A Brief Analysis Of Foreign Trade Index In May 2012
Figure 1
Figure 2
As shown in Figures 1 and 2, 2012 May share Prosperity index of foreign trade At 1487.39, it was 5.05% higher than in April, down 11.67% at the beginning of the year, down 6.92% last year, and the foreign trade price index closed at 121.83 points, down 0.35% from April, down 2.06% from the beginning of last year, down 15.48% last year. The confidence index of foreign trade closed at 1050.81 points, up 3.43% from April.
1. In May 2012, the index of foreign trade prosperity showed a slight upward trend.
One Textile industry export Still grim. In 2012, the operation of China's textile industry showed a trend of slowing down, the output of main products slowed down, the number of textile and garment exports increased negatively, and the growth rate of industrial profits dropped. The textile industry will continue to face higher external risks. Further improvement of risk control and response capability will be the primary task of China's textile industry this year. In 2012, the growth of major operational indicators of China's textile enterprises above Designated Size slowed down obviously, and production remained at a low speed growth. The export volume of China's textile industry has seen a negative growth. Among them, the growth rate of China's textile and clothing exports to Japan, the EU and the United States has slowed down, the share of the three largest markets has declined, and the situation of exports to the EU is the most serious.
2. textile industry exports still have some difficulties. In 2012, under the influence of the European debt crisis and the recovery of the US economy, the export of the textile industry still has some difficulties, and sales decline is still more obvious. Textile enterprises have been under construction, and exports to Europe are still under pressure. There are still many pressures and uncertainties in the international market downturn, which will affect the export growth of the industry. Fluctuations in the raw material market will be the main risks facing the textile industry.
3., many factors restrict exports. The recovery of the international economy will still be in a rather difficult period. The situation in Europe and the United States is not optimistic, and the market is still not confident about the future international trade environment. Labor, production and financing costs have risen significantly, and recruitment difficulties everywhere are a huge difficulty for the textile and garment industry, a labor-intensive industry. Due to the huge increase in labor costs in China, international buyers continue to spanfer some textile and garment orders to Southeast Asian countries such as Vietnam and Bangladesh.
4. the export trade of Shaoxing county is developing against the trend. Because of the weak demand in the international market, the spanfer of some textile and garment orders to Southeast Asian countries by international buyers, and the uncertainty of RMB appreciation and monetary policy, it brings certain difficulties to Shaoxing's export enterprises. In May this year, Shaoxing's export situation showed an overall trend of contrarian growth, which was better than that in April.
5. through the Spring Textile Fair, Shaoxing textile enterprise spanformation and upgrading has accelerated. The 3 day spring fair was successfully concluded in May 8th, with a total turnover of 4 billion 60 million yuan, an increase of 5.2% over the same period last year. Keqiao has become a model for domestic industrial clusters and creative industries to emulate.
6. "globalization" accelerates the expansion of export share. China Textile City's "global coverage" series of docking activities has brought continuous customer resources to the market. Many enterprises export gradually from the European and American markets to Asia, Africa and Latin America. With global marketing strategy, they consolidate the market share of ASEAN, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, South Africa and West Africa, open up Latin American market share in Brazil and Mexico, expand the share of emerging international markets such as Russia and Kazakhstan, and expand the export share of China Textile City.
The 7. part is the rise of textile exports. The foreign trade prosperity index of cotton and its blended fabrics, hemp and its blended fabrics, embroidery, household textile fabrics, curtain curtain, knitted crochet, and soaked, coated and coated fabrics has rebounded.
Two, in May 2012, foreign trade price index showed a slight downward trend.
1., many factors led to a slight decline in export unit price. From the point of view of the order, the scale of exports in May was slightly larger than that in April, and the advantages of creative products in some regulatory model enterprises in Shaoxing continued to appear. However, the global economic recovery is still in the doldrums. In the short term, the domestic export enterprises' business situation is hard to get a better turn. The exchange rate and labor costs are still rising, and the financing cost of enterprises is still high. Due to the downward trend of international oil prices, the international commodity prices stabilized and the price of polyester raw materials and cotton fell in the upstream, resulting in a slight decline in the foreign trade price index in May.
2. Southeast Asian countries compete for China's textile export market share. As the international market competition continues to intensify, the cost advantage of China's textile industry in the global competitiveness has been significantly weakened, and the profit growth rate of the textile industry has dropped somewhat. The textile industry in the global pattern is still undergoing subtle changes. Vietnam, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Turkey are competing for China's textile export market far cheaper than China.
The 3. part shows the downward trend of unit price of textile exports. The foreign trade price index of chemical fiber filament fabrics, embroidery articles, household textile fabrics, and dipped, coated and coated fabrics fell unequal, stimulating the general price index of foreign trade to show a downward trend.
The foreign trade prosperity index is expected to rise slightly in June 2012. In the first half of this year, the decline of export and efficiency will be more obvious, and the difficulties faced by small and medium-sized processing enterprises will become more prominent. In the future, the textile industry should actively respond to the challenges of the market. Large enterprises should spanform from scale growth to benefit growth. Small businesses should adjust to the direction of being refined, strong and specialized. The competition in the future textile industry is increasingly reflected in the core competitiveness of the industry and the creativity of its own brand, which puts forward new requirements for the composition and quality of the industrial elements. The innovative labor, creativity and fashion orientation based on knowledge and technology will become an important aspect for the Chinese textile industry to win the opportunity in the future. Along with the improvement of various new trade protection and the green standard threshold of developed countries, some Shaoxing scale textile and garment enterprises take the market as the guidance, speed up the spanformation and upgrading, and constantly seek development through exploration and innovation. The whole industry shows the trend of quickening the adjustment of regional distribution and further optimizing the product structure, developing products with higher added value, and reversing the awkward position of being at the lowest end of the value chain for a long time.
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