Japan'S Manufacturing Industry Abandoning China To Indonesia Market
< p > "from the results of our twenty-fifth overseas direct investment survey, Japanese enterprises believe that China has slipped from first to fourth in the most potential overseas investment countries, and Indonesia has risen to No. 1 for the first time."
Ayuba Shinji, director of the Japan International Cooperation Bank's investigation, said.
< /p >
< p > Japan International Cooperation Bank has conducted an investigation on the overseas direct investment of large Japanese < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > manufacturing < /a > for 25 consecutive years.
The survey has become a weathervane for Japanese manufacturers to invest overseas.
The survey looks into the development of the medium term business of enterprises, and gets the evaluation of overseas achievements, and finds out the potential investors of Japanese manufacturing enterprises.
< /p >
< p > < strong > China's labor strength obviously declined, < /strong > /p >
< p > many enterprises no longer regard China as the most potential country, mainly because they worry about the rising labor cost in China.
< /p >
The Japanese media today, even if they do not emphasize the threat theory of China, will do a good job of Chinese crisis theory. P
< /p >
< p > conservative media is self-evident. Since the beginning of new year's day in 2014, there have been several editorials and heavy news about China's military threats, giving people a sense of urgency in the Sino Japanese hot war.
Although this report has the suspicion of promoting the sales volume of newspapers, China is not the most potential investment country for Japanese manufacturers.
< /p >
< p > Japan International Cooperation Bank Limited the scope of investigation to the large manufacturing enterprises in Japan. It needs more than 3 overseas legal persons, and at least 1 of them are production bases.
The survey was issued in 2013, 7~9 month, 8~10 month return visit and telephone consultation, and the investigation report was released at the end of November.
"In terms of relations between the two countries, we have not done much to investigate the impact of Sino Japanese political relations on Japanese investment."
Ah Ye told the author.
< /p >
According to our findings, many enterprises no longer regard China as the most potential country, mainly because they are worried about the rising labor costs in China. They think it is difficult to recruit the labor force in China, "P".
Ah ye said.
The weights of the reasons given by these enterprises are: labor costs rising and labor force difficult to ensure (41.2%), intensification of competition with other companies (20.6%), China's economic slowdown (26%), and the trend of political relations between China and Japan (12.2%).
< /p >
< p > but in those enterprises which do not think China has the most potential investment, only 3.5% of the enterprises will narrow their business in China or withdraw from China.
According to Mr AI, 52.7% of these enterprises will maintain the status quo in China, while 43.6% will be prepared to strengthen or expand their business in China.
< /p >
< p > strong > Japanese enterprises turn to Indonesia and India < /strong > /p >
< p > some Japanese companies are more willing to choose "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp "Indonesia" /a "as a new investment location after the layout of China is completed.
< /p >
"P" is now favored by Japanese manufacturing companies, mainly Indonesia and India.
< /p >
< p > in the 625 Japanese manufacturing enterprises that responded, there were 487 enterprises with more than 1 manufacturing plants in China in 2013, accounting for 77.9%.
In contrast, Indonesia has 189 (30.2%) and India 135 (21.6%).
< /p >
< p > "enterprises that can invest in China have basically come up to find new potential countries, which is natural."
Ah Ye told the author.
< /p >
Among the surveyed enterprises, 219 thought Indonesia had the most investment potential, accounting for 44.9% of the total number of enterprises; 213 chose India, accounting for 43.6%; third Japanese manufacturing enterprises considered the most potential investment countries to be Thailand, 188 selected, accounting for 38.5%; China dropped to fourth; 183 selected, accounting for 37.5%; China ranked first in 2012.
Further down is Vietnam, Brazil and other countries, but the number of enterprises there is very limited, accounting for a very low proportion.
< /p >
< p > to "give up" China, AI ye said, the survey results show that Japanese enterprises in China are mainly exported to Europe and the United States.
Since the 2008 financial crisis, China's exports have been hit by weak demand in Europe and America, which has a certain impact on Japanese companies.
< /p >
Where is the charm of Indonesia? P first of all, Indonesia has a population of 250 million, and the market's future growth is greatly anticipated.
