The Impact Of The Environment On Cotton Prices In Xinjiang Is A Little Low This Year.

As at 16 hours in November 1st, domestic

As a major cotton producing province, Xinjiang has also experienced a gradual decline in the purchase price of seed cotton this year.

According to the data provided by the regional textile office, the price of seed cotton has dropped by about 4-6 yuan per kilogram this year.

Status: high cost of cotton picking, low purchase price.

"Cotton prices have fallen sharply."

In October 29th, when the relatives of the farmers in Manasi came to visit their relatives, they said that this year's cotton prices shook their heads repeatedly. "At the beginning of this year, the purchase price was 8.5 yuan / kg, unlike last year, it was 10 yuan a kilogram, and a few cents lost this month, and the cost of cotton picking has been very high."

According to Lao ye, last year cotton picking price was about 1.2 yuan per kilogram, the highest time was 1.5 yuan.

This year increased to 1.6 yuan per kilogram -1.8 yuan, the highest to 2 yuan.

According to the average market price of an average yield of 280 kg per mu and seed cotton price of 8.2 yuan / kg, the cost of picking up flower workers per mu is 2 yuan, plus the cost of living and lodging of florist, which is 2.2-2.4 yuan per kilogram.

The cost of planting is between 1600-2000 yuan per mu.

Cotton farmers with a total cost of less than one mu can earn tens of dollars. Cotton farmers with high total cost will lose two hundred or three hundred yuan.

In fact, not only is the purchase price of cotton more than last year, that is, the retail price of cotton is also lower than last year.

In November 1st, the reporter learned from the textile Office of the autonomous region that in October, the retail price of cotton in our district (the average price of 25 days in the whole region) was: 19.9 yuan / kg of fine wool cotton, 20.6 yuan / kg of fine wool cotton, 3.4% and 2.83% lower than that of the same period last month, and 26.5 yuan / kg of long staple cotton, compared with the same period last month, the price dropped 1.85%.

Compared with the same period last year, the fine wool cotton decreased by 1%, the fine wool cotton decreased by 0.48%, and the long staple cotton dropped by 17.19%.

From the cotton purchase situation, since the seed cotton market in our region, the overall downward trend of prices, down 4-6 yuan per kilogram.

The price fluctuation in southern Xinjiang is larger than that in Northern Xinjiang and eastern Xinjiang.

"At present, the price of seed cotton purchase is down all along, and the psychological bottom line that cotton growers look forward to is going to be broken down. They dare not hoard seed cotton and rush to sell cash."

The autonomous region textile industry office concerned the current cotton purchase situation has carried on the analysis.

In late September, when the cotton picking period was not long before, the reporter learned from the interview that this year's rising cost of picking flowers has made the florist "steal pleasure", but the cotton farmers who worked hard for a year have complained about the super high yield and high yield of cotton.

Cotton picking prices in Xinjiang this year are much higher than last year, and cotton purchasing prices are lower than last year.

Last year, the price of cotton picking in Xinjiang was around 1.2 yuan per kilogram, up to 1.5 yuan.

This year increased to 1.6 to 1.8 yuan, the highest to 2.5 yuan.

Last year cotton purchase price was higher, more than 10 yuan per kilogram, the highest reached 14 yuan, and this year only 8.5 yuan, it is estimated that the latter can not raise much.

Analysis: environmental impact on cotton prices

While cotton prices in Xinjiang are low, domestic cotton futures prices have also been declining.

As of 16 November 1st, the price of domestic cotton futures only maintained at 19 thousand and 400 yuan / ton, compared with 29 thousand yuan / ton last year, the price was nearly 10 thousand yuan per ton.

Why is the price of cotton less than that of the same period last year? Reporters interviewed Tan Wei, Xinjiang Hongyuan futures expert.

"The international and domestic environment has affected the price of cotton."

Tan Wei said that this year's overall economic downturn: investment and exports double deceleration, consumption promotion slowly, it is difficult to make up.

Since March this year, prices of copper, rebar, soybean oil, sugar, cotton and other staple commodities have continued to decline. In the world, countries have not seriously reformed, even the remaining problems of the financial crisis have not been completely resolved, causing greater turbulence in the financial market. The subsequent dollar crisis, Euro debt and the Middle East pattern have affected commodity futures prices.

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"The revitalization of the industry has also led to the price of cotton. In September last year, the price of cotton was 17 thousand yuan / ton, and the price was 28 thousand yuan -2.9 million yuan / ton by November 1st.

But money, inflation,

Outlook: Cotton in Xinjiang is expected to bottom out next year.

It is not difficult to see that cotton prices are greatly affected by the downstream of the industrial chain, and from the previous situation, as the textile industry downstream of the cotton industry chain will have a pitional period of about two years each time, will the low cotton prices this year also affect next year?

"Cotton prices in Xinjiang are expected to increase next year."

Tan Wei believes that with the gradual digestion of the bubble in the financial market, the market of foreign developed economies will gradually improve in the next two years. This year's investment in Xinjiang's textile industry and government policy support will bring positive news for Xinjiang's cotton market next year.

His analysis is also confirmed by the steady growth of textile industry in Xinjiang this year.

The reporter learned from the textile Office of the autonomous region that, in the 1-8 month of this year, the profit of Xinjiang's textile industry above Designated Size reached 57 million yuan (the same below), and the main business income was 15 billion 288 million yuan, an increase of 20.91% over the same period last year. The industrial added value was 3 billion 694 million yuan, an increase of 31.74% over the same period last year.

It is understood that this year's textile industry in Xinjiang fixed assets investment completed 4 billion yuan, an increase of 30% over the previous year, the most in the calendar year.

In the first half of this year, the first batch of small and medium-sized enterprises' special funds of 3 million 750 thousand yuan had been allocated to enterprises and supported the launching and construction of 7 textile projects.

A number of renewal, new construction and extension projects are also being carried out.

Through the promotion of these projects, Xinjiang textile industry is building 30 key projects this year, and will strive to complete investment of more than 4 billion yuan, plans to add 1 million spindles, 500 looms, 300 thousand tons of viscose production capacity, and breakthroughs in home textiles and printing and dyeing.

Meanwhile, Xinjiang's "12th Five-Year" put forward the "two cities, seven gardens, one center" as an important carrier and platform for the textile industry to undertake industrial pfer. The people's Government of the autonomous region has issued a fiscal and taxation policy to support the development of Xinjiang's textile industry.

At present, the Akesu textile industrial city has attracted a number of key textile projects such as Zhejiang Huafu, YOUNGOR, Li Tian, Yongxiang, giant eagle, Jiangsu Lian FA and Shanghai Baijin, and have invested about 2 billion yuan.

In 12th Five-Year, the target of Shihezi textile industrial city in the "two cities" was set to ring spinning for more than 4 million spindles, 40 thousand for air spinning and 13 thousand for Cotton Looms.

The textile industry Office of Xinjiang autonomous region has said that under the influence of multiple unfavorable factors, the whole industry has achieved steady growth, which stems from the support of various policies of the state and autonomous regions. Moreover, the textile industry in the mainland continues to shift to Xinjiang, the key projects continue to start construction, and the textile industry in the autonomous region is gradually gathering and developing. The textile industry in Xinjiang is pforming from resource advantages to industrial advantages and economic advantages.