One Word: A Month Down 3000 Yuan &Nbsp; Viscose Staple Fiber "Cold Pressing".

Viscose staple fiber has gained a small margin in the third quarter this year. rebound Later, after the national day, it fell again. passageway 。 In recent days, viscose staple fiber market has been "sad", the business is gloomy, and the market is low frequently. Viscose manufacturers are under pressure. At present, the intention price of high-end fiber shipments has not changed much, the mainstream price is 17500 yuan, the middle end fiber factory is slightly chaotic, the mainstream price is 17000 yuan, because the market is short of buying gas, viscose staple fiber has dropped nearly 3000 yuan in the past month, which has fallen below the base price this year. The author thinks that the main reason for this phenomenon lies in the whole. market Shrinkage makes viscose staple rise weak. The following are the following points:

Sticky short market "cold wind".

At present, the viscose staple fiber manufacturers reflect that this year's market has basically taken shape, and there is no chance of further rebound. The market which was originally optimistic in the first half of the year has also become a bubble and the price is weak. There are more than 2 months to close to the year. Manufacturers are now choosing to reduce production or sell at low prices according to the current order and stock situation. From the data statistics, the starting rate of viscose staple fiber in 7-10 months is 60%, 68%, 82% and 71% respectively, especially since November. At present, the production line of Hailong is stagnant in Shandong, the operating rate is near 70%, the rate of the opening of the company is 80%, the output rate of the chemical fiber in Jilin is only 60%, and the viscose staple fiber production and marketing are becoming weaker and weaker, and viscose staple fiber is now at break even.

Although the reduction of operating rate has reduced operating costs and balanced supply and demand of the market, viscose staple fibers have not been able to withstand the cold market at all, and prices are rising slowly. Facing the end of the demand for closing positions, the profits of downstream enterprises are also decreasing significantly, and the weakening of shipment makes the market not keen on the purchase of raw materials. In addition, the recent sharp rise and fall of raw material prices has also increased the cautious attitude of downstream textile enterprises. The appreciation of RMB and inflation have deepened the difficulties of export. The market is on the sidelines, dragging down the viscose staple fiber.

The volume and price of the upstream and downstream markets are falling.

Upstream, at present, the market prices of short staple have also been greatly frustrated. Some oil factories sell at a low price, so as to control costs and lower prices. The mainstream price of short velvet in the market is around 4200 yuan. The pulp price meeting held in Tianjin in November 6th will set a price of 10000 yuan for this month. It does not bring strong support to cotton pulp, and prices continue to descend. The mainstream negotiation price of cotton pulp now stays at around 9500 yuan. Market sales are sluggish, and viscose manufacturers have a large stock of raw materials, and the demand for upstream is weak, making cotton pulp "low price without market".

Downstream, the recent cotton market has continued to explore the trend. Although cotton has the support of the national trump card, but since October 18th, cotton prices once again below the national reserve price of 19800 yuan, no improvement trend, as of November 10th, the domestic 328 cotton quotes at 19268 yuan, compared with the highest price 19955 last month, or 3.4%. Although this year is a bumper harvest for cotton, but from the cotton demand, this year's demand has been reduced by half compared with the previous years. The unbalanced supply of the market has led to a "drop and fall" of cotton prices, and the profits of cotton processing enterprises have also entered the profit and loss point. The increase of labor costs has also made the enterprises themselves suffer the storm. Not only the cotton and yarn market can only be described with a "weak" word. Turnover is basically low in the doldrums. Market watching is generally strong. Sales of cotton mills are weak, and production and production slump have increased significantly. At present, manufacturers are more digested and stock up. They have no confidence in the market. Now the price of Xiaoshao area is very chaotic. The mainstream price of woven 30S is 20500 yuan, and the knitting 30S is 21500 yuan.

On the whole, whether viscose staple fiber itself or upstream and downstream are entangled by negative factors. For viscose staple fiber, although the increase of price and the decrease of cost are the two engines to raise profits, at the present time, we should stabilize the price of viscose staple fiber, return the funds and guarantee the capital chain, so as to drive the cold of this early winter and stop the downward trend of viscose staple fiber.