the pressure of enterprise funds will increase continuously.

In the process of knitting and cotton production, the fluctuation of raw material prices also affects the normal production of enterprises. Li Chuanbo, manager of Shandong de Mian Limited by Share Ltd raw materials company, said that when the cost is high, demand is reduced, and when prices fall, customers are too afraid to make long orders. Business data also showed that the short list of cotton spinning orders maintained a sharp increase in the spring Canton Fair this year, accounting for 90% of the total orders, while the long list was only 10%.

　 When does cotton price return to reason?

Although domestic cotton prices have shown signs of stabilization in recent days, it is generally agreed that cotton prices will not rebound substantially in recent years, due to the impact of global cotton production increase in 2011/2012 and the decline in global commodity prices. The sharp fluctuations in cotton prices have made the whole industry chain "entangled". Meanwhile, industry experts are also reflecting and questioning, how can the cotton price stabilization mechanism be established?

In March this year, the national development and Reform Commission and other departments in order to protect the interests of cotton farmers, issued the "2011 cotton temporary storage and purchase plan", put forward from September 1, 2011 to March 31, 2012, in Xinjiang, Shandong and other 13 provinces, with the standard minimum price of 19 thousand and 800 yuan per ton of cotton lint, the policy is not limited to the acquisition, this policy is considered by the industry as the minimum protection price system of cotton.

"The minimum protective price has a certain effect on stabilizing the market price, but at present, this price can not fully mobilize the enthusiasm of cotton farmers to grow cotton." Tang Maoyong, deputy director of the textile and Fiber Inspection Institute in Liaocheng, Shandong, who often deals with cotton farmers and cotton enterprises, said that cotton cultivation is mainly time-consuming and time-consuming. Farmers can grow grain and go out to work, which can increase many benefits.

In May 11th, the latest issue of global cotton supply and demand released by the US Department of agriculture was the first to forecast the global cotton supply and demand in 2011/2012. It is estimated that the global cotton output in May 11th will reach 27 million 155 thousand tons, an increase of about 3000000 tons over last year. The major cotton producing countries, such as China and India, will increase their output. This is considered by the industry as an important reason why cotton prices are difficult to rise significantly.

Tang Maoyong said that in 2008 and 2009, affected by the global financial crisis, cotton prices were low, and cotton production in 2010 was greatly reduced by bad weather. Cotton growers had low income for 3 consecutive years. If cotton prices continue to be low in the new year, the cotton planting area will definitely continue to decrease next year, and cotton prices will rise again and again.

Li Chuanbo believes that the stability of cotton production is the "source of 10000 sources" for the stability of the following industrial chain. The large fluctuation of output will lead to fluctuations in the prices of subsequent products such as lint, yarn, cloth and so on, thereby affecting the normal operation of the industrial chain. The state should intensify efforts in cotton seed subsidy and temporary storage and storage system, so as to keep cotton prices basically stable.