No One Asks For A Snowy White Survey Of Cotton Producing Areas In Southwest Shandong Province: Lonesome Cotton
Along the 308 provincial road of Shandong westbound, it entered the whole country.
cotton
Main producing area
Texas
The city of Xiajin.
In the early winter, cotton fields on both sides of the road continued to grow in cotton fields.
The owner of the cotton flower processing plant told reporters that all the cotton factories in Xiajin county have stopped buying, and are waiting to see that there is no turning point.
After the collapse of prices of many agricultural products, the price of cotton in Dezhou has been on the low side since its opening.
At present, the cotton farmers in Dezhou are reluctant to sell, the cotton processing enterprises are seriously losing money and the textile industry is barely maintaining. The upstream and downstream enterprises involved in cotton have actually been paralyzed.
For the first time this year, the government's protective price was launched for major cotton producing areas.
policy
Because the supporting measures are not perfect, it has almost failed to play its due role.
Some experts called for subsidies for cotton farmers, such as grain subsidies, while encouraging cotton farmers to set up cotton cooperatives to reduce planting costs.
Otherwise, this year's price slump will lead to a sharp shrinkage of planting area in the coming year, which will bring new hidden dangers for the sharp rise and fall of agricultural products.
Xiajin cotton processing, storage and storage all stagnation
Shandong is one of the main cotton producing areas in the country, accounting for 1/8 of the total cotton output in the country, while Dezhou accounts for 14% of Shandong's total. Among them, Xiajin County planted 540 thousand acres last year, accounting for more than 75% of the total cultivated land in the county.
Zhao Yuanhai, who lives next to the 308 provincial road, has been growing cotton for over thirty years.
Last year, Zhao Yuanhai planted 9 mu of cotton, 450 yuan per mu, sold at a price of more than 6 yuan per catty, earning more than 24 thousand yuan, but this year's output is likely to be even less than 10 thousand yuan.
He told reporters that cotton is not up to price, now look at all flowers (all cotton) 3 yuan a kilogram of no one to accept; two is that this year's rain is large, cotton production is low, mu yield of about 400 Jin, even if the price of 3 yuan / kg sold all around 10 thousand yuan.
After deducting costs, this year's net income is at most 5000 yuan, averaging about 600 yuan per mu.
This is not the manpower cost of picking cotton, but now the cost of picking up one mu of cotton is 100 yuan.
So far, Zhao Yuanhai's cotton has not been sold for a kilogram. As far as he knows, no one in the whole village has sent cotton.
Zhang Cunbao is not so lucky as the owner of the Zhang Xin Hao village, Ruixin cotton mill, which is more than ten miles away from the Zhao Jia Fang village. He rented more than 20 mu of cotton for 400 yuan per mu, plus the cost of picking up cotton.
He said that some people in their village had rented cotton in Tianjin, and the price of the rented land was even higher, which was 600 yuan per mu.
Reporters saw that along the 308 provincial roads on the two sides of the cotton processing plant is also a depression.
Zhang Cunbao told reporters that in early July of this year, the lint market fell to 15 thousand yuan / ton low rise again, cotton mill processing last year, Chen cotton has a short profit, but a month later, with the new cotton market, cotton factory immediately lose money.
He collected 20 tons of seed cotton this year, and then no more cotton. So far three months have passed, and 20 tons of cotton have not been sold in the storehouse.
Zhang Cunbao said, now how much, how much.
At this time of the year, his cotton factory had to process 5-7 tons of cotton every day, and 30 acres of yard filled with cotton bags.
Now I can only squatting in my office to smoke cigarettes and watch TV.
The cotton mill is a little better, but it is also maintained.
The Ruixin cotton mill, which is separated from the Ruixin cotton plant, has an output value of 150 million yuan last year.
The main reason why the cotton mill is not closed is that it will not be able to recruit workers after it starts again.
It is reported that 70% of Dezhou's cotton mills are now operating at the margins of profit and loss.
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Ma Junkai, Secretary General of Dezhou Cotton Association, confirmed that cotton processing and storage in Xiajin had all stagnated.
Low policy protection price
Ma Junkai said that cotton prices plummeted this year, the root cause is oversupply.
This year the world's cotton harvest, total demand of 25 million tons, output of 27 million tons; from the national perspective is also a bumper harvest year, output of 7 million 300 thousand tons, demand for 10 million tons, although there is a gap, but this gap has been filled by the global harvest; on the other hand, Europe and the United States economic downturn, cotton textile products orders reduced, while many orders to Southeast Asian countries, so that the downstream industry is worsening and underemployment, which also causes cotton yarn prices, cotton prices are low.
According to Ma Junkai estimates, the average net income of cotton growers in Dezhou area should be around 200 yuan per year, compared with grain crops, but the income is much lower.
Zhao Yuanhai has planted 4 acres of cotton fields for wheat.
Ma Junkai judged that next year the cotton planting area in Dezhou may be reduced by more than 20%, or even 1/3.
Last year, the price of seed cotton has been as high as 7 yuan. This year, it dropped to 3 yuan and still has no market price. With cotton growers pulling the bar and planting wheat, the price of cotton will be staged again in the coming year due to reduced supply.
It is worth noting that in September 8th of this year, cotton was first opened up at the lowest protective price.
However, according to a reporter's investigation in Xiajin County, the policy protection price basically failed to play a role.
First, the protection of prices is low.
The purchase price of 19 thousand and 800 yuan / ton is against three grade lint, but this year only three of Dezhou's flowers are 10%, and the price declines make grade identification more severe. For farmers whose own land is planting cotton, it is obviously not as high as grain income, which seriously dampens farmers' enthusiasm.
Two is that the price does not take into account the cost of rental farmers, and from now on, the lease of cotton has become a trend, this year's market so that farmers in Shandong area rented cotton farmers almost all out of money.
Three, it is difficult to prevent cotton farmers from planting crops, which is likely to cause the cotton prices to rise again and again in the coming year.
Ma Junkai believes that the policy protection price still plays a certain role.
He said that if there is no protective price, cotton prices may go down, and the protection price will also play a supporting role in global cotton prices.
As for the role of purchasing and storage policy is not obvious, Ma Junkai believes that the national protective price is for lint, and farmers are in the hands of seed cotton, after purchase and sale and processing before storage.
He said, "now, this price is a little lower.
If it is set at 22 thousand yuan, it may be better. "
Ma Junkai suggested that cotton is the only crop after grain. The state should pay attention to cotton production as much as grain.
Now cotton farmers only have 15 yuan per mu of good seed subsidies, considering the increase in agricultural prices, cotton farmers should also enjoy 98 yuan per mu of agricultural subsidies.
In addition, the state should also provide special funds to support the establishment of professional cooperatives for cotton farmers, so as to achieve unified purchase, planting, medicine and labor reduction so as to fundamentally reduce costs and reduce labor intensity.
After all, domestic demand for cotton has nearly 3 million tons of shortfall every year. Once the situation is reversed, the sharp rise and fall of cotton prices is inevitable.
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