Interpretation Of The Future Development Trend Of The Chemical Fiber Industry In The Nineteenth China International Chemical Fiber Conference
In two days, The nineteenth China International Chemical fiber Conference In Tongxiang, Zhejiang, a gourmet feast was given to the global fiber industry. This is not the year of red fire, but it has a higher popularity. This year's China International Chemical fiber conference has been a real success. Is this the common mentality that the industry seeks to break through, or is it a symptom of the industry's counterattack?
With the uncertainty of global economic development and the slowing down of China's economy, the chemical fiber industry has been affected by many internal and external factors. The slowdown in macroeconomic development and structural adjustment provide a strong and effective mechanism for the transformation and upgrading of China's chemical fiber industry. More and more enterprises in the chemical fiber industry have come to the crossroads of development. They realize that stopping thinking is responsible for long-term development. Although the industry is currently in a predicament, reporters do not feel the confusion of the participants at the scene. On the contrary, they have more consensus and expectation on the development of the industry.
China Spin Gao Yong, vice president of the Federation of industries, said that the future of the chemical fiber industry will develop in the form of innovation driven, endogenous growth, resource saving and efficient and intensive. The chemical fiber industry will shift from the large-scale development of conventional fibers to the development of high-tech fibers and functional fibers.
Duan Xiaoping, President of China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, also believes that China's chemical fiber industry has gone through the development stage relying on the total volume and the scale to win the opportunity. It is changing from the rapid growth period led by the expansion of scale to the steady growth period of structural adjustment and quality benefit oriented economy. This view is recognized by a lot of chemical fiber entrepreneurs. They feel in the ups and downs of the market that the large-scale speculative development in the chemical fiber industry will not bring more profit margins. Instead, they will manage products, culture and brand management. It is the common responsibility of enterprises to inject new technologies, new resources, low carbon and brand vitality into the chemical fiber industry under complex environment. In the comparison of chemical fiber industry in many countries and regions of the world, it is found that it is extremely urgent to reconstruct the new advantages of Chinese chemical fiber under the new situation.
There is room for future growth.
Since China's chemical fiber industry entered the "12th Five-Year", its growth rate has dropped significantly. In fact, during the "11th Five-Year" period, Chemical fiber industry The annual growth rate is 13.2%. The annual growth rate of chemical fiber has been adjusted to 5.8% in the "12th Five-Year" development plan of the chemical fiber industry. Wang Wei, deputy director of the Ministry of consumer goods industry of the State Ministry of industry and commerce, said that the pace of development in recent years is within expected. In judging the future situation, Wang Wei pointed out that, on the whole, although the growth rate of China's chemical fiber industry is less than half of that during the "11th Five-Year" period, the quality of development is steadily improving. Moreover, from the perspective of future development, China's chemical fiber industry still has great room for development after transformation and upgrading.
Xu Kunyuan, honorary president of the China Federation of textile industry, has analyzed the development of the world's chemical fiber industry. He believes that the world fiber production continues to show an upward trend, and the importance of chemical fiber has been emerging over time. China's chemical fiber industry still has a wide range of growth opportunities. At the same time, China's textile industry has stepped out of the "satisfied consumption" and entered the "improved consumption", which requires the structural adjustment of China's textile industry to meet the new consumption pattern. In view of the chemical fiber industry, Xu Kunyuan said that the change of consumption demand will lead to the growth of China's chemical fiber industry in the future, not only the growth of quantity, but also the improvement of quality and the increase of varieties.
He Yanli, inspector of the industry coordination department of the national development and Reform Commission, said that China's chemical fiber industry is now in a critical period of structural adjustment. While resolving domestic capacity, we should pay attention to the development of differentiated multi-functional fiber, high-tech fiber, bio based chemical fiber, regenerated fiber and other industries and technology.
