The Export Growth Data Of Clothing And Textiles In April Are From Positive To Negative

Some analysts recently revealed that China's textile and clothing growth slowed markedly this year due to multiple negative factors. The growth rate of exports in April has increased from 18.7% in March and 7.7% in positive growth.

He believes that all parties concerned should take active measures to deal with these problems.

According to relevant statistics, in April this year, China exported garments of 10 billion 390 million US dollars, down 6.4% from the same period last year, and exports of textiles were US $8 billion 410 million, down 4.1% compared to the same period last year.

Comparing the relevant data, this paper introduces in detail the main negative factors that affect the export of Chinese clothing and textiles:

In the main export markets, the consumption demand of the European Union continued to be weak, leading to a decline in overall exports. Under the influence of sovereign debt crisis, the consumption demand of the EU market is seriously insufficient.

In February this year, the EU consumer confidence index was -20.1 and the euro area consumer confidence index was -20.2, still in a negative range. In February 23rd, the European Commission lowered the EU's 2012 GDP growth forecast from 0.5% to -0.3%, indicating that Europe is in a predicament of "mild recession".

The continued weakening of consumption demand in the European market, even if the growth of demand for textile and clothing in emerging economies is not enough to offset the negative impact of the EU market, has led to a sharp decline in China's textile and clothing exports.

International trade protectionism continues to heat up. With the development of economic globalization, international trade is becoming more frequent. Meanwhile, trade frictions are also showing a trend of rapid growth. Trade protectionism, which is mainly trade technical barriers (TBT), is also becoming more and more serious.

The three major trade partners of China, the European Union, the United States and Japan, have developed technical trade measures against the performance and quality constraints of the products themselves, and developed to higher requirements for the whole process of product production, packaging, labelling, marking, processing, pportation and so on, and the testing standards are becoming more and more complex.

In recent years, the direct loss of China's technical barriers to trade has increased at an average annual rate of 15%.

With the continued deterioration of the European debt crisis and the sluggish recovery in the US economy, trade protectionism in the European and American countries has been further heated up.

China has become the largest target country in the global countervailing investigation. More than 70% of the world's countervailing investigations are directed against China. Various trade protectionism barriers are constantly increasing and the forms are constantly updating, which has greatly raised the export threshold of China's textile and clothing products.

The continued appreciation of the RMB weakened the export advantage of the products. In February this year, the central parity of the RMB against the US dollar exceeded the 6.3 pass for the first time, and hit a new high since the reform.

At the same time, the currencies of other emerging economies are quite different from those of the US dollar. In 2011, India rupees, Brazil Real and Russia rouble depreciated 16.13%, 11.01% and 5.18% against the US dollar respectively, while Asian emerging economies such as the Korean won, the Indonesian shield, the Thai baht and Malaysia ringgit depreciated by 2.30%, 0.80%, 4.69% and 3.30% against the US dollar respectively.

The rapid appreciation of the RMB and the depreciation of the currencies of the neighboring countries to the US dollar will weaken the price advantage of China's textile and clothing in the international market, and the export of our textile and clothing will be restrained.

In the first half of 2012, under the influence of the European debt crisis, the euro would be more likely to continue to depreciate other non US currencies. If the renminbi continues to maintain its appreciation against the US dollar, it will have a greater impact on China's exports.

Domestic comprehensive costs continue to rise, increasing business pressure. After the Spring Festival this year, "labor shortage" arrived on schedule. The labor intensive enterprises represented by textile and garment are in a more severe situation when workers are short of work all the year round.

According to the Guangdong Provincial Department of human resources and social affairs, the short term shortage of workers in the Pearl River Delta region is nearly 1 million. The structural "labor shortage" has led to a rapid rise in labor costs. In 2011, a total of 24 provinces adjusted the minimum wage standard, an average increase of 22%.

At the same time, raw materials prices remain high, water and electricity costs rise sharply, and the continuous increase of domestic comprehensive cost will inevitably lead to the pressure of labor intensive textile and garment enterprises to increase.

India and Vietnam will be using trade agreements to enhance export competitiveness. At present, negotiations between India and the European Union free trade agreement have entered the final stage. The agreement proposes to cut 90% bilateral trade tariffs in the next 10 years until all of them are cancelled.

Once the agreement is implemented, it will greatly enhance the export competitiveness of India's textile and clothing to the EU market.

In addition, negotiations on the Pan Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP), including the United States, Peru and Vietnam, have entered the final stage. The agreement will clearly help Vietnam improve its quality of key export items, such as textiles and clothing, and increase its export scale. Last year Vietnam was already the second largest export to the United States textile and clothing after China.

Once the agreement is formally implemented, it will further weaken the competitive advantage of China's textile and apparel in the international market.

The sharp fluctuations in cotton prices have been affecting the stable operation of the industry. Since last year, the domestic and foreign cotton market has seen a sharp rise and fall in the roller coaster pattern.

In March 8th last year, China's cotton price 328 index was 31241 yuan per ton. In December 5th, the index fell to 19001 yuan per ton, down 39.2%, and the cotton price index in February 28, 2012 was 19615 yuan / ton [3].

The trend of rising and falling cotton prices in China not only causes the poor production and marketing of textile and clothing enterprises, the potential losses of stock and the decline in profit, but also the negative effects along the industrial chain, which affect the normal production and market confidence of the upstream and downstream enterprises, and because the early cotton price has been exorbitated too high, which leads to the reduction of trade and procurement. Nowadays, the stock is difficult to consume, the cotton price continues to run low, the profit of the cotton textile enterprises is greatly shrinking, and the operation risk has increased greatly, which seriously hinder the stable operation of the textile and clothing industry.

All parties need to take measures to deal with them positively.

Speaking of the above data, as the traditional labor intensive industries, and the key export products, the total of two textile and clothing accounts for 11.5% of the total export volume in the same period of the year. Its share is equivalent to that of imported crude oil, which shows its important position, while the two have negative growth at the same time.

　　記者認為，要積極貫徹《紡織工業“十二五”科技進步綱要》，提高自主創新能力，加快以先進技術改造傳統產業，提升產品附加值和市場競爭力，實現產業結構調整和產業升級，培育自主品牌，提高產品的綜合競爭力，緩解生產成本上行壓力，逐步實現從數量規模增長向質量效益增長轉變，提高行業核心競爭優勢，提高紡織服裝自主品牌產品出口的比重;密切關注紡織產業實體外遷動態，提早預防國內產業空洞化的發生，密切關注國外設限及準入標準的最新動向，監測發達經濟體經濟走勢及其政策動向，加大對印度、越南等紡織服裝大國出口情況的跟蹤，加強分析研判，提高應對能力;有實力的服裝企業“走出去”，加快結構調整和產業升級，積極研發、生產高附加值產品，提高產品附加值進而提高綜合競爭力，開拓新興消費市場，降低出口市場集中度，同時

The establishment of logistics centers and distribution centers in major export markets will enhance the control of the terminal market of textile products.