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A Large Number Of Housing Enterprises Quickly Disappear &Nbsp; Price Reduction Or Will Be The 2012 Theme.

2012/1/26 15:07:00 9

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Housing Prices Housing Prices In Beijing

For housing prices, 2012 will not be easy.

In the past 2011, with the central government cracking down on investment speculation and regulating the property market, volume and price fell and became the main tone of the property market.

As the policy continues to tighten, inventory is increasing and funds are becoming increasingly tight, and the housing crisis is gradually increasing.

With the survival rule of survival of the fittest forced, the market will usher in a bigger round.

adjustment

。

Housing companies that are rapidly disappearing

In December 19, 2011, the Beijing Municipal Housing Construction Commission issued a document saying that the qualification certificate of 473 real estate development enterprises such as Beijing Oriental times real estate development Co., Ltd. had not been applied for renewal or the business license has been cancelled after the expiration of the validity period.

According to the relevant regulations, the development qualification of these enterprises has been cancelled.

In this regard, the Beijing Municipal Housing Construction Commission official said that this means that the 473 real estate development enterprises will not be further engaged in the development of Beijing.

To a certain extent, these 473 companies will disappear in the capital market in the future.

From the overall figure, we can see that this wave of housing prices will continue to disappear, and even aggravate the momentum.

According to the above Beijing Municipal Construction Commission responsible person, the current Beijing real estate qualification within the validity period.

enterprise

The number is about 3000.

According to the data from the land department of Beijing, in recent years, the average supply scale of the operating land sold by Beijing is less than 200 per year, and the scale of the operating land supply in the future is more and more difficult to exceed 200.

If it takes 5 years to calculate, even if 1000 Housing enterprises can get land, the housing enterprises that originally owned land should be developed in 5 years. This means that nearly five housing enterprises will not get new land after five years, and there will be new entrants every year. Then the outlet of 2000 housing enterprises may also disappear.

The disappearance of housing prices is not just in Beijing.

Wuhan Housing Authority released data in the fourth quarter of last year, as of the end of October 2011, there are 1375 real estate development enterprises in Wuhan.

Compared to 2010

Synchronization

The number of Housing enterprises has decreased by more than 200.

The cancellation of development qualification can obviously judge the life and death of housing companies, but many times, even though the housing enterprises still have the qualification for development, even the project is still in operation, and the owner behind it has changed.

For example, Poly Real estate acquired the Dongsheng Village in Haidian District, Beijing by buying shares of item company. Recently, the real estate circles in Shanghai were also entangled in Shanghai's the Bund government, and Hangzhou green city continued to throw away the burden through the way of selling the project.

According to incomplete statistics from the research department of chain home real estate market, the total number of shares sold in the listed housing enterprises in 2011 was 183, representing an increase of 72 compared with last year, an increase of 65%.

In the current situation of Housing enterprises' capital adequacy and inventory backlog, next year's equity merger will continue.

Continue

。

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Policy on the lifeblood of the property market?

with

Beijing

Take the market as an example.

It is understood that the completion of the project, the land is small, high land prices will undoubtedly determine the fate of some housing enterprises.

But this alone can not explain that compared with the qualification of 185 real estate development companies canceled last year, the number of canceling this year has increased significantly.

Secondly, reporters from the 473 Housing enterprises that cancelled the development qualification in Beijing in 2011, found that the registration time of some enterprises was 2009 and 2010, but only one or two years after they were established, they quickly cancelled. In addition, some housing enterprises had been established for nearly 20 years.

Third, not only is the cancellation of development qualification of some small housing enterprises, but also some large housing enterprises such as Beijing Shimao Investment Development Co., Ltd. are also being cancelled in this wave of housing prices.

In this regard, Beijing Shimao responsible person said that this is because the company has developed its flag.

project

。

However, analysts pointed out that this does not exclude Shimao's view of Beijing market.

Shanghai

Yang Hongxu, Minister of comprehensive research of Yi Ju Real Estate Research Institute, said that the housing companies' write off tide, the tide of mergers and acquisitions, the tide of check-out and so on are all the appearances. Behind this is the great changes in China's property market environment. Under the current market environment, the profiteering color of the property market is fading.

On the one hand, investment speculative demand has been suppressed, the market has been frozen and shunted, sales are cold, inventory is rising; on the other hand, financing costs and land costs have been raised.

Vanke Beijing executives Shaw Jin believes that China's property market is the policy market in the final analysis, and changes in policies bring about market changes. The main restriction is that policies such as restriction and loan restrictions have a greater impact on the market.

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Will price reduction be the main theme of 2012?

From the policy level, the regulation of property market in 2012 is still released from a tight and tight signal. It is the consensus of the industry that regulation will not be loosened for a certain period of time.

Reporter

Through the visit during the Spring Festival, we found that from the market side, the property market is still very cold, and the paction is in a stalemate.

In a number of sales offices and intermediary stores, what journalists generally see is closing stores.

According to Weiye, I love my family statistics. In January, 16 to 22 January, the total number of new commercial housing signs in the city of Beijing was 536 sets, which decreased by 70.2% compared with the previous week's net signing, down 83% compared with the same period last year.

The total number of second-hand housing signs in the city is 785 sets, which is 30.2% lower than that of the previous week, which has dropped by 86.5% compared with the same period last year.

World Alliance Real estate analysts believe that the competition between housing companies and even intensified mergers and acquisitions.

Deal

The adjustment of house prices will remain the main theme of 2012.

The Chinese Academy of Sciences forecast Science Research Center recently released the 2012 China economic forecast report, the comprehensive regulation policy, market supply and demand and other factors, 2012 commercial housing prices will be difficult to maintain the growth trend, and turn into the downstream channel, the average sales price of commercial housing will be reduced by about 5.3% compared to the same period.

But at the same time, some professionals pointed out that developers have no money to buy land, etc.

Final

It will force the regulation to stop.

However, what should be seen is that on the one hand, high housing prices are not sustainable. The property market has been a profiteering industry in the past. The income of housing prices is relatively high, which seriously affects the sustainability of people's livelihood and economy. In addition, through restructuring the economic structure and reconfiguring the capacity, China's economy will not only have a way out, but will also find new opportunities for development.