Export Volume Decreased By &Nbsp, And A Group Of Enterprises With Poor Bargaining Power Would Be Eliminated.
Enterprises engaged in low-end processing and homogenization competition are "pressurized at both ends" and even forced to reduce prices.
market
The internal force mechanism may play a role, and a group of enterprises with poor bargaining power will be eliminated.
The Ministry of Commerce released 21 data: the first half of the year, the national mechanical and electrical products and processing
Trade
Product import and export scale exceeded the same period in 2008, a record high.
Among them, the export of mechanical and electrical products was 498 billion 100 million US dollars, up by 19.5%, 62.4% and 23.1% respectively over the same period in 2010, 2009 and 2008; the export of processing trade was US $390 billion 450 million, which increased by 17.5%, 55.1% and 21.3% respectively over 2010, 2009 and 2008.
"Quantity reduction"
Exit
Distortion of external demand
"Despite the overall growth, growth has been slowing down."
Zhang Ji, director of the industry department of Ministry of Commerce, said that in June, the export growth rate of mechanical and electrical products and processing trade dropped to 13.8% and 11.9%, respectively, 21.5 and 20.8 percentage points lower than those in January this year. In April and May, the export volume of processing trade decreased by 3% and 0.3% compared with that in January. In the former 200 processing trade export enterprises, more than 1/3 enterprises appeared negative growth, and large export enterprises such as Dafeng, Ren Bao and weft hit negative growth for several consecutive months.
What is particularly interesting is that some export products have "volume reduction", which reflects the distortion of exports and external demand.
For example, from 1 to May, exports of clothing, textiles, footwear, bags and processed goods decreased by 50%, 10%, 4% and 51% respectively, but the export volume increased by 14%, 18%, 12% and 10% respectively due to the rise in export prices. Preliminary statistics showed that the price of mechanical and electrical products increased by 8 to 10 points in the first half of the year, and after the deduction of price factors, the volume of exports increased by only 10%, which was lower than the average growth rate in recent years.
From the overall situation of national exports, "volume reduction" is also a prominent phenomenon.
According to Wang Shouwen, director of the foreign trade division of the Ministry of Commerce, the average price of China's exports increased by 10.2% in the first half of this year, and the price increase was 10.7 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year. The number of exports increased by 12.5%, an increase of 23.4 percentage points lower than that of the same period last year.
This feature is more evident in labor-intensive products.
The increase in export prices is mainly due to rising costs. Enterprises engaged in low-end processing and homogenization competition are operating difficulties.
"The increase in export prices is mainly due to rising costs, but the profitability of some enterprises has not improved significantly, and the business environment has been tightened, and the bearing capacity of enterprises has been differentiated."
Zhang Ji said, according to some industries and enterprises, the difficulties are mainly concentrated on factors such as rising prices of production factors, increasing production costs, policy adjustment factors and increasing operating pressure.
Ge Guorong, deputy general manager of Hangzhou CIC Rubber Co., Ltd. said: "compared with the end of last year, the average cost of raw materials in the rubber industry has increased by more than 30%.
The cost of capital is also getting higher and higher. Although the loan is not very difficult, we can not enjoy the preferential loan interest rate, which will naturally increase the operating cost.
In the face of complex external environment, different types of enterprises have differentiated capabilities.
Among them, enterprises with independent brands and core technologies have a larger price increase and are least affected.
For example, in general trade, we initially established overseas marketing and after-sales network, and initially priced the heavy machinery, agricultural machinery, construction machinery and machine tool industry, raising the price by 10%, 10%, 15% and 14% respectively.
Wang Shouwen believes that the performance of this sector and enterprises reflects that under the promotion of policies such as structural adjustment, China's foreign trade growth presents a situation of coordinated price and quantity.
However, some enterprises with low R & D capability and lack of marketing channels have a smaller price increase and a decline in competitiveness.
For example, the motorcycle industry raises 3% to 5%, but the price advantage of motorcycle products has dropped to about 10% compared with that of India. The cost of raw materials in the upper reaches of the automobile industry has increased by 10%, but the export price of motor vehicles has increased by 5%.
Some enterprises engaged in low-end processing and homogenization competition are even "two heads under pressure", or even forced to cut prices, which is difficult to operate.
For example, processing trade based notebook products, export unit price fell by 8.3%; color TV industry upstream panel was monopolized by South Korea, downstream market was basically occupied by foreign brands, export prices fell by 19%, shipping industry mainly bulk carriers, difficult to adapt to the decline in international demand, export prices fell 30%.
The market internal mechanism will play a role, and a group of enterprises with poor tolerance will be eliminated by the market.
"In the first half of this year, China's foreign trade surplus was US $44 billion 930 million, down 18.8% from the same period last year, but the main body of the surplus has not changed."
Zhang Ji said.
From 1 to June, the surplus of processing trade was 164 billion 250 million US dollars, up 19.6% from the same period last year, which is 3.7 times the overall surplus, the highest in the same period. The surplus of mechanical and electrical products was 138 billion 530 million US dollars, an increase of 21.2% over the same period last year, which is 3 times the overall surplus; the favorable balance for the US and Europe is 845.8 and 63 billion 70 million dollars, respectively, increasing by 3.8% and 1.7% respectively.
"If there is no substantial change in the formation mechanism of the surplus, it is very difficult to offset the trade surplus in processing trade and achieve trade balance by expanding the general trade import."
Zhang Ji said that the surplus in processing trade is expected to continue to grow, and the surplus in the US and Europe will increase slightly.
Wang Shouwen said: "at present, the structural contradictions of China's foreign trade surplus are still prominent, and the surplus is mainly concentrated in the European and American markets, which has affected the economic and trade relations between me and major trading partners."
Therefore, in the first half of the year, the state adjusted the provisional tariff rate on import tariffs of some products for the two time, reducing the provisional tariff of 673 kinds of products, including refined oil.
Zhang Ji said that the foreign trade situation needs to be observed in the second half of the year, but on the whole, the export growth of mechanical and electrical products and processing trade may slow down.
In this process, the market internal force mechanism may play a role. A group of enterprises with poor tolerance will be eliminated by the market. A group of enterprises with strong affordability can improve their competitiveness through structural adjustment.
"At present, the critical moment of structural adjustment should be guided by structural adjustment on the basis of maintaining policy stability and supporting pformation and upgrading of enterprises."
Zhang Ji said.
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