China'S Textile Industry Will Slow Down In 2012.

"Good data and bad feeling" is the image generalization of Gao Yong, vice president of China Textile Industry Federation, on the operation of the textile industry in 2011.

Xu Weimin, chairman of Jiangsu Dong Du Textile Group, described the business situation of last year with "no danger".

In any case, 2011 is the case.

At the seventh China spinning Roundtable forum, Wang Tiankai, President of the China Textile Association, said that because of the tight internal and external environment, the textile industry in the first half of this year is not optimistic. The growth rate of the textile industry above the scale of the whole year will further slow down.

In March 6th, Sun Huaibin, spokesman of China Textile Industry Federation and director of China Textile Economic Research Center, said that the opening of China's textile industry was basically stable in 2012.

Large enterprises, independent brand enterprises, and domestic enterprises, with sufficient orders and abundant funds, have a starting rate of 80% to 90%, and the staff return rate is about 80%.

The difficulties of some small and medium-sized enterprises are more obvious, especially for export processing small and micro enterprises.

According to the analysis of the China Federation of textile industry, the industry faced five risks in the first half of this year: first, the continued escalation of the European debt crisis, which has a significant negative impact on the international market demand. The developed countries such as the United States and Europe have a weak economic recovery, the unemployment rate remains high, the employment structure deteriorates, and consumer confidence is sluggish, which restricts the demand for textile and clothing and implicates developing countries.

Second, in the first half of this year, the textile industry will continue to show the main trend of the domestic market, but it is expected that the growth rate of the macro-economy will be reduced and the growth rate of consumption will slow down compared with the previous year. These will directly bring about a slowdown in the growth of clothing consumption.

Three, the domestic cotton market is complicated and confusing.

The four is the obvious increase in the cost of labor in textile enterprises. The sample shows that more than 80% of the enterprises are short of employment, and the wage increase is more than 15%.

Recruitment difficulties, unable to retain and improve the treatment of workers and so on, have made textile enterprises employment costs show a rigid upward trend.

Finally, textile small and medium-sized enterprises are still faced with problems such as poor financing, high financing cost and unstable order quantity. Especially for export processing enterprises, when the appreciation of RMB is still expected, the ability to resist risks is weak. Once these enterprises are shut down too much, they will directly affect employment and social stability.

China Textile Federation emphasizes that textile industry should deal with the rising labor cost in the future.

Sun Huaibin revealed that although the opening of China's textile industry is generally stable this year, the industry still faces a series of risks, including the shrinking international market, slowing domestic market growth and rising cost of production factors. In the first half of this year, the textile industry will run under a more severe situation.

Speeding up structural adjustment and pformation and upgrading, reducing operational risks and promoting steady economic growth are a tough task for China's textile industry this year.

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"Crazy" cotton price

Cotton prices in 2011 seemed to ride on roller coaster.

In the first ten days of March, domestic cotton prices once exceeded the high point of 31 thousand yuan / ton, but the low price in August dropped by about 60% compared to the March high.

With the start of the national cotton purchase and storage policy in September, cotton prices eventually stabilized at around 19 thousand and 800 yuan / ton.

Zhao Boya, chairman of China Textile Group, believes that the total fluctuation of cotton prices last year is divided into four stages: the resources decide the price (from the end of 2010 to the beginning of 2011), the financial attributes determine the price (from the beginning of 2011 to March), the price of demand is determined (from March to September), and the State purchasing and storage policy determines the price (September to the end of last year).

"Last year, domestic cotton prices fluctuated sharply, which were related to many factors, such as increase in output, demand changes, credit contraction and market speculation."

Wang Tiankai said that China's cotton price mechanism has not yet been integrated with the international market, and there is a lack of institutional guarantee to effectively curb fluctuations in domestic cotton prices and balance the interests of all interested parties.

"The experience of 2011 reminds us again that only by actively adjusting the product mix and taking the route of differentiation and high-end can we maintain a dominant position in the fierce market competition."

Zhao Boya said, "this year's textile industry will still be based on complexity and uncertainty, but there still exist opportunities in the market trend. We need to be keen to catch and grasp."