Secondly, there are not many Japanese manufacturing companies who have invested in Indonesia. Some Japanese companies prefer to choose Indonesia as a new investment location after the layout of China has been completed.
< /p >
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< p > < --EndFragment-- > however, Indonesia's a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > labor cost < /a > also rises very fast.
The total labor force in Indonesia is quite different from that in China, and the speed and scope of labor cost increase is also faster. Japanese enterprises are not without scruples, and 41.2% of the enterprises that think Indonesia has great potential is a huge problem.
< /p >
Besides P, Indonesia's economic aggregate is only a little higher than that of China in one year.
In 2013, China's GDP increased roughly to 810 billion US dollars, and Indonesia's GDP was US $878 billion 500 million.
Indonesia has some room for development, but its population is only 1/6 of China's total, and its total economic volume is only about 1/10 of that of China.
For a while, whether Indonesia can become the first choice for Japan's manufacturing industry for a long time is very questionable.
< /p >
By contrast, India has been the second country on the list of Japan's manufacturing industry's attention list. P
In China's first place, India ranked second, but after China fell, India remained the second place.
"The biggest problem in India is the imperfections of infrastructure, which accounts for 57.2% of the total number of enterprises that have opinions."
Ah ye said.
< /p >
< p > the Japanese enterprises interviewed by the author, most of whom invest in India have much dissatisfaction with India's traffic conditions, administrative organs and labor quality.
The lack of a modern pport system has made India lose a lot in its industrial modernization.
From the point of view of revenue, in recent 5 years, the survey results of Japanese manufacturers' satisfaction with China have been maintained at 80%. In 2012, India gained less than 70%, not only in comparison with ASEAN, but also in North America and Europe.
To truly become an investment destination for Japanese enterprises, India needs to do a lot of work to improve the domestic economic conditions.
< /p >
< p > < strong > nearly 70% enterprises have not yet acted < /strong > < /p >
< p > taking into account the uncertainty of Sino Japanese relations, Japanese manufacturing enterprises are considering the risk of diversifying China's business, but there are not many practical actions.
< /p >
In 2013, Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Corporation launched two factories in China, one producing agricultural thin films and one producing polarizing thin films for LCD TV and so on. The two factories invested heavily, especially the LCD TV film factory, which is completely in scale with its mother plant in Japan, but the equipment is updated. P
There is still room for improvement in Japan's chemical industry's investment in China.
< /p >
"P," says ye ye, "80.2% of the enterprises we surveyed think that the Japanese market will shrink in the future."
Coupled with the impact of nuclear power plant accidents, Japan's electricity prices will increase significantly in the future, and the possibility of enterprises returning to Japan is unlikely.
< /p >
< p > taking into account the uncertainty of Sino Japanese relations, Japanese manufacturing enterprises are considering the risk of diversifying China's business, but there are not many practical actions.
"The result of our survey is that 83 of the 533 enterprises have pferred part of their business in China to other countries, which accounts for 15.6% of the total."
Ah ye said.
At present, 86 enterprises (16.1%) begin to study the risk of dispersing China, while 68.3% (364) enterprises do not have relevant plans.
< /p >
< p > "from the survey results, after the decentralization from China, the enterprises mainly went to Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia."
Introduction of AI Ye.
< /p >
"P >" our company put part of the assembly of industrial machinery in Vietnam, but in Vietnam, it was found that there was a lack of supporting parts, and basically all components needed to be imported from China.
The machines assembled in this way are not cheaper than those assembled in China.
The president of a famous enterprise in Nagoya said.
< /p >
< p > and the recent parade in Thailand has also begun to shake some Japanese companies that are going to invest there.
< /p >
Relatively speaking, Indonesia's investment conditions are the best, but in addition to the above mentioned labor cost increase (41.2%), there are also imperfect infrastructure (31.4%), opaque legal system (30.4%), fierce competition with other companies (29.9%), and so on. P
In the future, if Indonesia wants to get ahead, there are still a lot of homework that Japanese companies need to do.
< /p >
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