Cotton Production Is A Foregone Conclusion. Enterprises Are Worried About Cotton Harvest.
< p > October 10th news 2013/2014 production season, for < a href= "http://www.91se91.com" > cotton < /a >, it is an eventful autumn.
First encountered low-temperature and torrential rain, and entered the hot summer and drought in August.
After the devastation of these extreme weather, cotton picked up in September, and the output was self-evident.
This year, cotton production in Shandong, Xinjiang, Henan and other real estate cotton provinces is not optimistic.
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< p > as a large cotton producing Xinjiang, the weather is not good. I learned from the Xinjiang cotton association that the low temperature in May has affected the cotton knot peach. In 6 and July, some parts of the city of Xinjiang were also hail.
"Hailstones are as big as eggs, less than half an hour, and the cotton plants are beaten into light stalks."
Xinjiang province Yuepuhu County cotton grower Han Qi said that his family's 20 mu cotton reduced production about 40%.
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< p > according to statistics of the Economic Crops Research Institute of Xinjiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Xinjiang's cotton production decreased by 10% in 2013, and the yield in southern Xinjiang was larger than that in Northern Xinjiang.
Some ginning plants in Akesu and Kashi predicted that the cotton yield per unit area in the southern Xinjiang was concentrated in 320~380 kg / mu this year, and the yield per unit area decreased to 250~300 kg / mu in 4 and May.
In addition, since mid August, some of the better growing cotton spider mites are more serious, and the yield per unit area may be down by 20% compared with last year.
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< p > > according to < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_p.asp > > Henan < /a > Xinxiang cotton grower Zhang Zhiqiang reflects that in 7 and August, because of drought and no rain for a few days, it also had a certain effect on cotton output.
"We have continuous high temperature and drought, and cotton production has decreased by at least two or three."
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< p > Zhang Wenmin, director of cotton research and development center of Wanda futures, admitted that under the influence of pre disaster weather, cotton production reduction in the main production area this year is a foregone conclusion.
Compared with previous years, cotton production will be reduced by one or two this year.
In addition, cotton picking period is generally 10 days later than in previous years.
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P > cotton yield reduction and cotton price rise seem to be a normal logic, but this year's purchase price is not ideal for cotton farmers.
"At present, the purchase price is around 8 yuan per kilogram, so it is calculated that the area where the disaster has not been damaged is only 400~500 yuan, and the area where the disaster is reduced is almost impossible to earn."
Liu Xusen reluctantly said that cotton farmers' psychological price at 9~10 yuan / kg, how to buy enterprises do not agree.
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< p > however, in Kashi and Akesu, the purchase price of 40% lint seed cotton should not be higher than 8.9 yuan / kg.
If the purchase price is too high, there will be no profit for the ginning enterprises.
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< p > because this year is the first year of the implementation of < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_q.asp" > the new national standard < /a >, the acquisition of enterprises is cautious and the turnover is relatively small. The main reason is that cotton farmers are reluctant to sell. The cotton industry is considering its own cost and cotton quality, and the purchase price is relatively low.
In September, cotton purchase and storage rules were promulgated.
At present, from the perspective of the situation, the domestic cotton market is mainly fragmentary.
A person in charge of an enterprise in Xinxiang, Henan, said that there were three main concerns: first, the rules of storage and storage required enterprises to be responsible for the quality of cotton for life and the pressure of enterprises. Two, the purchase and storage rules were purchased according to the new national standard. At present, the number of public inspection is still very small. The enterprises are difficult to grasp the connection between self inspection and public inspection. Three, there is no suspense about the reduction of seed cotton production this year, and the overcapacity of the 400 enterprises, the battle for resource competition will be repeated, and the enterprises are more worried about the prospect of the purchase.
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