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Golden Section Of Stock Accurately Grasp The Trading Point

2013/10/3 17:17:00 34

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Stock Market Golden Section Method Trading Point

Application of golden section rate

Golden Section .

1.618 minus the base 1, 0.618, 1 minus 0.618 0.382.

golden section is applied in stocks. One view is: directly from the low point of the band plus 0.382 times, 0.618 times, 1.382 times, 1.618 times...

As its rising pressure.

Or subtract 0.382 and 0.618 times from the high point of the band directly, as a support for its decline.

another view is that the high and low points of the band should not be taken as its base of calculation.

As for the base of the previous wave band, the supporting points of the golden section can be calculated by the following formula:

1, a certain market return high point support = a certain market end - (a market end point - a market lowest point) 0.382

2, a certain market low support = a certain market end - (a market end point - a market lowest point) 0.618

if you want to calculate the target position, you can use the following formula to calculate .

3, the lowest point (or the highest point) in the preceding paragraph = (the highest point in the preceding paragraph) - 1.382 (or 1.618)

the above formula has four methods of calculation, which are applied separately according to different situations of stocks.

should be noted when using:

1, buying points in the callback to 0.618 place is relatively safe, callback to 0.382 places for aggressive investors are more suitable, robust investors choose to callback to 0.618 intervention.

2, selling point is 1.382 more conservative, as long as the trend keeps rising channel, can choose to rise 1.618 place sell.

1, the golden section method can be used to identify the strength of stocks:

A, the judgement of strong rising stock stock:

suppose that a strong stock rose from 10 yuan to 15 yuan, showing a strong trend. Then there will be a callback. What price will it be callback to? What is the price of the golden section 0.382? 13.09 yuan, 0.5 for 12.50 yuan, 0.618 for 11.91 yuan, which is the three supporting position of the stock.

If the stock price is supported near 13.09 yuan, the stock will remain strong, and the probability that the market will break through 15 yuan will be greater than 70%.

If it hit a new high, it would run in three waves.

What price can it go up? With a 0.382 price point, that is, (15-13.09) +15=16.91 yuan, this is a pressure level; with two 0.382 price points (15-13.09) x 2+15=18.82 yuan, this is two pressure level; three pressure point is 10 yuan multiple, that is 20 yuan.

Back to the front, if the stock was lowered from 15 yuan to 12.50 yuan, the strong character of the stock had already faded. The probability of breaking through 15 yuan in the future market was only 50%. If breaking through, the high point would generally only reach a 0.382 price price, that is, 16.91 yuan; if it could not break through, it would often form a M head, and after that, it would return to the starting point of 10 yuan after breaking the 12.50 yuan warp line.

If the stock was reduced from 15 yuan to 0.618 yuan 11.91 yuan or even lower, it would be strong enough to turn weak, and the probability of breaking 15 yuan new high was less than 30%. Most of the stocks were only around 0.5 of the 0.5 space (assuming a callback to 11.91 yuan, the target position was about (15-11.91) 0.5+ 11.91=13.46 yuan) and then fell again, running the stock down C wave.

What price will it fall to? With 11.91- (15-13.09) =10 yuan, it is a supporting position and a low point. 11.91- (15-13.09) * 2=8.09 yuan is the two supporting position.

B, the judgement of the weak stock stock:

assuming that a weaker stock fell from 40 yuan to 20 yuan in the previous round, and then rebounded. The 0.382 of the golden section was 27.64 yuan, 0.5 for 30 yuan and 0.618 for 32.36 yuan.

If

the stock has only rebounded to 0.382 yuan or 27.64 yuan, that is, the resistance will fall down. The weak character of the stock will not be changed. The probability of breaking down 20 yuan in the future market will be greater than 70%. If the rebound to 0.5 0.5 yuan is blocked, the weakness of the stock will be stronger. The probability of breaking down 20 yuan in the future market is less than 50%.

Most of them are once again supported by 20 yuan, forming the bottom of W. In the future, there is a possibility of breaking the 30 yuan neckline to attack 40 yuan early high point; if rebound to 0.618 place 32.36 yuan, the resistance will fall down, then the stock's strength has weakened from strength to strength, and the market will surely not break 20 yuan before, and the greater possibility is that the 0.5 place in the rebound space can be recovered (assuming that the rally will reach 32.36 yuan, and the target of return is (32.36-20) x 0.5+ 20=26.18 yuan).

A pressure level of 40 yuan, is the former high, is also a low 20 yuan multiple; two pressure level is 2 wave bottom 26.18 yuan multiple 52.36 yuan.

