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Experts Analyze The Future Of Textile And Chemical Fiber Enterprises In Depth

2013/9/18 21:23:00 69

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in the nineteenth China a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/" international chemical fiber < /a > conference guest interaction forum, China "a target=" _blank "href=" http://www.91se91.com/ "> textile" /a "Industrial Federation honorary president Xu Kunyuan, inspector of the national development and Reform Commission Industry Coordination Division He Yanli, Li Xinnan, inspector of policy and regulation reform department of State Science and technology ministry, Wang Wei, deputy director of the Ministry of consumer goods industry, Chen Shiliang of Tong Kun group, Zhao Qiang of China, and Zhao Qiang, Dean of Textile Science Research Institute.

Duan Xiaoping, President of China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, as the host of the forum, put forward the hot issues that the industry has paid close attention to. The guests have made detailed answers, and have been interacting with the participants on the scene.

This period brings the wonderful remarks of guests on the scene for readers.

wonderful question and answer /p >

for the future scale of chemical fiber industry, Xu Kunyuan, honorary president of China a href= "http:// www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > textile industry < /a > Union, believes that the demand for chemical fiber will be further released.

At the same time, he pointed out that because the consumption of textiles in the future is no longer a satisfied consumption but an improved consumption, the industry is not only a growth of quantity, but a qualitative growth and a rich variety.

Zhao Qiang, President of the Chinese Academy of textile science, believes that the demand for chemical fiber industry in the future will be mainly created by industrial textiles with urbanization. The industry should pay close attention to the trend and demand of the two industries, and research and develop related technologies.

Problem 1: raising the quality of the chemical fiber industry is undoubtedly the direction. At the same time, increasing production is a contradiction for enterprises. P

Is there any room for growth in the chemical fiber industry?

Xu Kunyuan: < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > chemical fiber industry < /a > entrepreneurs should realize that the opportunity for the chemical fiber industry to make big money by one or two machines is less and less, or gone forever.

We must attach importance to the three market elements of talents, technology and capital, so as to find out the way out for development and maximize profits.

As far as the market is concerned, the future of the polyester industry will be reversed.

China's chemical fiber industry is gradually embarking on the road of healthy development.

Two p: the national development and Reform Commission is an important functional department of the national macroeconomic regulation and control. What policies will be introduced in the process of economic pformation? What are the implications of the overcapacity trap for iron and steel industry and how to solve the overcapacity of these industries? What are the implications for the chemical fiber industry?

He Yanli: if we can not solve the pressure of production capacity, the operation efficiency of the whole industry will be declining day by day, so our country can not change from a large country of chemical fiber to a powerful country.

Entrepreneurs should now think about how big enterprises should go in a stronger direction and how enterprises should pform.

Many enterprises are willing to go out, and many countries still welcome China to invest there.

"P >" question three: how to make the cooperative development model of upstream and downstream industrial chain better?

P > Li Xinnan: Li Xinnan: at present, the Ministry of science and technology of the state is actively promoting the national technological innovation project with the Ministry of finance, the Ministry of industry and credit and the development and Reform Commission. One of the important tasks is to promote the joint of the research institutions of our university, to deploy the innovation chain around the construction of the future industrial chain, to form a new form of collaborative innovation, so as to promote the technological progress of the enterprises.

problem four: under the current macro situation, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > textile chemical fiber < /a > how should the enterprise go?

Wang Wei: Although on the surface, the growth rate of China's chemical fiber industry is less than half of that of the "11th Five-Year" period, but the quality of development is steadily improving.

Moreover, from the perspective of future development, China's chemical fiber will still have great room for development after pformation and upgrading.

Question P: question five: Tong Kun group is a leading enterprise in the chemical fiber industry. What measures have been taken to reverse the unfavorable situation? How do we consider the recent stock repurchase plan?

Chen Shiliang: now the industry's so-called productivity pressure comes from the question of confidence.

The overcapacity is frighten to a large extent.

The development of the upper and lower reaches is too fast for the two digit growth to be more worried, resulting in the stock concentrating on polyester factories, while the downstream industries basically only buy a little bit.

Therefore, in addition to using the principle of "four batches" to digest capacity, I think it is necessary to add more confidence.

problem six: what are the latest technologies in the chemical fiber industry?

Zhao Qiang: the chemical fiber industry needs to create.

There are two main concerns about how to raise demand: first, urbanization, and the other is industrial textiles.

