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    &Nbsp In The Crash; How To Turn Danger Into "Machine"

    2011/8/1 14:54:00 35

    Crash Stocks

    The market has been going downhill since October when it reached the high level last year. After entering June this year, it has seen ten consecutive Yin changes. Such a huge change is rare. Many investors dodged and suffered heavy losses. Faced with the dramatic changes in the market, many investors are anxious and do not know how to deal with it. How to turn danger into "machine" in a big drop? During this period, invited analysts will talk about their experiences from different angles for investors' reference.


    Clearance is not the best choice.


    At present, the market panic has not yet been completely resolved, but the decision made by the NDRC has just announced the decision to increase the price of refined oil and sales. Power stocks All are basically good, which helps to stabilize the disk with the help of the benchmark of the heavyweight. At present, the level of A share price earnings ratio has dropped to 20 times. The dynamic P / E of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 in 2008 is 10% lower than that of the US Standard & Poor's 500 index, and the relative valuation level has not been overestimated. So no matter how volatile the plate is now, it is not the best choice to sell.   


    Dynamic control positions


    Although some of the funds already exist. Copy the bottom The SFC has again stressed the tone of healthy and stable development of the stock market. However, due to the uncertainties in the domestic and international economic situation, the shadow of "lifting the ban" is still difficult to get rid of. It is hard to get rid of all kinds of funds in the early stage of the collapse. The fund redemption is constantly high. The disk will continue to shake in the complex game, and the pressure on the 3800~4000 point is still great. Therefore, it is suggested that investors set a rule for themselves to control the positions dynamically. For example, on the basis of the current position, the market will reduce 10% positions by 100 points, whereas on the other hand, the stock market will reduce 10% points every 100 points.   


    Reasonable matching of varieties to enhance seismic capacity


    After experiencing panic, many people have the mentality of worrying about their gains and losses. They are more likely to buy up and sell. Therefore, we need to enhance their own seismic capabilities through the combination of varieties.


    First of all, before the new bull market is clear, it is recommended to increase the fixed income bonds with certain positions in the portfolio, such as treasury bonds, convertible bonds and all kinds of bonds. Corporate bonds 。 Since these bonds have a clear coupon rate, no matter how the market fluctuates, we can guarantee the increase in principal value. In particular, it should be prompted that the convertible bonds can be protected by interest income in the bear market. The bull market can choose to convert into stock according to the prescribed price, which is a dominant species that can enter, retreat, and defend.


    On the choice of reserved stock positions, we should pay attention to long term trend and ignore short term interference, so as to improve seismic capacity. For example, the liberalization of oil and gas prices is a long-term trend, and the author thinks that all factors determine that it is likely to break the ice in the summer, so investors do not need to pay attention to rumor interference in the short term. In addition, in this round of the market, no risk or low risk varieties suddenly sprout up, and some companies have fallen through the net assets, replacement costs or rational exercise price (pay attention to analyzing the probability of exercise rights), and Blue-chip company's A share price has been significantly lower than other markets, so recognizing the trend of value return can enhance our seismic capacity.
     

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