At present, the boom of the chemical fiber industry has also attracted much attention. In September 3rd, Tong Kun announced the resolution of shareholders' meeting, which did not exceed 550 million yuan to buy back shares. Chen Shiliang, chairman of Tong Kun group, said the Tong Kun group is optimistic about the development of the industry and believes that the chemical fiber industry is now stabilizing after being deeply adjusted. Chen Shiliang said: "this means that the benefits of Tong Kun will rebound. We believe that the future stability of Tong Kun will surely pull our stock price." Xiaoping, speaking at the evaluation of the Tong Kun group's initiative, said that the behavior of the Tong Kun group's repurchase shares is an inspiration to the industry, which is "the confidence of the Tong Kun group in the chemical fiber industry and the polyester industry". {page_break}
Technology innovation is more important
In 2011, the world's polyester production was 38 million 680 thousand tons, accounting for 75% of the total production of synthetic fiber. In 2012, China's polyester production was 30 million 570 thousand tons, accounting for 80.6% of China's chemical fiber production. Xu Kunyuan, honorary president of China Textile Industry Federation, reviewed the rapid development of polyester industry when it talked about the importance of science and technology. He pointed out that the main reason for the rapid development of the polyester industry depends on technological progress. In recent years, the localization of large capacity and ultra fine technology equipment has improved the quality of products and reduced the cost of comparison, so some investors are desperate to invest in this market. As a result, a large number of similar products were invested in the same period, resulting in "indigestion" in the market. Xu Kunyuan also believes that this is not the surplus of backward products, but the development of the same advanced technology and equipment is too fast.
Over the past 10 years, technological progress has brought great changes to the polyester industry. Xiaoping also said in his speech that polyester polyester industry is the biggest beneficiary of scientific and technological progress. At present, the unit investment of polyester industry is 1/8 of 10 years ago. The construction cycle is original 1/2, the processing cost of the product is the original 1/2, and the spinning speed is 8 times that of 10 years ago.
Over the past 10 years, China's chemical fiber industry has made great progress in relying on scientific and technological progress. In the next 10 years, the industry will rely more on scientific and technological progress to upgrade the industry. There are three reasons for Xiaoping's analysis: first, the transformation of China's economy can not sustain the expansion of a single scale; second, the marginal effect of technological progress in cost control and scale is gradually decreasing; third, the impetus and ability of traditional developed countries to promote the technological progress of the chemical fiber industry are declining, and China's chemical fiber industry will gradually assume the responsibility of promoting the scientific and technological progress of the global chemical fiber industry.
High performance fiber will usher in high speed development.
Xiaoping believes that the next 5 to 10 years will be the golden period for the development of high performance fibers. He believes that there are several facts that can confirm this view: the industrial application area is constantly expanding; technological progress has brought late development advantages to high performance fiber production, including the low cost of production and the expansion of downstream applications; and China's economic transformation and upgrading, including the need for transformation and upgrading of the chemical fiber industry. For the development of high performance fibers, Xiaoping has several suggestions: to learn from the development experience of conventional chemical fiber varieties, to develop from the downstream to the upstream has more advantages; to keep an eye on the development direction of international chemical fiber and to achieve low cost production is a global trend; we must pay attention to basic theoretical research and strengthen cooperation with research institutes; we should pay attention to R & D recycling technology, so as to reduce the problem of polluting environment in the future application of high-performance, strong acid and corrosion resistant fibers.
When it comes to the next 3~5 years, which high-performance fibers are most worthy of promotion and application, Zhao Qiang, President of the China Textile Research Institute, said that high performance fibers such as carbon fiber, high strength high modulus polyethylene fiber, polyphenylene sulfide and basalt fiber will be widely applied in the downstream product development. Zhao Qiang said that the development of posterior products directly affects the development of high performance fibers. How to increase the application and development of these high-performance fibers must be determined according to the characteristics of the fibers themselves.
The rapid development of high performance fibers is important because of the demand for industrial textiles. Looking at the world, many countries and regions are targeting the future development of the chemical fiber industry in this field, and continue to enhance technology and integration technology, expand the application field of fiber. Ueda Eshi, vice president of Japan Chemical Fiber Industry Association, said that the target market of Japanese chemical fiber products will be further expanded, and more efforts will be made in areas such as transportation, information and environment. Suresh Chander Kapur, Secretary General of India synthetic fiber Association, also pointed out that the largest direction of India chemical fiber application is industrial textiles, including medical, building materials, automobile manufacturing, sporting goods and other fields.
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