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    2012: The United States And The World In The Eyes Of China

    2012/1/21 9:14:00 7

    2012 Market For Economic Interests

    First, in the era of globalization, the United States and the West

    Finance

    While restructuring the world's manufacturing power, it is also gradually taking over the domestic manufacturing industry in the United States and other countries, resulting in the irretrievable loss of employment and the more uneven distribution of wealth with these countries.


    Second, the way of life and consumption in the United States has long prepaid its wealth and prosperity, so that its people and countries are accustomed to seeing it.

    finance

    Deficits and rising national debt have seriously affected the economic health of the United States and its political impact on the world.


    Third, the United States is unable to reach a consensus on fiscal balance due to political internal friction.

    Under the pressure of electoral politics, the two parties in the United States are unable to reach a consensus on the issue of fiscal revenue and opening up on the issue of fiscal balance.


    Fourthly, although the cyclical external expansion of the United States has entered a new round of global contraction, its political genes and interest demands make it unable to accept the fact that its relative strength is relatively lower.

    The United States is facing major difficulties but still seeking world domination. It will inevitably lead to internal and external contradictions, which will continue to consume national strength and accelerate changes in the world structure.


    Some of these four problems are caused by the times and some are unique to the United States.

    The restructuring of the world's manufacturing industry caused by globalization is not unique to the United States. Therefore, high unemployment and unfair distribution are common problems in the western industrialized countries.

    The western welfare system is bringing serious pressure on its fiscal balance, and public expenditure is out of control. It is far from the United States. Campaign politics makes it difficult to get a consensus on tax increase.

    The exclusive monopoly of the United States is the superhigh expenditure of the United States.

    For a long time, the United States has been overdrawn for a long time, which has made the country's body deeply eroded. Its source is the unique position of the United States dominating the world.


    If the world is in the polarity of confrontation during the cold war, the success or failure of the United States is more closely related to the interests of its allies. Today, the complex situation facing the United States is many of the inevitable consequences of its interaction with the world in the era of globalization.


    As the developing countries open the labor market, China has also given up autism. The western capital, represented by the United States, cannot restrain the urge to profit, and the emerging market itself has no intention of learning the "gunship policy" used by the west to stress the influx of foreign capital.

    Even though the currency of the country is deliberately underestimated, the US government has not prohibited its capital from investing in other countries. Instead, it has supported other countries' economic and trade relations while supporting us profits in other countries.


    It can be said that in supporting the balance between US capital overseas profit seeking and protecting the employment of our people, the two parties in the United States generally tend to the former, at the very least, adopt symbolic measures to comfort their unemployed people.


    The United States is mercenary, making it get huge short-term gains.

    As the world's largest economy, it currently does not consume the most energy in the world, and it will accompany the economic burden of economic development around the world at the same time as it gets the most wealth.

    Even though the United States has launched two wars in the past years, its economy has increased by nearly half, and its new number has increased to almost three times that of the United States.


    However, the economic shortsightedness that the US can not get rid of makes it grow its competitors fastest.

    Over the past ten years, in dollar terms, China's economic growth has reached ten times that of the United States, and its economic scale has increased from 10% in the United States to 40%. The official expenditure on military spending has narrowed from nearly 1/20 in the United States to 1/7.

    Although China's rapid rise is essentially due to China's opening up and public work, without western investment in China and technology pfer, if there is no western open market, it will be impossible.

    Although the United States still has a comprehensive advantage in emerging markets such as China, its leading position is no longer what it used to be.

    Worried about the direction of China, concerns about local squeeze, especially fear of unfair competition, are increasingly becoming the anxiety of the United States.


    It is the emerging market countries such as China that join the process of globalization and compete with the world in the international system, which is generally regulated by the western countries.

    It is not fair to say that it is "equal" competition.

    After all, the political and economic regulations in the world are mostly drawn up by the West according to their interests, and the latter only accepts.

    Moreover, China is still forced to normalize relations with the United States under the circumstances of the continuation of the US arms sales to the US, which makes it impossible for the United States to not accept China's development in this situation. This is precisely the dilemma of the US and China's short-term and long-term interests.


    Seeing the relative weakness of the United States, we cannot fail to see the strength of the United States at the same time.

    There are at least four aspects.


    First, the design of the American political system has considerable error correction capability, though it has been in danger for many years in the past ten years.

    The United States does not engage in lifelong tenure. Its power checks and balances impede consensus and make it difficult for the obvious mistakes to be maintained for a long time. Therefore, the United States will not grant other countries more than ten years of development opportunities because of its military operations in Iraq.


    Second, the values of the United States can still unite a large number of countries in the world. It is not easy to see that China can provide public products to the world in terms of values and system design at this stage.


    Third, the US level of technological innovation and education is still world-class.

    Although the manufacturing industry after the US innovation has been rapidly losing, the core profit associated with innovative manufacturing is still controlled by the United States.

    Although the competitiveness of American basic education has declined, it still dominates the world's advanced level of higher education and basic research.


    Fourth, the US military capability is still unmatched, and many countries have obtained international security public goods provided by the United States.

    The United States appeals for "return to Asia", which has been actively echoed by many countries.


    China and the United States have formed extremely complex interactions.

    China has designed a win-win economic cooperation between the two countries and has achieved great success so far.

    China has changed from a destroyer of the old world to a stakeholder who maintains the existing international order.

    The essence of American investment in China is to seek private gain, but it has to accept China's peaceful development.

    China buys us treasury bonds for its own sake, which objectively gives financial pfusion to the United States, including the continuation of overseas use of force, though the latter itself is not the direct purpose of China.

    The US dollar is more unbalanced and the dollar position is fluctuating. China's dollar assets are also facing greater risks.

    Because of this, China and the United States treat each other and get along with each other. Subtle changes have taken place in the comparison of power cognition and mentality.

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