China'S Foreign Trade Will Continue To Rebound In 2014.

< p > industry analysts believe that in 2014, China's foreign trade continued its rebound since the second half of last year and achieved a good start.

Under the background of gradually getting rid of the haze of the developed economies, the "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp "/a" and the overall good trend, the export situation is expected to be slightly better than last year, and imports will play an important role gradually, and import policy will also be further strengthened.

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< p > < strong > highlighting the difference between "quantity" and "quality" < /strong > < /p >

< p > China's foreign trade has emphasized the export earning from the beginning, and now emphasizes the balanced development of trade and the import status is gradually strengthening.

It is not difficult to see that expanding imports is conducive to China's introduction of advanced technology and equipment, satisfying people's consumption, resolving trade frictions and achieving win-win trade.

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< p >, but Bai Guangyu, an expert in the Foreign Trade Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, also reminds us: "we must not be blind to expand imports, we must grasp certain scale and direction.

The expansion of imports is not only a blind expansion in quantity sense, but also in line with the general requirements of China's foreign trade development strategy in the new era, so as to promote the sustained and stable development of the national economy.

The ultimate goal of expanding imports is to enhance the international competitiveness of local industries and promote China's pformation from a trading power to a trading power. This highlights the difference between "quantity" and "quality".

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< p > < strong > the "disaster" of trade surplus < /strong > /p >

< p > because of the huge trade surplus, the RMB exchange rate has always been the focus of attention of the international community. The low RMB exchange rate is even considered to be the root cause of global economic imbalances.

However, China's official trade figures show that China's trade surplus has slipped from its peak in 2007 (GDP to more than 10%) to a little more than 2% of GDP last year.

Nomura Securities economist Zhang Zhiwei even thinks that by 2015 the trade surplus will be reduced to 0.4% of GDP.

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< p > > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > foreign trade surplus < /a > provides sufficient foreign exchange funds for our country, but also brings a series of problems.

Niu Wenxin, chief editor and chief news commentator of CCTV's information channel, said: first, the RMB has appreciated indefinitely, which has seriously hurt the general trade export of China's independent intellectual property rights, and has suppressed the adjustment of national industry and economic structure. Second, with the reform of the mechanism of RMB exchange rate formation, RMB's monetary policy will fall into the trap of institutional contraction. Third, currency speculation is becoming more and more popular, and industrial investment is shrinking, which eventually leads to the hollowing out of China's economy.

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< p > < strong > New < a href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > > trade statistics > /a > method is more objective < /strong > /p >

In 2013, China's foreign trade import and export value exceeded US $4 trillion for the first time in the year of P.

According to the preliminary statistics of the World Trade Organization Secretariat, in 2013, the total import and export volume of China's goods amounted to US $4 trillion and 160 billion, of which the export volume was US $2 trillion and 210 billion and imports amounted to US $1 trillion and 950 billion.

In 2013, China has become the world's largest cargo trading country.

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It is not surprising that China has become the largest trading nation from the perspective of China's total economic growth and foreign trade growth rate. However, this is not the same as China has become a trading power. P

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Ni Yueju, a researcher at the Institute of world economics and politics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes that the added value Trade Statistics Act "may be beneficial to China". P

After its implementation, China's trade volume will be greatly reduced, and China's trade surplus will also be greatly reduced. China will not be the largest trading power.

In her view, China labelling the "largest trading nation" means that "China's pressure has increased a bit, and the international community may have more spearhead against China".

"However, it is worth noting that the added value trade statistics will not change the overall trade surplus in China, but will only affect the country distribution of China's trade balance.

According to the study of the US International Trade Commission, if the Sino US trade surplus based on added value is far below the current level, the surplus will not disappear. Under the added value trade statistics, China's trade surplus with other countries must be higher than the current level.

Bai Guangyu thinks.

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