Both of them need to develop industry technology as support.

China < a href= "http://www.91se91.com > > textile industry < /a > union honorary president Xu Kunyuan /p >

China's chemical fiber industry still has room for growth /p >

first, world fiber production continues to show an upward trend.

From 2000 to 2011, the world's chemical fiber production showed an increasing trend.

The main reasons are two points. One is the emerging economies of China, represented by China. With the steady growth of the economy, the living standards of the people have been improving and the consumption of textiles has increased at the same time.

Southeast Asia, Africa, South America and other countries and regions at this stage, the consumption of textiles has varying degrees of growth.

Two, industrial textiles have greatly increased in the field of application and usage.

And in the next 5 years or even longer, the consumption of industrial textiles will increase rapidly.

Overall, consumption of about 7000000000 of the world's population is increasing. The trend of global fiber development will not change in the next 5~10 years.

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The importance of Second, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > chemical fiber < /a > becomes more apparent with time.

Since twenty-first Century, the output of world textile fibers has increased rapidly, and chemical fiber has played a decisive role.

Chemical fiber has become the main raw material of global textile fiber.

Chemical fiber is no longer just a problem of dressing, and its importance is becoming more and more prominent. Therefore, the world economy is inseparable from the chemical fiber industry.

In addition, in 2011, China's chemical fiber production accounted for 61.2% of the total chemical fiber in the world. In 2012, China's chemical fiber production accounted for about 70% of the global total.

China's economy is inseparable from the development of chemical fiber industry.

Third, China's chemical fiber industry still has room for growth.

The main reasons are as follows: the first reason is that China's textile industry will continue to develop along with China's economic growth.

In 2012, the production of China's textile industry increased by 10.6%, down from the growth rate in previous years, but still maintained a two digit growth.

With the continuous development of China's economy, the potential of textile domestic demand will be further manifested.

China now has a population of 1 billion 300 million, a population of almost 400 million or a textile consumption type. Other consumption is improved. Now the per capita textile consumption of the world is 11 kilograms. China has already exceeded 20 kilograms. China's textile consumption is not satisfied consumption, but has entered an improved consumption. It requires our textile industry to adjust its structure to meet this level of consumption. China's economic growth is bound to make new demands on China's textile industry.

The second reason is our export level. In 2011, the total export volume of the world's < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > textile > /a > was US $706 billion, and China exported US $248 billion 200 million. In 2012, China's textiles "a target=" _blank "href=" http://www.91se91.com/ "clothing" /a "accounted for 35% of the world's total exports. China's textile industry has a solid foundation, and the supporting advantages of the industrial chain are quite obvious. Scientific and technological progress has been developing rapidly in recent years, especially forming a group of enterprises and entrepreneurs and industry experts with economic strength and talent strength. This team has become the main driving force for the future development of China's textile industry.

The third reason is that the state gives support to labor-intensive industries and people's livelihood industries. China's chemical fiber industry should have the potential and room for development under such an objective environment.

However, because it is not satisfied consumption, it is not quantity growth but quality and variety growth. What is its growth rate? My prediction is synchronous with GDP growth rate.

Fourth, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > polyester industry < /a > current difficulties and outlets.

Polyester industry is the most important industry in the chemical fiber industry.

In 2011, the world's polyester production was 38 million 680 thousand tons, accounting for 75% of the total production of synthetic fiber.

In 2012, China's polyester production was 30 million 570 thousand tons, accounting for 80.6% of China's chemical fiber production.

Why is the polyester industry developing so fast? Mainly because of technological progress.

In the past few years, the realization of localization of large capacity and ultra fine technology equipment has improved the quality level of enterprises and reduced the cost of comparison, so some investors are desperate to invest in the P market.

This is the economic law.

However, during the same period, a large number of similar products were invested heavily, resulting in indigestion finally.

This is not the surplus of backward products, but the development of the same advanced technology and equipment is too fast.

The market is regular. If we do not follow the rules of the market, there will be excessive competition.

Therefore, investors should scientifically predict the change of development, including the investment of PTA, and conform to the market rule.

Entrepreneurs in the P chemical fiber industry should realize that the opportunity for the chemical fiber industry to make big money by one or two machines is less and less, or gone forever.

We must attach importance to the three market elements of talents, science and technology and capital, so as to find out the way out for development and gain maximum profits. The polyester industry will turn the tide in the light of the current market trend and following the market adjustment function.

