Analysis Said Sino US Cooperation And Divergence Will Continue

In August 1st, Luo Jiahui, who had a shoulder bag, relaxed with his family in Beijing Capital International Airport. The former Secretary of commerce with "Chinese face" officially announced his appointment as ambassador to the United States. He became the first Chinese ambassador to China and the first "Ministerial official" to serve as ambassador to China.

On August 17th, vice president Biden arrived in Beijing to start his Asian three nation tour.

Biden has always been known for his diplomacy in the United States. The New York Times said he "played a positive role in the most important decisions of the Obama administration".

In fact, the purpose of easy inauguration and diplomatic visit to China is clear: the Obama administration attaches importance to the relationship with China.

Network "tornado"

On the 14 day, more than 140 media in the world poured into the official residence of the US ambassador in Guanghua Road, Beijing, to attend the media meeting of Luo Jiahui.

The Chinese ambassador to China has attracted the attention of Chinese media.

In the United States, Luo Jiahui is considered an expert in economic and trade.

Though a Democratic member of the United States, he holds the neoliberal economic concept: he advocates reducing government spending, reducing taxes and free trade.

So Democrats have criticized him for embracing Republican policy.

He is regarded as "Pro business", sympathetic to multinational companies, committed to promoting American products and maintaining American companies overseas.

At the same time, Luo Jiahui is also an expert on China's economy.

He is known to be familiar with the business situation of the United States in China and has connections in Chinese political circles, which is obviously an important reason why Obama chose him as ambassador to China.

Dong Jiling, a business advisory member of the US Department of Commerce, said: "the relationship between the Obama administration and China has attached importance to the extent of the need to use a cabinet minister to become an ambassador."

Obviously, the choice of Luo Jiahui is a "strong and diplomatic skill".

Ken Lieberthal, a Chinese expert at the Brookings Institution, told the Financial Times: "I think this reflects that the Obama administration is very serious about economic and trade relations, and I hope there is an insider in this field." Kenneth Lieberthal

But Luo Jiahui also faces many challenges during his tenure, including the US debt crisis, the RMB exchange rate, the US market access, and the protection of intellectual property rights. These are long-standing disputes between the two economies, and of course there are always political problems.

As for the fact that Chinese identity can help Luo Jiahui much more in the future, it is not certain.

But on the face of it, Chinese identity is bound to promote cultural and social exchanges between China and the United States.

In fact, this special identity has also narrowed the distance from the Chinese people.

Its simple and easy-going image was quickly circulated by netizens.

Photos of his backpack and luggage were widely reproduced by netizens.

Others have called on the blog to refer to Luo Jiahui's standard implementation.

Now it seems that Luo Jiahui has just picked up a "whirlwind" on the Internet when he first arrived in China, and even became a "political star", which may have reached the political and cultural effects of the US government.

Biden's visit to China: debt, exchange rate and Politics

Shortly after Luo Jiahui arrived in China, vice president Biden also made his way to China.

It is reported that Biden's visit to China was originally aimed at strengthening exchanges with the Chinese leadership.

"To put it simply, we are investing in the future of Sino US relations," Tony Blinken, a US national security adviser, told the US CNN.

However, the recent US debt crisis has made almost all media and observers believe that the most important agenda for Biden's visit to China is to discuss the issue of US debt.

According to Bloomberg reports, Biden will bring a message to Beijing: "the money you lent to the United States is safe."

It is clear that Biden's visit to China may also serve as a signal for the world to enhance the US debt holdings to the US economy.

White House officials say Biden will explain to China the advantages of the "very powerful package deficit reduction plan".

He also hoped to inform Beijing that after the S & P lowered its US credit rating, the Obama administration had a response policy, hoping to dispel Beijing's worries.

Biden will stress to Beijing: "the United States is capable, willing and will do its best to deal with the severe financial challenges we face."

Law Brainard, Vice Minister of international affairs of the US Treasury, revealed that another important point of Biden's trip is the economic issue of RMB appreciation.

Biden will continue to persuade the Chinese government to adjust the RMB exchange rate.

