Economic Operation Characteristics And Development Trend Of China'S Textile Industry

Due to many factors such as sluggish external demand, slowing domestic demand, increasing domestic and foreign cotton prices and rising prices of production factors, China has been developing since 2012. Spin Industrial economic growth showed an obvious deceleration trend, and the growth rate of major economic indicators such as production, exports and investment slowed down compared with the same period last year. But since September, with the steady growth of domestic demand, the adjustment of business inventories and the decrease in the number of bases in the same period last year, the main economic indicators of the textile industry have picked up slightly, while the difference between domestic and foreign cotton prices is still expanding, and the international market is still in the doldrums. The foundation for the textile industry's recovery is not so strong.

1. Current economic operation characteristics of the textile industry

(1) the growth rate of production slowed down compared with the previous year, but the rate of decline has narrowed.

In 1~10 months, 3.7 million textile enterprises above Designated Size reached 4 trillion and 681 billion 290 million yuan in total industrial output value, an increase of 11.3% over the same period last year, an increase of 17 percentage points lower than the same period last year, a 3.4 percentage point decrease from the first quarter, a 0.4 percentage point increase over 1~9 months.

According to the National Bureau of statistics, 1~10 months, enterprises of above scale enterprises have chemical fiber, cloth and so on. clothing The output was 31 million 629 thousand tons, 52 billion 350 million meters and 21 billion 910 million pieces respectively, representing an increase of 11.8%, 9.9%, and 6.4% respectively, representing an increase of 3.7, 3.5 and 3 percentage points respectively over the same period last year. According to the China Cotton Textile Industry Association's survey of key enterprises, the 1~10 yarn production decreased by 2.3% over the same period last year.

　　 (two) the growth rate of domestic sales is basically stable.

1~10 month, above the national clothing shoes Retail sales of cap and needle textiles increased by 17.9% over the same period last year, down 6.2 percentage points from the same period last year, an increase of 3.3 percentage points from the first quarter, an increase of 1 percentage points over the first half of the year. After deducting the price factor, the actual growth rate of clothing retail sales was 14.1%, down 5.6 percentage points from the same period last year, which increased by 3.5 and 1 percentage points respectively compared with the first quarter and the first half of this year. In October, the sales of clothing sales of 100 large retail department stores increased by 14.2% over the same period last year, and the growth rate increased by 2.1 percentage points over the same period last year.

　 (three) export pressure is still relatively large.

In 1~10 months, China exported 216 billion 140 million US dollars of textiles and clothing, an increase of 2.5% over the same period last year. In the two consecutive months of September and October, the cumulative export growth rate increased year by year, reversing the negative export growth trend of 1~8 months. However, the export pressure is still relatively large. After deducting the price increase factor, the number of textile and garment exports in China decreased by 0.9% over the same period 1~10, down 2 percentage points from the same period last year. In 1~9 months, China's share in the US market increased slightly compared with the same period last year, but the market share in the EU and Japan decreased by 0.8 and 2 percentage points respectively.

(four) efficiency gradually stabilized.

This year, the industry's labor efficiency has gradually improved, driving the industry's profitability gradually stabilized. In 1~9 months, the labor productivity of textile enterprises above designated size was 573 thousand yuan / person, an increase of 13.8% over the same period last year. The total profit reached 181 billion 220 million yuan, an increase of 0.4% over the same period last year, although the growth rate was 32.1 percentage points lower than the same period last year, but for the first time this year, the cumulative monthly profit has increased for the first time, 2.2 percentage points higher than the first quarter, and 2.4 percentage points higher than the first half of this year. Sales profit margin was 4.5%, down 0.4 percentage points compared with the same period last year.

　　 Two, 2012 textile industry operation trend

At present, the domestic demand of textile industry has basically increased steadily compared with the beginning of the year. It is expected that with the gradual stabilization of the domestic economic environment, the domestic textile and garment market will continue to maintain steady growth. Although the international economic environment is uncertain, the possibility of continued substantial deterioration is relatively small, and the international market demand is expected to be bottoming up. Overall, the textile industry is in the process of stabilizing, and the industry's profits and exports have achieved positive growth in the near future.

However, the foundation for the gradual stabilization of the industry is still very fragile, and the economic environment at home and abroad has changed slightly, which may make the industry continue to face a severe environment. The main reasons are: (1) at present, the recovery of the industry's economic indicators is largely influenced by the base effect and the replenishment of commercial enterprises. (two) the continuous increase of cotton price difference at home and abroad is one of the main factors that affect the operation of the textile industry this year. However, there is still a lack of specific ways to solve the problem. It is expected that the cotton price will still be troubling the textile enterprises. (three) the clothing industry dealers are wait-and-see, and the clothing industry is the largest terminal industry in the whole industry. If the garment industry lacks the power of recovery, it will be difficult for the whole industry to rise. (four) the statistics mainly reflect the situation of Enterprises above Designated Size, but the enterprises below scale occupy a large proportion in the textile industry of China.

　 Three, policy recommendations

(1) solve the problem of cotton price difference effectively

Solving the problem of cotton price difference at home and abroad as soon as possible is not only an important measure to speed up the textile industry's stabilization and recovery, but also an effective way to avoid the further decline of China's textile and garment industry's international market share. It is suggested that effective measures should be taken as soon as possible to narrow the difference between cotton prices at home and abroad so as to prevent cotton price differentials from widening and lighten the burden of cotton textile enterprises.

(two) strengthening support for small and medium-sized enterprises

Small and medium enterprises in textile industry are the main force to absorb employment. It is recommended to continue to implement the national policies and measures aimed at small and medium-sized enterprises, pay close attention to the difficulties faced by small and medium-sized enterprises, and solve problems for small and medium enterprises in a timely manner, so as to enhance the competitiveness of small and medium-sized enterprises.

(three) continue to support industry transformation and upgrading

Continue to support Textile enterprises The implementation of technological transformation and technological innovation will enhance the added value of products in the industry and fundamentally enhance the competitiveness of the industry.