In my view, China's chemical fiber industry is gradually embarking on the road of healthy development.

He Yanli, inspector of Industry Coordination Department of the national development and Reform Commission, /p >

strong > digestion capacity can go out of the country /p >

according to the spirit of the central economic work conference and the contents of this year's government work report, resolving overcapacity is a key task of the government's work.

At present, the national development and Reform Commission and the State Ministry of industry and technology are drafting the general plan to resolve the contradiction of overcapacity.

This plan mainly puts forward the principles of implementation in the industries of iron and steel, electrolytic aluminum, shipbuilding, cement and flat glass, and other industries can draw lessons from them.

There are four aspects of the overall spirit: first, to digest a batch, and to increase the new demand through the adjustment of industrial structure.

The two is to merge and reorganize a batch and optimize the organizational structure.

The three is to eliminate a number of backward ones, which belong to those with high energy consumption, high pollution and relatively low level of technology.

The four is to pfer a number of such pfers, which are to pfer a relatively high level of production capacity abroad.

Through the "four batch", the current situation of overcapacity is gradually improving.

the president of the association of many countries and regions, such as Japan's a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > chemical fiber Association < /a > president, in analyzing the world chemical fiber situation, said that polyester production capacity is facing more pressure in the future. China accounts for 60% to 70% of the world's chemical fiber production. How to face the polyester industry is a very important problem.

If we can not solve the pressure of production capacity, the operation efficiency of the whole industry will be increasingly declining, so our country can not change from a large country of chemical fiber to a powerful country.

Entrepreneurs should now think about how big enterprises should go in a stronger direction and how enterprises should pform.

Many enterprises are willing to go out, and many countries still welcome China to invest there.

In short, we need to digest capacity by various means.

Intelligent entrepreneurs do not want the state to take measures, they will quickly consider the next step of development.

chemical fiber industry is not only doing quantity, but also changing from quantity to quality, and internationalization.

This is my basic view on the current "a href=" http://www.91se91.com "chemical fiber industry < /a >, especially the next step development of polyester industry.

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Wang Wei, deputy director of the Ministry of consumer goods industry of the Ministry of industry and commerce, /p >

the quality improvement under the slowdown of growth rate

from the world, including the European Union, South Korea, Thailand, India and the development of chemical fiber industry in China's Taiwan, China's chemical fiber industry has reached a critical period from volume growth to quality upgrading.

Since China's chemical fiber industry entered the "12th Five-Year", from the 2011 and 2012 overall operation situation, the growth rate has been significantly reduced.

China's chemical fiber industry has entered a period of adjustment, and has come to a critical period of adjustment.

The annual growth rate of China's chemical fiber industry in the "11th Five-Year" period is 13.2%. After entering the "12th Five-Year" period, the annual growth rate of chemical fiber production has actually been adjusted to 5.8% in the 12th Five-Year plan of the chemical fiber industry.

The speed of development in recent years is within the estimated speed of the 12th Five-Year plan, at around 5.8%, or even below 5.8%.

At present, the pformation and upgrading of China's chemical fiber industry has made substantial progress.

First of all, conventional fibers achieve high quality and functionalization.

Now the industry is no longer satisfied with the general fiber, more and more enterprises attach importance to scientific and technological innovation and variety development.

At the same time, through the operation of these two years, we can see that enterprises with good technological innovation and variety development are also well run enterprises.

Bio based chemical fibers and their raw materials have become an important part of China's strategic emerging bio manufacturing industry. The Ministry of industry and information technology and the national development and Reform Commission are in deep cooperation. At present, a preliminary plan for implementing the special implementation of bio based chemical fibers and raw materials has been completed.

Recycled polyester fiber is also an important development content.

We are actively developing the < a href= "http://www.91se91.com > recycled chemical fiber > /a > polyester industry access conditions.

although on the surface, the growth rate of the chemical fiber industry is less than half that of the "11th Five-Year" period, the quality of development is steadily improving.

Moreover, judging from the development trend in the future, there is still much room for development of China's chemical fiber after pformation and upgrading. This is a basic judgement for the future situation.

inspector Li Xinnan of the Ministry of science and technology policy, regulations and system reform,

construct the innovation chain around the industrial chain /p >

chemical fiber industry is definitely a sunrise industry.

From the analysis of sensibility, the necessities of life can not be separated from chemical fiber, so the chemical fiber industry will have a very good development prospect.

The chemical fiber industry should rely on technological innovation for further development.