Although the renminbi has appreciated slightly since last year, it remains the most sensitive and often deadlocked issue between China and the United States.

The New York Times wrote: "it is not clear what leverage Mr. Biden has."

On the 14 day, more than 140 media in the world poured into the official residence of the US ambassador in Guanghua Road, Beijing, to attend the media meeting of Luo Jiahui.

At the same time, Kenneth Lieberthal revealed that Biden hopes to know more about the status quo of China's economy.

"All media are focused on the US economy, but the Chinese economy itself has severe challenges," he said. "The vice president will want to know about China's political economy, how the politics and economy blend, and what kind of expectation it will have for China.

Because the progress of China's economy will directly affect those problems related to the US economy. "

Another thing Biden needs to talk about is political issues.

Danny Russell, senior director of Asian Affairs at the National Security Staff, believes that Biden is expected to discuss with Chinese officials the issue of nuclear weapons in North Korea and Iran and security issues in East Asia. China's human rights will also be a frequent problem raised by senior US officials.

In addition, although the White House revealed that Biden would not mention the topic of arms sales in Taiwan, some Chinese scholars believe that the problem is still possible.

Cooperation and disagreement between China and the United States will continue

The Chinese media have paid much attention to Luo Jiahui's inauguration and Biden's visit to China. They have been surrounded by flashlights before arriving in China. It seems to highlight the importance of the two people in the recent trend of Sino US relations.

In fact, neither Luo Jiahui's inauguration nor Biden's visit to China is likely to change the pattern of Sino US relations.

The reason is that the interaction between countries is mainly driven by structural factors: including the international system, international system, domestic political structure and cultural factors.

The international system is a pattern of power, which has its inherent stability in the absence of large-scale changes in state power, such as the disintegration of the Soviet Union; the international system is the result of the bargaining of nations, once it is established, it is hard to overturn; domestic politics is different because of the different political systems of different countries. As in a democratic country like the United States, the formulation of foreign policy needs to be debated and discussed repeatedly, and also restricted by public opinion. Cultural factors determine people's subjective approval, which will not be changed easily.

Politicians as actors can have an impact on policy making and the Sino US pattern, but in most cases this effect is limited.

The main issue of Sino US relations is also structural. There are conflicts between the changes in Sino US forces, the friction of specific economic interests, and the disagreement between ideology and values.

If structural factors can not be changed, these differences will not be fundamentally changed.

Some of the public gave Luo Jiahui high hopes that he could bring positive influence to Sino US relations.

But Luo Jiahui will not change his political position because of his feelings toward China.

Biden's visit to China may not be able to push forward the substantial progress of Sino US relations. The "Butterfly Effect" produced by US debt risk will continue. The Chinese government will not dispel doubts about US debt because of a "political public relations".

When Obama visited China in 2009, a large number of media and the public were discussed to speculate about what effect he could bring to Sino US relations, but the basic political and economic differences were still unresolved.

But on the whole, cooperation between China and the United States is far greater than conflict.

After the normalization of Sino US relations in 1979, young congressman Biden visited China.

At that time, he found that the poor country was walking out of the shadow of the "Cultural Revolution".

Now, when he visits China again, this country has become the most important trading partner and the largest holder of US Treasury bonds in the United States.

Luo Jiahui said at the media conference: "the United States and China have extremely important and complex diplomatic and economic bilateral relations. This is a challenge. There is no doubt about this, but there is also great hope of expanding cooperation and cooperation."

According to BBC, "Washington is very careful not to disturb China"; "Washington insists that the Sino US relationship is fundamentally a partnership and rejected the proposal of a zero sum game between China and the United States".

Sino US relations have entered a stage of highly interdependent (interdependence).

In 2010, the total value of imports from the United States to Chinese products amounted to US $364 billion 900 million, and the share involved in trade friction accounted for only 1% of the total trade volume between China and the United States.

U.S.A

In addition, for today's Sino US relations, the above structural factors are not static, but changing, but this change is gradual.

It can be speculated that in the absence of large-scale structural reform, relations between China and the United States will slowly change in the future, but we do not know which way we will go in the future.

Political elites play an important role in this process, but their abilities are restricted.