China'S Import And Export Value Is Expected To Be The First In The World.

Data released by the General Administration of Customs in December 8th showed that China was in the same month in November. Import and export of goods Total value of 370 billion 609 million US dollars, an increase of 9.3%.

Among them, the monthly export value for the first time exceeded 200 billion dollars, an increase of 12.7%, and refreshed the export record in December last year.

A number of foreign trade system reports predict that this year China will surpass the United States and become the world's largest foreign trade import and export.

At present, China is the largest trading partner of 126 countries and the second largest trading partner of 79 countries. Five years ago, this figure belongs to the United States.

"According to the data of the past 11 months, China may finish 8% of the whole year. Trade Target of growth, but because of the obvious export shortage in the first half of this year, we should not be overly optimistic about achieving this goal. Liu Ligang, chief economist of Greater China in ANZ bank, said. A number of people, including government think tanks, questioned the existence of some false questions about some foreign trade data.

Some analysts believe that the previous policies and measures have raised business confidence and promoted the steady growth of foreign trade growth. The import and export of the fourth quarter will maintain a steady growth trend, and the annual export share of Global trade is expected to continue to increase slightly.

The foreign trade data released by the Census Bureau of the US Commerce Department on the 4 th of this month showed that the value of imports and exports of goods in the United States was US $3 trillion and 262 billion 575 million in October and 137 billion 385 million US dollars behind China.

If there is no accident in December, after four consecutive years of reclaiming the world's largest export country, China will not miss the top of the global import and export scale.

In view of the super value of China's imports and exports, experts in economy and trade are more cautious and positive. Tu Xinquan, vice president of China WTO College of the University of foreign trade and economics, believes that China surpassed the United States and has positive significance, at least reflecting China's world economy The promotion of status.

However, a considerable number of experts believe that the world's first import and export gross value needs to be calmly treated: China's manufacturing, which is facing internal and external hardship, and the development of destruction of the environment and resources, and the overall export product structure with low added value and lack of brand, all remind people to be more sober and vigilant.

Zhou Shijian, a senior researcher at the Sino US relations research center of Tsinghua University, said that a developing country which relies heavily on foreign capital and foreign technology is not able to reach the ranks of developed countries.

At the same time, China's trade surplus once again reached an astonishing 33 billion 800 million US dollars in November as exports rose significantly and imports slowed down again. This is China's trade surplus of about 30 billion US dollars for second consecutive months. China's trade surplus may exceed US $240 billion in the whole year, and it will hit a peak since 2008, which has caused a great pressure on the RMB.

Liu Ligang warned that the excessive appreciation of the RMB has obviously eroded China's trade competitiveness.