Cotton Terminal Consumption Is Hard To Predict The Need To Solve The Dilemma.
< p > < strong > terminal consumption is hard to expect < /strong > < /p >.
< p > cotton stocks are high, and those who want to pick up cotton prices are disappointed. But the terminal a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > clothing < /a > the export decline is a heavy blow to these people.
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< p > we should admit that the export performance of the garment industry is quite good in the 1-2 months of this year, < a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > textile < /a >.
Customs statistics show that China's textile and apparel exports totaled 41 billion 167 million US dollars in 1-2 months, up 31.87% from the same period last year, which is 8.3 percentage points higher than the national export growth rate.
Among them, clothing and clothing accessories exported $26 billion 98 million, an increase of 35.3% over the same period, and exports of textiles, yarns, fabrics and products were US $15 billion 67 million, up 26.3% over the same period last year.
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< p > last year, a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > textile and garment > /a > industry is bleak.
According to wind statistics, the weighted average decline of the total value of the 79 stocks in the textile and garment sector reached 15.25% last year, and the leading stocks were almost "broken by the two tier market".
Among them, the price of Meng Jie home textile is "waist cut", the US bond a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > dress < /a >, Huarun Jinhua, Luo Lai home textile, Semir clothing, and the annual decline is over 40% on Saturday.
In the part of the stocks that have increased by a large margin, Fu An, seven wolves, Huafang textile, Jiangsu three friends and so on have fallen far beyond the market.
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< p > Wind statistics show that this year, the textile and garment sector rose only 2.32%, ranking is still countdown.
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< p > "from the beginning of the year, reports on the US economy, the European economy and China's economy began to recover.
It was thought that the domestic and foreign economies will accelerate recovery, and orders and domestic sales will improve, but this is not the case.
Li Minggui, chairman of Zhejiang Hao Feng knitting garments Co. Ltd., complained that under normal circumstances, foreign orders were issued six months in advance, and enterprises should receive the August list in March.
"But now the enterprise's hands are basically the May order at the beginning of this year, and this year's sales may be even worse than last year."
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Less than P.
Customs investigation released in February showed that 39.6% of enterprises' confidence in export situation in the next 2-3 months was "not optimistic", and 24.7% of enterprises expressed "optimism".
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< p > export expectations are not optimistic, and domestic demand may not improve.
According to the statistics of the China National Business Information Center, in 2013 1-2, the retail sales of clothing commodities of hundreds of major retail enterprises in the country increased by 5% over the same period last year, and the growth rate slowed down 1.1 percentage points compared with 2012.
The average sales price of clothing increased by 3% over the same period last year, and the growth rate dropped by 6.8 percentage points over the same period in 2012.
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< p > 3, April is < a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > brand clothing < /a > autumn and winter ordering period. It is understood that the growth rate of orders for autumn and winter has generally declined this year.
The head of a casual wear enterprise said that regardless of spring and summer binding volume or autumn and winter binding volume decreased, the company will moderate futures production and distribution. It is estimated that there will be a certain decline in franchise channels in the first quarter.
From the perspective of direct battalion channels, the change in the retail market is still not clear at the moment.
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< p > terminal consumption is sluggish, making the cotton industry chain "a loss and loss" dilemma again.
Guo Yaozhong, general manager of Shandong Hengxin textile limited liability company, said that the whole cotton yarn market is taking a low volume, and the cotton mill is mainly based on quantity.
"Textile enterprises operating pressure has risen sharply."
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< p > < strong > breaking the dilemma needs to be multi pronged < /strong > < /p >.
< p > the problems facing cotton industry chain are becoming more and more complicated: at the same time, the state stores and stores and throws stores, some textile and garment enterprises stop production and go bankrupt, the cost "old pain" and export "new injury" concurrently.
The cotton knot closely linked to a ring is not only difficult to untie at the moment, but will even evolve into a "robbery" of all parties in the industrial chain.
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Zheng Chen, chairman of the Wenzhou clothing trade association and chairman of the P group, said that the textile and garment industry has come to the stage of "forced" mechanism. From cotton processing to spinning and clothing production, the whole industry chain is undergoing the process of ebb and flow, and will eventually lead the entire industrial chain into the era of "big business".
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< p >, he said, this requires a large and backward textile and garment enterprise to stop production and go bankrupt. Only more backward production capacity is eliminated, and superior resources can be concentrated on large enterprises.
The result is that large enterprises can extend to the upper and lower reaches of the industrial chain, and the link between cotton and city will be changed by more and more large enterprises.
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Li Minggui, chairman of P Zhejiang Hao Feng knitting garments Co., Ltd. believes that it is impossible for enterprises to realize the production of every link in the whole industrial chain.
Under such circumstances, the state needs to regulate the prices of raw materials, maintain the price stability of raw materials, and avoid big rises and falls.
In addition, it is more necessary to open the domestic demand market to solve the industrial chain dilemma.
How the relevant departments help foreign trade sell to domestic enterprises and set up sales platform and open sales channels are what enterprises look forward to.
It is an indisputable fact that the domestic demand market is large and the domestic consumption potential is strong.
But how to achieve "magnificent turn" and create a brand recognized by the domestic market has become a difficult task.
From the performance of the "first lady" clothing concept stocks, the textile and garment industry that builds its own brand and cultural connotation can usher in a larger space for development.
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Zhou Shengtao, President of the China Cotton Association, Zhou Shengtao believes that four "entanglements" have appeared in the current cotton industry chain: one is the high low throw of the reserve cotton, the heavy burden of the state; the two is the high stock and the continued import while the three is the decline in the benefit of the textile and cotton planting; and the four is how to combine the "tangible hand" and the "invisible hand".
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< p > Zhou Shengtao stressed that some problems existing in the market appeared after the implementation of the policy of purchasing and storing, which could not negate the necessity of purchasing and storing policies.
If cotton prices fall, without this policy, cotton farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton will be affected and it will be difficult to recover.
In addition, as a big country of cotton production and marketing, China must have the right of international discourse. Cotton production needs to rely on this policy to maintain stability, otherwise it will take the road of soybean.
At the same time, farmers' per capita cultivated land is limited. From the perspective of increasing income, they should also have protective prices.
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< p > the national cotton market monitoring system launched a nationwide survey on cotton planting intentions in mid March. The survey showed that the cotton planting area in China was 72 million 644 thousand mu, a decrease of 2 million 187 thousand mu compared with the same period, a decrease of 2.9%.
Among them, the the Yellow River basin decreased by 9.3% compared to the same period last year, and the cotton area in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River dropped by 5.4% compared with the same period last year, and the inland area in the northwest increased by 2.3% over the same period last year.
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< p > a large < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > textile enterprise < /a > the person in charge suggested that Xinjiang as the few regions in the world suitable for high quality cotton cultivation, the cotton production cost is low and the quality is good. The state should introduce corresponding policy support, guide Xinjiang to develop this advantage industry, strengthen Xinjiang's strategic position as the cotton supply area, and ensure the cotton planting area and supply in Xinjiang.
On the one hand, we should reduce the cost of using cotton and increase the competitive advantage, and on the other hand, we can raise the international discourse power.
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