Stock School: Five Tips For Selling Stocks At Ideal Prices

Selling P shares is the hardest part of the gambler fallacy and disposal effect. To some extent, when to sell stocks is even harder and more important than buying stocks and buying stocks.

Once a buyer buys a stock, he decides whether to buy it or sell it.

The result of the actual battle is very cruel, and the probability of investors selling the stock correctly is very low.

The root cause is the "gambler fallacy" and "disposition effect" in psychology. < /p >

< p > if you have thrown five times in a round of dice, the chance of throwing two more points next time will be less than 1/6.

Is that right? If you answer "yes" to this question, you fall into the so-called "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/list.aspx? ClassID=101112107108 "gambler fallacy < /a".

When throwing a dice, the number of points thrown each time has nothing to do with the number of points thrown before.

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< p > gambler fallacy is that when a gambler sees 10 positive coins thrown continuously, he will tend to believe that the next coin will be thrown out.

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< p > < strong > "gambler fallacy" < /strong > /p >

The fundamental reason for the occurrence of < p > is the heuristic thinking of the participants: people tend to think that if a thing always successively produces a result, it is likely that different results will result in "averaging".

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In the stock market, the "gambler fallacy" is mainly manifested in the fact that investors are eager to throw stock when the share price rises, and realize capital appreciation. When the share price falls, they will not stop in time, but keep holding, avoid capital loss, and expect the share price to rebound. Moreover, the holding time of even falling stock is significantly higher than that of even rising stocks, that is, "the more investors fall, the more investors hold it". < /p > p

< p > < strong > disposal effect > /strong > /p >

< p > that is the different disposition of investors to the stocks with profit and loss.

Investors tend to cash in on profitable stocks and drag them out.

As a result, such a situation can be formed: the stock of a company whose performance is good enough to go up can be increased because of the sell-off of many investors, and its growth has been suppressed. However, some stocks with poor performance can not return to the historical high position but the process of slow decline has been prolonged due to the collective Procrastination of retail investors.

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< p > how to minimize the "disposal effect" and "gambler fallacy" in the investment and sell the stocks in the most ideal position? Here are several ways to prove effective in actual combat: < /p >

< p > the "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/list.aspx "ClassID=101112107107" > the separation of principal and interest < /a > refers to the difference between the original capital invested in the stock and the profits earned afterwards.

Specifically, the principal is used as a short-term investment to chase those strong stocks, while profits are used as long-term investments and invested in blue chip stocks.

The advantage of this is that the principal can make profits in a timely manner, with little risk. Profits can be used as a long-term investment, and the psychological burden is light.

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There are always a variety of investors who are surprised by the fluctuation of stock prices in the "P" fixed point method. For this reason, a selling method that makes people less anxious is to "settle the knot", that is, when the share price rises to a certain point, the stock will be thrown.

Of course, this point is not determined blindly, but based on the situation that we have grasped, and the analysis of profit contrast and development momentum.

For example, an investor bought deep Vanke at a price of 18 yuan in April 20, 2007. The fixed point profit margin was 5~6 yuan. Once the stock price rose to 23~24 yuan, then no matter how much more information there was, it would be closed.

He should have sold it resolutely in May 14th, thus successfully avoiding a sharp fall.

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< p > stop loss method is a way of ending the loss of the stock when the stock price falls to a certain point.

For example, investors are determined that no matter how the stock price will rise in the future, as long as the current price of 2 yuan back on the basis of immediate throw.

This method is very useful for small and medium-sized investors, but it can not solve the problem of stock market ups and downs.

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< p > in batches, in short, it is not to sell all the stocks at once, but to sell them in batches.

This method can be seen as a supplement to the fixed-point method when investors are weak in judgment.

The "batching up method" is mainly divided into "quantitative batching and ending up" and "reverse shipment in Pyramid". If holding 12 thousand shares of a certain stock, the cost is 12 yuan per share, the initial selling point is 18 yuan, a group sells 3000 shares, and every time it rises 2 yuan to sell a batch, so it is 20 yuan to sell 3000 shares, 22 yuan to sell 3000 shares, and sells to 24 yuan.

This is a "quantitative batching up method". The "inverted Pyramid shipment method" is that the number of stocks issued by each batch is small and large, and is inverted Pyramid shaped.

Obviously, the "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/list.aspx? ClassID=101112107105 "Pyramid shipment method < /a" is more profitable than the former, but the risk is also greater.

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There are different ways to sell stocks in different periods according to P.

In the early days of the fall, if the stock price falls low and is not deep enough, it should be sold immediately.

This is a time to test whether investors can make a decisive decision and have a decisive psychological quality.

Only timely and decisive selling can we prevent further losses.

After the stock market experienced a deep and rapid fall, it would play a limited role in panic, and the stock market is liable to rebound. It can grasp the rhythm of share price operation and sell when the market rebounded.

In a market where the trend continues to be weak, it is firmly sold when you see the abnormal trend.

If the stocks hold abnormal trend, it means that the stock may have a big decline in the future.

For example, stocks that are abnormal in late trading should be sold decisively.

The more we use the action of pulling up the tail, the more it shows that the main funds have been unable to support the plate.

When the stock market falls to the bottom of a certain stage, the selling method can be used because the stock price is far away from its purchase price, and if the selling is forced, the loss will often be greater.

It is possible to reduce the cost appropriately and wait for the market to warm up and sell at high prices.

The selling method is suitable for the end of the fall.

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< p > from a psychological point of view, selling stock is always a painful thing.

When share prices have risen sharply, they feel that they can earn more. If they sell, there will be no chance of higher profits.

And when stocks fall or even losses are more serious, selling is more uncomfortable. After selling, it is no longer a digital change, but a real loss.

But now we can't afford to sell, where is there any capital to invest in other investment opportunities? Now selling is to seek better profits and avoid bigger losses.

When the selling time is coming, we must sell it resolutely.

No wonder how smart, how artistic it is, just sell it right and sell it in time! < /p >