The Sound Of Rabbit Tail Is Expected To Breed The Beginning Of Longteng.

Farewell to the rabbit year transaction It is too late to consider the option of holding or holding money when it comes to Japan. Some people will say that you never really talked about any strategy of holding shares or holding money, so that readers can make good judgments. Indeed, maybe I do not have a blog to tell you exactly what to choose from cash or stock, but almost every article has mentioned more or less how our retail investors should choose. The most important thing is to keep eye to eye and keep ears in the strategy, so as to maintain the flexibility of strategy. There is no need to stick to stocks or hold two words. This is because the current A share market is getting bigger and bigger, and the differentiation of stocks will become more and more serious (is this week's bumpy bump?), this stock may be suitable for far away, but that stock is suitable for holding on to continue to eat profits; the two aspect is due to the complexity and diversity of the current macro environment, resulting in a rapid change in index. Forecast The "risk" of failure is better than the right trading policy of "seeing the result again", and the intention of the main force of the week before the holiday should be clearly understood.

For example, with the second half of Friday. trend The "wonderful ending", the author has declared that last week's personal short-term prediction is a complete failure, and it is totally not allowed. This is also because the pessimistic atmosphere caused by long-term weakness leads to the habit of the author. (but then, let's see that we are not waiting for a turnaround to come to the airport. According to the conclusion that "no pre war war is weak and a foregone conclusion" and "continuation of the plate weakness indicates that the rabbit tail market has shrunk", I believe that if the money is not expected to change and the money will continue, the tail of the rabbit can hardly be tilted up. Even if it does not appear again, it will be difficult to perform well near the integer pass. The result is just Tuesday's "thunder on the ground". Volume The market started a new round of market, even if the eight stocks still had a lot of repetition, they could not block the passion of two directional stocks. According to the motherboard index, the two cities of this week have received almost no head of the week. The main board index has recovered the ten week line, while the Shanghai Stock Index 50 has recovered the 20 week line. The mainland bank index has broken through the annual line and the 60 week line. Only the gem board has continued to have tenth weeks Yin. This trend of ice and fire has fully demonstrated the preference of the current fund, that is, yesterday's emphasis on "two, low, strong". If the plan of holding shares or holding money for a holiday early last week, it must be "holding money". No doubt it is late now. Therefore, the author emphasizes flexibility and "resourcefulness". For example, on Wednesday, the author has revised his viewpoint as "twists and turns". (this coincidence should not ignore the new wave brought by pressure level). The shock at 2300 points is so intense. On Thursday, it tells you directly that "behind the big shock is a big transfer of chips".

After such a long period of differentiation, we believe that our strategy is almost as quick as possible. On Wednesday, we mentioned "the most unsuitable varieties for holding shares". In essence, A shares are divided into two categories. The margin of safety is high and the margin of safety is low. If this is too general, then we may as well point out that the annual report is promising, the growth rate matches the P / E ratio, overfalls and rises and falls, and there are negative news affecting the reputation of the company. The industry of the cold industry is still not enough or has just started to make up and down, and the two types of stocks should have completely different manipulations. The key to the reverse operation of the first class of staunch stocks is to "adjust to dare to suck down", while the latter is to maintain money at ease, and the key to reverse operation is "no smoking but no greed". If it is hard to judge this, it is still the two idea. First, with the gradual recovery of market sentiment, we believe that all kinds of plates will usher in the turning point. However, there is a time problem, so we simply have to wait for the new year to wait until the year of the dragon war again. There are no problems in the whole line dormancy this week. Two, there are many experts' semi warehouse holdings, which are not worried about the rise in the stock market after the festival, and are not worried about the holding up of stocks after the holiday. When the stock rises, half of the positions can share the gains from the stock increase; if the stock falls, half of the positions are in hand, and are not afraid to be locked up. This is probably the most mediocre tactic for a friend who is uncertain or who is in danger.