At that time, the stock has been running in the 3 wave of the new rising wave.

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the golden section method is effective for stocks with obvious upward or downward trend, and it is invalid for stocks running on platforms.

2, the golden section method used in the day's intraday time trend, the trend of rising stocks:

volume enlargement, the average daily line is generally above the previous closing price and runs slowly, with a volume ratio of 2-3.

Shortly after the opening of the morning, many stocks rush to 6-8%, but don't catch up at this price.

At 9:30-11:00 am, the high price of the stock has been listed as the benchmark .

(if the high jump is opened, the lowest closing price should be closed at the end of the day). Draw a segmentation line with golden section to see whether the daily average price line is above or near the 0.618 place, whether it continues to rise slightly. If so, the probability that the stock market will break through in the future will be great. At this time, the 0.618 price should be the buying reference point.

If the daily average price line is only 0.5 or even near 0.382, the probability that the stock will take the big line is not large.

the trend of stocks falling on the same day: the daily average is generally running below the closing price and slowly downward.

At 10:30-11:00 in the morning, in the stocks with a drop of more than 3%, the high price in the morning was the benchmark (the low jump stocks should be at a high price before closing price), and the golden section line was drawn for observation. If the average daily line runs near 0.382 place, the

"P" on the same day is likely to take out the barefoot or the low big Yin line, not only can not consider buying, but also high distribution.

If the diurnal average line runs parallel to the 0.618 bits, the stock is now strong and can consider short line intervention.

3. "top" and "bottom" judgments

A. "top" judgment:

when the share price rises and falls off the low grade, from the rising speed and persistence, according to the golden section rule, its rise will change when the increase is close to or 0.382 and 0.618.

That is to say, when the rise is close to or exceeds 38.2% or 61.8%, there will be a reverse pressure and a reversal of the fall and the possibility of ending a rising market.

Besides the fixed 0.382 and 0.618, the golden section law is the inverse pressure point of the rise, and half of the anti pressure points, that is half of 0.382, is also an important basis for P.

Therefore, when the market is on the rise, the ability to predict the rise in stock prices and the price that can be reversed can be multiplied by 0.191, 0.382, 0.809 and 1 of the previous stock market decline as a prediction of the possible rise.

When the stock price rises more than 1 times, the counter pressure point is calculated by 1.191, 1.382, 1.809 and 2 times.

And so on.

for example, when the lowest price of a stock is 4 yuan before the end of the fall, then, when the share price reverses, investors can calculate the anti pressure price in different situations in advance, that is: 4 x (1+0.191) = 4.764 yuan; 4 * (1+0.382) =5.528 yuan; 4 x (1+ 0.618) =6.472 yuan; 4 x (1+0.809) =7.236 yuan; 4 x (1+ 1) =8 yuan; 4 x (1+1.191) 1+ yuan.

Then, consider the actual situation of stock price changes.

B. "bottom" judgment:

when the bull market is over and the bear market is unfolding, investors are most concerned about the "bottom", but there are so many factors that can not be fully grasped.

From the golden section rule, we can calculate the supporting price of the downward trend and increase the confidence of investors in buying the bargain.

when the share price falls and is off the top grade, from the speed and persistence of decline, according to the golden section rule, its downtrend will also change when the fall is close to or 0.382 and 0.618.

That is to say, it is similar to the rising market and changes when the drop is close to or exceeds 38.2% or 61.8%.

It is easy to support and reverse the possibility of falling market.

With the same formula of the golden section rule of the rising market, except for the support of 0.382 and 0.618, the 0.191 and 0.809 places may play the supporting role when the falling market starts.

for example, before the end of the stock market, the highest price of a stock is 3 yuan. When the stock price falls down, investors can calculate various supporting prices, that is, 3 x (1-0.191) =2.427 yuan; 3 x (1-0.382) =1.854 yuan; 3 x (1-0.618) =1.46 yuan; 3 x (1-0.809) =0.573 yuan.

in many cases, the golden section rule is applied to the stock market. Investors will find that the use of the golden section rule in the general situation is more effective than in the stock market.

This is because the speculative nature of stocks is strong. Under the intervention of some hands, some stocks are prone to the trend of skyrocketing and plunging. In this way, the accuracy of finding the "top" and "bottom" with rigid formulas will be reduced.

While the index is relatively good, while human factors also exist, but it is much more relaxed than stocks. Therefore, the opportunity to master the "top" and "bottom" will be greater.