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    Why Does The NDRC Always Fall Behind?

    2011/8/18 11:54:00 32

    The Development And Reform Commission Will Not Fail At Both Ends.

    stay

    oil price

    Again and again, the NDRC became the target of public criticism.

    The domestic oil pricing new mechanism has been launched for two and a half years. The challenge of oil price adjustment has never ceased, and it has concentrated on eruption every once in a while.


    In the recent doubt, a fact has been repeatedly quoted: Sinopec Hongkong branch has cut oil prices for the four time since May. In contrast, the mainland's oil prices rose two times in February and April. It has not been adjusted for more than 4 months.

    In response, the price department of the national development and Reform Commission said that at present, the domestic boundary conditions for reducing the price of finished oil have not been reached for the time being.


    The interpretation of the NDRC is beyond reproach.

    Products in the mainland and Hongkong

    Price

    The difference in mechanism has created the difference in the frequency of oil price adjustment between the two places.

    The price of oil in Hongkong is completely marketization, followed by the market, and the price of oil in the mainland is in line with the international oil price conditionally. Its adjustment must meet the rigid regulation of "22 consecutive working days in the international market, and the moving average price changes exceed 4%".


    In fact, during the past oil price adjustment, the NDRC had taken into account the public mood and fully considered the affordability of ordinary people.

    However, no matter how the NDRC explains, no matter how these explanations appear to be correct, the public is still ungrateful and can not be persuaded.


    Similarly, PetroChina and SINOPEC are not satisfied with the NDRC.

    Fu Chengyu, chairman of Sinopec Group, said that the pricing of domestic refined oil was determined by the national development and Reform Commission.

    From the perspective of enterprises, it is hoped to promote the market-oriented reform of refined oil pricing.

    The marketization reform of refined oil is a trend and must go.


    What Fu Chengyu said is true.

    In fact, in the pricing of refined oil products

    New mechanism

    The implementation of the "two barrels of oil" seems more justification for "accusation".

    In the past oil price adjustments, there have been many times that the conditions for oil price adjustment have met but not adjusted. That is, the time when the oil price adjustment should not be raised in time and the rate of artificially lowering the oil price has been reduced. The two big oil giants have suffered losses.


    This is the embarrassing situation faced by the national development and Reform Commission, which can neither convince the public nor satisfy the "two barrels of oil".

    Why did the NDRC fall into such a situation?

    The root of the problem lies in the fact that the NDRC firmly controls the pricing power of refined oil, and it does not adjust.

    The superposition of two identities of policy makers and policy executors makes them ill judged.


    The only option for the NDRC to get rid of its infamy and stay aloof is to divest its pricing power and let the market decide the price of refined oil, and only retain its responsibility for supervision.

    But how difficult is the marketization of oil prices?

    The ultimate direction of the oil price reform must be complete marketization. However, under the premise that the oil monopoly is not broken and the oil market is two dominant, the decentralization of the pricing of the refined oil must be cautious.


    Compared with the long-term goal of oil price marketization, it seems more urgent to adjust the pricing mechanism of oil products.

    However, this is difficult to implement. If the price adjustment time is shortened on the 22 working days and the change of the 4% oil price decreases, then the change of international oil prices will be pmitted more frequently to the domestic market. If it does not increase, it will still cause a curse.


    The real reason for this embarrassing situation is probably

    product oil

    The reform and Development Commission's pace is lagging behind market demand and expectation.

    Of course, the NDRC is not doing nothing.

    Since August 1st this year, the domestic kerosene export price has been adjusted 1 times a month, and the marketization reform of aviation kerosene prices has been further promoted.

    This is a positive sign.

    We need to know that in the reform of the pricing mechanism of oil products, we can not always take small steps and run fast.

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