Canton Fair: Next Year, Overseas Clothing Orders Rebound Or Labor Shortage.

Reporters in the Canton Fair interview learned that this year's overseas clothing orders fell sharply, the industry has decided that after the Spring Festival, there will be a wave of orders rebound, when a large number of stoppage enterprises temporarily "restart", may cause labor shortage and so on a wave of false prosperity.

Yesterday was the first day of the third session of the 110th Canton Fair. Clothing enterprise This is a major focus of this issue. Quite a number of garment export enterprises interviewed by this newspaper have indicated that the export orders for garment industry have been shrinking rapidly this year, and many enterprises have no orders.

Liang Yongsheng, manager of Jiangsu Hui Hong International Group Nanjing Ou Heng Clothing Co., Ltd., told us that since last year, the upstream fabric price for clothing has risen by nearly 40%, which has greatly increased the production cost of clothing. This year, due to the impact of the debt crisis in Europe and America, the European and American markets have become sluggish. Many European and American buyers have lowered their expectations for future markets, and have squeezed the volume of purchases in the presence of inventory.

Cao Xiaojian, deputy general manager of Jiangsu sainty (600287) joint stock company [Jiangsu sainty (600287.SH)], also told reporters that, due to various factors such as the European debt crisis, orders for the garment industry have been reduced so far.

"The situation is very bad now, because buyers are mainly digesting their previous stock this year. The inventory is almost digested at the moment, but the demand is still not strong because of the cautious and pessimistic economic situation next year.

In the case of sharp reduction in orders, buyers also abandoned the original development of small and medium-sized. Supplier We should concentrate our orders on several enterprises that can supply them with assurance. "Buyers dare not give the list to the small and medium-sized suppliers, because once these owners run away, they will not be able to deliver the goods, which will be even more troublesome." Cao Xiaojian said.

Under such circumstances, business failures will continue. "At least 1/5 to 2/5 of garment manufacturers can no longer go on this year." Cao Xiaojian said, now every day can get a lot of calls or faxes to order, or people will come directly to talk.

However, Liang Yongsheng did not lose all confidence in his future expectations. He said that clothing as a necessities of life, according to the European consumption habits, every year in April and May and December have to change seasons, if buyers reduce procurement volume this year, will be replenished next year, so at that time or usher in a busy order season.

Be engaged in foreign trade Cao Xiaojian, who has worked for decades, thinks that demand will not be strong next year. However, because the previous orders have been reduced too much, it is not enough to support the most basic sales of European and American customers, so there will be a wave of orders rebound after the Spring Festival.

　 However, the peak season for such orders may not be good news for clothing companies.

Cao Xiaojian analysis, at present, many factories in China are not working well enough. Once the single information is transmitted to the country, it will lead to a lot of factories paying high salaries to re recruit workers. Many fabric factories, including garment factories, will increase their prices with the increase of orders, and a price increase will damage the orders behind, thus creating a new illusion of prosperity, including labor shortage.

In this regard, Shun Tian's strategy is that at present, as long as there is an order. Then seize the first wave of the Spring Festival supplement, give up the second wave, the third wave of the supplementary list. "Because at that time, the raw materials in China must be rising, which is the peak period of traditional clothing production."

While the effective order is not enough, the profit of garment production has also been greatly affected. Customs data show that the total export volume of clothing and accessories in China this year was $115 billion 230 million in 1~9 this year, an increase of 23.3% over the same period last year. However, the volume of clothing exports has hardly increased.

In the 1~8 months of this year, the number of garments actually exported in China was 19 billion 622 million, representing an increase of only 1.8%. Therefore, after deducting the appreciation of RMB exchange rate and the rising cost of raw materials and labor, the profit margins of garment export enterprises have become very narrow.

　　 "In 2008, we shouted" wolf ". Now," wolf "is really coming. Liang Yongsheng said.

Guangzhou Rui Gao Garments Co., Ltd., which manages jeans, is mainly exported to the European market. Its general manager, Chen Yidong, is more conservative and pessimistic than the 2008 when he looks forward to this year's clothing export industry in the coming year and even in the next 2~3 years. {page_break}

Chen Yidong believes that in the next 2~3 years, the total volume of foreign trade in the garment export industry is in a downward trend.

In order to reduce the losses, Chen Yidong began to take the steps of "domestic sales" in order to reduce the loss of orders. At present, they are already doing domestic OEM for JACK&JONES and other big brands. On the other hand, they are also increasing their own research and development. According to Chen Yidong, they will invest in 4%~5% of their own business each year to develop their own brands, so as to get rid of their dependence on external customers as soon as possible and grasp the initiative.