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Zhang Yansheng, Secretary General Of The Academic Committee Of The NDRC: Textile Enterprises Are Facing "Three Shortages".

2013/1/21 16:31:00 22

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China Spinning Round Table Forum Textile And Garment Enterprises Textile Industry Zhang Yansheng

P > the Secretary General of the academic committee of the national development and Reform Commission and the researcher of the a href= "http://www.91se91.com/pioneer/", Zhang Yansheng < /a > in the annual conference of the China Textile round table forum held today that the past 30 years of textile < a href= 'http://www.91se91.com > clothing < /a > enterprises have developed very well, but still rely on low < a href=' > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp '> low cost, and will usher in a gold for 30 years in the next 30 years, but the enterprises are facing problems such as lack of workers, lack of orders, and lack of technology. 
 below is the full text of the speech: 
 first, thank you very much, because director Sun is also an old friend. Every time he talks with director Sun Huaibin, he is also very happy. I think I would like to focus on a little bit of international trade. Since the international market crisis, there are five changes that deserve the attention of Chinese textile and garment entrepreneurs. The first question is whether the global economy in 2013 will go global or towards regionalization, because we know that globalization is characterized by openness, open multilateralism, and marketization, that is, the global market is becoming more and more open, and the mechanism of global market regulation is becoming more and more obvious. Therefore, our enterprises will have an ever larger stage. If regionalization is going to happen, we will find that more and more exclusionary regionalism is likely to occur. Then exclusionary regionalism may cut the global market into a small area. Under such circumstances, our enterprises will face great problems. That is to say, if the global economy is rather difficult at present and more and more are turning to the region, then our entrepreneurs will be faced with a problem, that is, how to adapt to the changes in this new situation. For example, in the market of our surrounding areas, we will find that one is the TPP, which is mainly pushed back by the US after its return to the Asia Pacific region. TPP is one of exclusionary regionalism. 
 > therefore, for our entrepreneurs, I think one is the TPP led by the United States, and the other is ASEAN's main push now. We call RCEP. That is to say, the next step is that "10+6" will become a new regional market. Under such circumstances, how can our textile enterprises use the developed market in 2013, the BRICs and emerging markets will have very different performance in 2013. Therefore, how can we make use of the different performances of developed markets, BRICs and emerging markets in 2013 to decide our focus in the next international market? I think this is the first problem. 
The second question I ask myself is whether the global market will continue to globalize in 2013 or will there be more and more significant localization. Then, the localization feature is more remarkable, that is, Europe and the United States are actively promoting re industrialization now. P Then, when Europe and America are pushing for re industrialization, enterprises in Europe and the United States will start to divest themselves of capital and increase taxes on overseas investment in the world, and there may be an increasing number of protectionism ways in the global market, so as to achieve industrialization by zero. So, I think last year at the forum in Boao, the Forum on which I was presided over by the United States, the former Secretary of Commerce in the United States spoke on such a point. He said that the re industrialization of the United States is the next step for the United States to re-establish the textile and garment industry in the United States? So, this question is very interesting. How is the United States going to industrialize? Is it for employment and in order to solve the problem of hollowing out, even the traditional manufacturing industry wants to return and rebuild? Therefore, the trade protectionism we are facing next is something we need to work very hard to resolve. 
 third problems, the global economy will continue to decelerate. The global economy in 2012 is the lowest point since the 2009 crisis, that is, the global economy is still hovering in the bottom of the valley in 2012. In 2013, I believe most of the friends will not be too optimistic. Therefore, we say that the global slowdown, the external demand atrophy, the cost is rising, but next we will find that domestic demand is expanding. In a short while, we will talk about Fan Jianping when he speaks at home. Last year, the contribution of domestic demand to GDP growth in the first three quarters was 105, and the contribution of consumption to the economy was greater than that of investment. In this case, that is, last year and this year, that is, the expansion of our domestic demand may be a long trend. 
 so, in this case, for our enterprises, the textile and garment enterprises have developed very well in the past 30 years, but I personally believe that they are still developing at low price and low cost, or a period of sweat and sweat. So, in the next 30 years, that is to say, from China's expansion of domestic demand, my personal view is that a golden 30 year has begun. Well, under such circumstances, the difficulties faced by our enterprises are called "three deficiency", lack of workers, lack of orders, and lack of technology. What should we do? {page_break} 
 Fourth, we will find that now global mergers and acquisitions, in fact, in 2013 I believe that will be a mainstream trend. Before my global acquisition of crisis, we will find that it focuses on telecommunications and Internet, finance and mining. So, where is the cross-border M & A? The focus is on emerging markets. So what do we think the focus of 2013 may be? Will it be high-end manufacturing? Will it be the development of this field after the pension, medical care, health care, or aging? The third possibility is to focus on small and medium-sized enterprises, especially in Germany and Japan. That is to say, will its market focus on Europe? 
In this case, we will have a problem. If China's textile and garment enterprises want to take a big step in the technology, if they want to make a big step in the brand, they may have to consider in Germany, in Japan there must be some mergers and acquisitions, or there are some initiatives to go out. P Well, in this case, how can we conduct an international high standard rule in the M & A of spannational companies? This is a major challenge for our enterprises. The last question is the price of commodities in 2013 this year, including cotton prices, including grain prices, including oil prices, including the prices of basic metal products. I am very worried that we are taking Japan as an example. After Prime Minister Andouble came up recently, he pushed Japan's quantitative easing to promote the depreciation of the Japanese yen, and used the depreciation of the Japanese yen to revitalize Japan's exports and Japan's economy. Then, we say whether Japan will do this way will cause more and more countries in the world to imitate Japan? We all use quantitative easing, we all compete to promote the depreciation of the currency, and then everyone is shrinking, hoping to get more. This trend is going to develop, and the mutual devaluation of this kind of currency will not cause me to worry about each other. Will the commodity price that I am very worried about is the price coming down from the demand, which will be beyond our anticipation. If it appears, what will our clothing enterprises do? Just now, Gao minister, or the previous ones, all said that last year's dilemma is the change of the price difference between inside and outside cotton prices. So I think 2013 is a year full of opportunities and challenges. I believe that the theme words must be spanformed to our clothing enterprises.