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How To Choose Stocks That Can Be Short-Term Intervention?

2011/8/1 15:41:00 52

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One of the principles: not on the way down

Because I don't know when the price is bottom, I only choose stocks that have already been established.

In the stocks that have been established, the stocks with the strongest trend and the longest rally will be found.

We have made statistics on the stock trend of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market in the past 5 years, and reached the following conclusion: if a stock hits a new high or a recent high in a certain day, the stock will have a new possibility of over 70% in the next 60 days.

On the contrary, if a stock hits a new low or a recent low in a certain day, the stock's chances of a new low in the next 60 days will be as high as 60%.

Conclusion, please firmly remember - 7 to 3 of the winning side, why not choose the 30 day moving average of the upside stock and choose the bottom stocks and go down the channel of the stock?

Stocks at the bottom or in the down channel will only make you lose money or lose time.

Principle two: choose to run up and down the 45 degree angle.

volume

Gradually decreasing stocks.

Along the 45 degree angle, the upward trend of stock is the most stable and the longest trend.

It's just like the technicians in the building shape the stairs 45 degrees or 45 degrees, because this is the most stable shape. We call the stock with this trend characteristic the "staircase stock".

If you find stocks approaching 45 degrees, while trading volume is gradually decreasing, you will probably find the dealer's shadow on the corridor.

Principle three: choose buying continuum

Limit up

Shares.

Most of the stocks with continuous trading are in the best trend when they are in good condition.

Since the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market has implemented the increase limit, we have tracked the trend of stocks after the limit up for several years. We have followed the statistical analysis of the stocks that have been trading for the past two years, and reached the following conclusions:

Short term trend analysis of trading

1, the next day trend of trading stocks.

Through the analysis of stock trading, the average increase of the highest point on the next day is 5.92%, and the average return is 2.86% according to the closing price of the next day.

Therefore, if short-term intervention in the trading limit, the next day's average return is much higher than the yield of the two class market, even if the average yield is calculated, the annual yield is at least 65%.

2, the relationship between the stock market's trend and its share price.

There is a close relationship between the price of the trading stock and the stock price. Through the study, it can be found that the average rise of the stock below 7 yuan is above 4% on the following day, which is far higher than the average rate of return of 2.86%. Therefore, the investment return rate of the intervening low price fluctuation shares will be higher.

We also found that over 20 yuan of high price limit stocks yield is relatively high.

3, the relationship between the market trend and the size of the trading market.

In the trading stocks, the shares of the 3000 to 80 million shares of the circulating capital are better, and the average increase is much higher than the average.

It may be that the central trading volume may be the main intervention of the larger level, but it is different from the small cap stocks (only for the large households) and the large stocks (too heavy to continue to rise).

Therefore, intervention in 3000 to 80 million shares of stock trading stocks higher yield.

Medium term trend analysis of trading stocks

There are four kinds of medium-term trend after the trading of stocks, namely, the unilateral upward movement after the trading limit; the unilateral decline after the trading; after a slight rise and then a fall after the trading, after a slight decline and a rise after the trading.

The purpose of studying the medium term trend of the trading stocks is to get the yield if the intervention is not sold in time and the central line is held.

We found that the upward trend and a slight downward trend followed the upward trend in the proportion of up to 65%, that is, the upward trend of trading stocks in the medium term is large, and the trend of trading stocks is obviously better than other stocks.

Of course, for the midline shareholding of stock trading stocks, we have to refer to the market trend and the fundamentals of stocks.