In any case, to adapt to the "incomplete bearer", some of the current positions of friends should be happy, because the trend of Friday can be said to be strong enough to give people a rare sense of "happiness", and the trend of good stability has once again returned to the market. Li Daxiao released micro-blog last night: "the most difficult time for A shares is over, and the first bull market in China's stock market will be born." Li Daxiao believes that the reason for the birth of the first real bull market is: the main part of the national economy has basically been completed, and the market value of the stock market has accounted for more than half of the GDP. The economic growth will eventually be reflected in the stock market. The threat of total circulation of repeated cattle killing will no longer exist. The mechanism of checks and balances in the two-way trading of the market has initially formed, and long-term capital entry will effectively change the habit of short selling of investors, and the industrial capital will gradually dominate. I also released the first net increase of industrial capital in micro-blog in December. Whether the "real bull market" appeared, the author did not dare to make a final decision, but at least the situation was gradually improving. There was no problem with the "loud rabbit tail". The warm air in the offshore market has also promoted the effective solution of the tight situation of A shares (of course the author is still cautious). The broad money supply in:12 month has increased by 2 trillion and 610 billion and the fact has loosed. The central bank has implemented reverse repurchase for 169 billion days and 200 billion capital in two days. The Central Bank of Brazil has announced fourth consecutive interest rate cuts, 50 basis points, and so on. It is difficult for the earth people to stop the A shares from falling, and it is difficult for the Martians to stop the rise of the A shares. In fact, it is a matter of a wave of fingers. If we see that Hong Kong stocks are rushing to rush to the twenty thousand point of lofty aspiration, we will know that the "happy performance" of the A shares at the last moment is just keeping pace with the "strong track" of the world.

　　前面已經(jīng)提到了“響亮兔尾”這一詞，仔細(xì)看看，節(jié)前最后一周市場用優(yōu)異的表演打了筆者上周看空結(jié)論一記響亮的耳光(有趣的是，2011年4月末也是市場突然下挫給了筆者一記重拳后，筆者思路轉(zhuǎn)向的，右側(cè)交易就是這個(gè)特點(diǎn))，許多現(xiàn)象是我們很久沒有見到過，甚至感覺很“驚奇”的：譬如本周的成交金額在如此清淡之際，卻并沒有比上周萎縮多少;周二有色金屬股的幾乎全線漲停，是2009年10月9日之后的第一次;銀行股出現(xiàn)了“因?yàn)樘珡?qiáng)而媒體找利好”的局面，首次被當(dāng)做勞動(dòng)模范而非反面典型;周五更是有大量醫(yī)藥，消費(fèi)類弱周期股出現(xiàn)了“平反”式的強(qiáng)升，證明了之前的跟跌只是恐慌所致....在銀行股也再次翹頭的情況下，周五徹底收復(fù)2300點(diǎn)又有什么不可以?請注意，在本周股指出現(xiàn)了明顯的“繼續(xù)拐頭”現(xiàn)象，五日線和十日線都向上成為依托，很明顯是有多 In the face of strong resistance against panic, we are going to "sweep the goods" and even get rid of the new year's twenty-seven. Imagine why the funds of these "sweeps" dare to "hold the new year" (and which stocks are mainly held? It is worth pondering over the long holidays) apparently for the "Great Exhibition" after the festival, which has laid more hope for the dragon market after the festival, and we also have more expectations. The same is true of the year before the National Day offensive. The two trading days in September 30th and October 8th are facing holidays. However, the market has ignored the uncertainty brought by the holiday and the popularity of the people has been very strong. Then the market is likely to be "strong and strong". That is to say, the possibility that the rabbit can breed the beginning of the dragon market is very great. The Shanghai and Shenzhen board index is definitely ready to challenge the 60 day moving average in the absence of super accident. (we should know that the trend of Friday has surpassed the so-called "small Yin and small Yang" that is supposed to maintain stability, which can be counted as general inflation + Zhongyang). At this time, whether it is holding shares now or looking forward to fighting in the coming year, I am afraid we should prepare for a wave to greet the arrival of "Kang long".