The Trend Of Garment Trade In The New Year Is Good. It Will Exceed The Same Period Last Year.
< p > industry analysis shows that in 2014, China's foreign trade continued its rebound since the second half of last year and achieved a good start.
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< p > < strong > external demand recovery is good, export < /strong > < /p >
Hu Jiangyun, a researcher at the development research center of the State Council, said that the monthly data had some contingency, and the seasonal factors such as the lunar new year had a certain disturbance on the data of the first few months of the year. Therefore, we can not simply judge the whole year's foreign trade situation in January with the situation of single month in January.
Nevertheless, the export situation in January was an objective reflection of the order situation at the end of last year. It also confirms that the markets such as the US and Europe are in the process of continuous recovery.
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< p > customs statistics show that compared with last year, the trade growth of China's major trading partners with the European Union, the United States and Japan has improved significantly. The growth rate of bilateral trade is 14.6%, 8.8% and 7.8% respectively, according to the renminbi.
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< p > Zhang Yansheng, Secretary General of the academic committee of the national development and Reform Commission, believes that economists are generally optimistic about the prospects of the three largest economies in the US, Japan and Europe this year, while the emerging economies are expected to be basically the same as last year. Global trade is generally better than last year. Under the support of external demand improvement, the prospects for further development of China's exports can be expected.
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< p > < strong > the bright spot of quality improvement and efficiency improvement is < /strong > < /p >.
Since last year, the leading position of private enterprises has become a bright spot in the development of China's foreign trade export. This trend continued in January this year, and the export growth rate of private enterprises is obviously higher than that of the state-owned enterprises and foreign-funded enterprises in the same period.
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< p > Zhang Yansheng believes that China's < a > private enterprise < /a > development is guided by market competition. The rapid growth of private enterprises exports reflects the enhancement of the endogenous growth factors of our economy, while the growth rate of import and export in the same period last year is basically consistent with that of last year, indicating that the dependence of foreign trade development on foreign-funded enterprises is decreasing, and the situation that foreign enterprises occupy half of China's foreign trade is changing continuously.
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< p > from the perspective of export commodities, the traditional seven types of labor-intensive products exported 295 billion 230 million yuan in January, an increase of 12.2% over the same period last year, continuing the good growth since last year, which is higher than the growth rate of the export of electromechanical products and high-tech products.
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< p > Zhang Yansheng believes that the export of traditional labor intensive products is still growing rapidly under the adverse effects of the rising prices of labor, land, raw materials and other factors. An important reason is that these traditional foreign trade enterprises seize the opportunity to carry out structural adjustment, and continue to accelerate their "internal strength" and adjust their structure to adapt to increasingly fierce market competition.
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< p > < strong > several risks should not be ignored < /strong > < /p >.
< p > Li Jian, a researcher at the Ministry of Commerce, said that in the face of economic difficulties and fierce competition in the market, protectionism is likely to rise. Recently, emerging market countries have more obvious signs of increasing trade frictions with China.
The weak market in developed countries in the past few years, and the rapid development of bilateral trade with emerging markets are the highlights of China's "steady external demand". However, the financial turbulence of several major emerging market countries may have an impact on China's exports.
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< p > the early warning information released by the Ministry of commerce website shows that this year, Columbia, Brazil, Thailand, India and other countries have initiated or proposed anti-dumping investigations.
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< p > Hu Jiangyun said that although the current export growth is relatively stable, the investigation of coastal foreign trade enterprises shows that the pressure of business operation has not been significantly alleviated, and the situation of foreign trade orders being small, short and scattered has not changed fundamentally, and enterprises still have wait-and-see sentiment for future development.
In addition, he believes that the current exchange rate of emerging economies has been falling and the RMB has steadily appreciated against the US dollar, leading to a steady rise in the effective exchange rate of RMB, and the exchange rate risks faced by foreign trade enterprises should not be underestimated.
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< p > experts generally expect that this year's foreign trade growth rate will remain at the single digit level, basically keeping pace with the growth rate of < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_f.asp" > GDP < /a >.
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< p > Hu Jiangyun believes that China's foreign trade has exceeded US $four trillion last year. On the basis of such a huge trade scale, the key is not the growth rate and the share of the growth rate. Instead, we should pay more attention to improving the quality and efficiency of foreign trade and enhance our position in the global industrial chain and value chain.
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< p > < < a href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > > foreign trade < /a > enterprises are faced with various disadvantages such as lack of technology, lack of professional talents, lack of channels, lack of funds and lack of standardization, which need to be seriously solved.
Zhang Yansheng said that the key to making up the short board and fostering new competitive advantages is to clarify the relationship between the government and the market and create a fair competition environment for enterprises.
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