Beijing Property Market Exceeded 100 Thousand Sets Of Inventory

stay Property market Under the combined demand and supply increase, the supply and demand balance of the property market is tilting towards the buyer's market. Zhongyuan Real estate report shows that in May 22nd, Beijing's commercial housing futures inventory was 66113 sets, and the existing housing stock was 34755 sets, totaling 100868 sets. After January 18th this year, it broke 100 thousand sets for the first time in 4 months. Industry experts said that some areas have already seen a phenomenon of oversupply, if the buyer's market is maintained for a long time. housing price There will be a marked decline.

With the increase in the supply of the property market, market demand is rapidly weakening due to regulation. According to statistics from the chain home real estate market research department, compared with January, the number of new passenger sources in the city dropped by about 21% in May, and the volume of tourists in some areas decreased by more than 50%.

Chain family Real estate The report shows that in the hot market situation, the supply and demand ratio can reach 1:4 or 1:5. After many adjustments and controls, the market has a strong wait-and-see sentiment and a significant decrease in the volume of tourists. At present, the overall market supply and demand ratio is around 1:3. In some areas, supply and demand upside down for the first time, that is, supply exceeds demand. This is another 6 years since 2005, and there have been many regional buyers' markets again.

In the area of chain home real estate statistics, about 40% of the regional supply and demand ratio has been narrowed down. In some areas, the supply and demand upside down phenomenon has occurred. For example, the ratio of new housing supply to new passenger volume in some parts of Daxing in May is 1.1:1. The area of the new area near Chaoyang modern city is about 1.1:1 in May. In some areas, the supply and demand ratio is close to 1:1. These areas are mainly concentrated in the suburbs, especially in the Fourth Ring Road area.

Zhang Yue, chief analyst of chain home real estate, believes that after many adjustments and controls, it is the buyer's market that first appeared in recent years. In the buyer's market, the driving force for house price decline has increased. If the buyer market condition is maintained for a long time, house prices will decrease significantly.

The contradiction between supply and demand of the property market has always been one of the main theories of real estate experts to explain the rise in housing prices. Ren Zhiqiang, chairman of Huayuan Real estate, recently criticized Xie Guozhong as "the Raven mouth". An important reason is that Ren Zhiqiang thought Xie Guozhong "ignored the current supply and demand relationship". However, Ren Zhiqiang also acknowledged that last November's report showed that supply will increase significantly in the first half of this year, and supply and demand will be eased.

Zhang Dawei, director of Beijing Zhongyuan Real estate market, thinks that although the stock has increased, it is still lower than the 102922 highest in 2011. However, if the completion area of commercial housing is flat this year, it will add more than one million square meters of housing supply, and the local market is likely to have a turning point in the year.