Judging The Current Situation Of Textile Industry: The Critical Period Of Transformation Of New And Old Growth Mode Has Arrived.

At the ninth annual meeting of the China spinning Roundtable forum held recently, some economists confidently declared that Spin When the industry will usher in a golden period of development in the period of adjustment and transformation, people in the industry can not help asking themselves: who is the prepared person, who is the "right person", who can laugh last and finally harvest the pot of gold? This forum is like a telescope, allowing participants to view the future fullness in the real sense of bone. It is like a kaleidoscope, depicting the colorful new prospects for the industry. Fortunately, it is like a magnifying glass, let us see the inertia and bottleneck of the industry must break the old and establish new, adjust the breakthrough. Now let's share with you some of the brilliant ideas and exclusive analysis.

　　 Zhang Yansheng: "five transformations" is imperative

　　 "Five shortage" bottlenecks need to be solved

There is a saying in the decision: we must deepen the reform comprehensively at a new historical starting point. For textile people, what kind of new historical starting point do we stand on?

In 2005, the RMB exchange rate system reform and RMB appreciation rose to 36%. In the same year, the global textile and clothing quota system was abolished, but the Chinese textile industry was subject to the 242 clause, still facing trade sanctions and conflicts. In 2012, factor costs rose, global demand shrank and production capacity was seriously overloaded, cotton prices hung upside down, RMB appreciation accelerated and labor costs increased, friction intensified, and industrial reunification and industrial external transfer generated by re industrialization in Europe and the United States.

However, in 2012, the growth rate of R & D expenditure in textile industry accounted for GDP ratio was the best in the past 10 years. The new employment in urban and rural areas was the best in the past 10 years. The performance of the textile workers in the past 10 years tells us who will take the initiative in the early structural adjustment. Therefore, from this perspective, we suddenly find that the textile workers in the past few years have indeed stood in the new era of productivity growth in the form of adjustment and transformation.

Now the textile industry is in a critical period of transformation of the old and new growth mode. 2012 is the critical point of the new and old development mode. Over the past 30 years, the low cost driving mode, the simple imitation mode, the large-scale production mode, the extensive high carbon mode and the manufacturing leading industry mode are turning to the optimized combination mode of the elements, innovation driven mode, high quality, small batch, customization and e-commerce mode, low carbon mode, and the mode of R & D and market leading industry to solve the technology. personnel The textile industry will usher in a new "golden 30 year" problem, such as order, financing and order.

At present, the transformation and development of textile industry urgently need to solve the bottleneck problem. These bottlenecks are called "five deficiencies".

First, lack of technology. For this problem, I think we must first open up innovation and solve our technology shortage through global cooperation. The second is the introduction of advanced technology concepts, management concepts, development concepts, advanced innovation processes, and advanced innovation practices in the United States, Japan and Europe. The third is localization, in order to meet the textile transformation and development needs for technology.

Second lack of talents. Textile industry is a labor-intensive industry, and how to improve labor productivity. We find that vocational education and technical training have become more urgent than any other period.

Third missing orders. The purchasing network of multinationals has been sold and sold globally in the past, and has begun to turn to order around us, and products are sold domestically in China. At this time, we are faced with the problem of how to make channels, how to make networks and how to make brands.

Fourth lack of funds. How can we enter the textile industry on the basis of reasonable financial cost? How can we solve the problem of direct financing and indirect financing? How can we provide medium and long term financing products, markets and channels for the development and innovation of textile industry in backward areas?

Fifth lack of standardization. In the first 35 years, "transition, transformation, and crossing the river by feeling the stones". The next stage, no matter the enterprise, the industry or the whole country, must move towards the next stage. legal system Fair competition and transparency. What kind of vision will the textile industry develop in the next 35 years?

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　 Gao Yong: "four difficulties". There are many variables.

　　 Steady growth and hard won

In 2013, the development of China's textile industry was relatively stable, showing a steady growth trend. But we learned from the survey that last year was a very difficult year for enterprises. The main reasons for the analysis were four aspects:

First, China's textile industry has entered a stage of sustained low growth. From last year's income and profit growth of China's textile business owners, the situation seems to be better, but the growth rate of major products such as yarn, cloth, chemical fiber and clothing has slowed down obviously. In the planned economy period, the growth of industry must be much higher than the growth of GDP in the whole country, so as to support the growth of GDP throughout the country. Although the development of the third industry exceeds second industries, the growth rate of the textile industry last year can not fully meet the needs of the textile industry. At the same time, the growth rate of investment last year has also been greatly reduced, which has also become one of the difficult factors in the operation of the industry. In addition, the impact of raw materials on the development of the whole industry is more and more obvious. Cotton's national acquisition policy has been going on. The continuous domestic cotton price difference has a huge impact on the textile industry, resulting in greater impact on the cotton textile industry than other industries.

The two is the adjustment of enterprise structure. The current situation has led to the concentration of orders, profits, including capacity. Especially in the cotton textile industry, knitting industry, clothing industry is more obvious.

Three, the whole industry's energy saving and emission reduction situation is more and more serious. At present, energy conservation and emission reduction work can be roughly summed up in three aspects: first, energy conservation, two emission reduction, and three recycling and reuse of waste textiles. In terms of energy conservation, we have many new experiences, but there is still a big gap compared with the international advanced level. Therefore, the China Textile Federation has carried out a lot of training and consulting activities in recent years.

Four is the textile industry terminal - e-commerce, online retail, the scale is bigger and bigger, resulting in a number of clothing enterprises sales mode has undergone major changes.

Overall, the textile industry showed a steady growth pattern in 2013. In 2014, the situation of the whole textile industry is still dominated by "stability", although it will still "increase steadily", but it is "steady and changing". One is the change of raw materials, the two is the accumulation of chemical fiber industrial structure in the past few years.

As for the domestic demand market, I think there are also some variables. For clothing and home textiles consumer goods, if the level of consumption in rural areas is not raised, domestic demand will be hard to adjust.