China's < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > chemical fiber industry < /a >, from scratch, from small to large, has made great progress.

I think there are three main factors: first, rely on the introduction, digestion and absorption of advanced technology.

Second, rely on the low labor cost of chemical fiber industry.

Third, rely on the state's preferential policies for chemical fiber industry and surrounding industries.

Of the above three factors, the latter two factors have become unsustainable today.

Only one way to go is to rely on technological progress and rely on technological innovation based on digestion and absorption.

countries are also studying how to create a better environment for innovation and innovation for our business development.

Many policies are based on the initial conditions of reform and opening up. For example, foreign exchange reserves were very low at that time. Therefore, enterprises should be encouraged to earn foreign exchange through exports. But now the development situation has been different. The domestic market has been linked to the international market. The domestic market can not be regarded as the domestic market, but not a part of the international market. Therefore, the state is conducting research and adjustment in various aspects such as export policy, economic policy, foreign trade policy, tax policy, science and technology policy and resource allocation.

I strongly agree with the way of industry alliance to embrace innovation and improve the industrial chain.

At present, the Ministry of science and technology is working with 15 departments, including the Ministry of finance, the Ministry of industry and information, the national development and Reform Commission, and so on to actively promote national technological innovation projects. One important task is to promote the joint research of Chinese universities, and to set up innovative chains around the construction of future industrial chains, so as to form a new form of collaborative innovation so as to promote technological progress of enterprises.

I hope that China's chemical fiber industry can strengthen collaborative innovation cooperation and make the industry stronger and bigger on the basis of what has already been done.

Zhao Qiang, Dean of the Chinese Academy of textile science, /p >

technology is the strong support of the industry

there are many works that can be done to solve the problem of capacity.

First of all, variety development has left a lot of space for the industry. This aspect is something that should be done on technology, including the functionalization, multifunctionality and differentiation of conventional varieties.

Second, we need to create demand.

How to raise the demand is mainly concerned with two aspects. One is urbanization and the other is industrial textiles.

The demand for both needs to be supported by the development of industry technology.

the chemical fiber industry alliance now established has many inspirations for R & D work.

For example, the whole industry chain research, in the past even in the relatively concentrated textile industry, in fact, in the development of varieties is still piecewise, and separated very well. Now, the chemical fiber industry technology innovation alliance requires the whole industry chain to combine, and this whole industry chain's Union is through the combination of laws, which is very effective for the development of varieties.

at present, China Textile Center will focus on fiber development.

We have full confidence in "super cotton imitation".

In order to meet the needs of technological development, China Textile Institute has invested more than two hundred million yuan, and has built a 2000 ton production line. It has been debugged and has been developing various varieties.

In addition, in terms of energy saving and emission reduction, the technology of extracting formaldehyde from polyester backwater has been implemented and achieved good results.

This technology is stepping up its promotion.

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Chen Shiliang, chairman of Tong Kun group, /p >

have confidence in the pressure of production capacity

a normal market economy is overcapacity. < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > polyester industry < /a > is a cyclical industry. That is to say, overcapacity is commonplace, so for Tung Kun, overcapacity is not so terrible.

Overcapacity is an opportunity for enterprises. It is a test. It can make people invest more cautiously and scientifically in the next step. It can enable people to strengthen management from inside and make use of new technologies, new processes and new materials to create core values of products, so as to enhance the core competitiveness of enterprises.

the so-called excess capacity in the industry now comes from the question of confidence.

The overcapacity is frighten to a large extent.

Therefore, in addition to using the principle of "four batches" to digest capacity, I think it is necessary to add more confidence.

September 3rd, Tong Kun announced the resolution of shareholders' meeting and decided to buy Tong Kun stock for no more than 550 million yuan.

At present, we believe that the chemical fiber industry is undergoing in-depth adjustment, and now it is developing steadily.

This also means that Tung Kun's effectiveness will rebound.

The relationship between stock prices and the efficiency of enterprises is very large. We believe that the future stability of Tong Kun will surely drive the stock price.

550 million yuan is not a small number.

But I can tell you responsibly that Tong Kun is not bad money.

The acquisition of this share will cost 550 million yuan. I believe it will not affect the next production and operation of Tong Kun, nor will it affect the investment and development of Tong Kun next step.

Everyone in Tong Kun group has confidence in himself and believes in the market. I believe that through this repurchase, the operation state of Tong Kun group will be better.