Heavy Events And Indicators Impact Analysis Report This Week

　　 Monday incident: speech by ECB member Liikanen, deputy governor of the Bank of Japan, Iwata Kikuo, deputy governor of Bank of Canada, Lien Chan

On Monday, investors can take note of the opening performance of currencies in the foreign exchange market, with particular attention to whether there is any new change in the situation in Ukraine over the weekend. On the basis of the same day, the global manufacturing PMI will be released again. Which China March HSBC manufacturing PMI preview will further decline, will be exciting. Previously, the data fell for many months, and it was below 50 of the ups and downs in recent months. If the performance is weak, it will be bad for the Australian dollar.

Europe and the United States manufacturing industry PMI, the latest expectations have a slight decline compared with the previous value. Before the direction of monetary policy in Europe and the United States has not yet been clarified, the role of these forward-looking indicators such as PMI will probably be more prominent, which will have a certain impact on the short term trend of the US dollar and the euro.

　　 Tuesday incident: Delaki, President of the European Central Bank, delivered a speech at Paris Political University (Wednesday morning)

Tuesday's focus will still be on the economic data level. After entering the European era, Germany's IFO business climate index in March will take the lead in affecting market sentiment. Since then, the more important data is the performance of a series of inflation data, including CPI, PPI, retail prices and so on. The recent policy attitude of the Bank of England is still tougher. After the replacement of high-level people, the market will further speculate on its policy trend by borrowing data.

The United States also released a lot of data on the same day, including housing price index, consumer confidence in consultative chamber of Commerce and data of manufacturing industry in the regional Federal Reserve. Since a single data may be of the same importance, investors can take note of its overall performance. If it is weak, it will suppress the dollar and vice versa.

　　 Wednesday incident: Lockhart, chairman of the US Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, delivered a speech on the economic outlook, speech by the RBA vice chairman Lowe, chairman of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Proso, and the RBA announces financial stability. assessment report 。

There was a lot of attention on Wednesday. Among them, the Fed and RBA officials will make speeches on the morning of Beijing time respectively. The RBA will also publish the financial stability assessment report. For investors who trade Australian dollars, it may be worth noting.

The highlights of the US and Europe will be the GDP final data and the US durable goods orders data. Earlier, when the revised value was released, the UK's four quarter GDP annual rate had been revised, and whether the final value of the day will be down is worth noting. The US durable goods data are now expected to be better than the previous ones. If the performance is strong, the US dollar is expected to be good.

　 Thursday incident: Swiss central bank Speech by officials Fritz Zurbrugg and Dewet Moser

The main theme of Thursday is still economic data. The New Zealand trade account in the Asia Pacific region will have a direct impact on the NZD. After entering Europe and America, the US GDP and initial data will no doubt take away all the market's attention. Although entering the March, the number of data in the United States, including non-agricultural, retail and so on, has improved compared with the beginning of the year, but apparently it has not yet reached the benchmark to show that the economy is improving.

At present, from the speech made by some officials of the fed after the resolution, there is still a lot of controversy over the new look ahead guidelines and the rate increase nodes. If the relevant data in the future can not reach the height of supporting interest rates in the next spring, it may still cause the market to deflect.

　 Friday incident: member of the ECB Governing Council Noah Speech, Chicago Fed chairman Evans speech

Japan will also unveiled a series of macroeconomic data during the Asian session on Friday. As the final exam before the sales tax increase in early April, Japan's data performance will have a significant reference to the Bank of Japan. For the yen, the trend may be faced with more additional choices. The challenge of whether the data will continue to improve and whether the Japanese yen will continue to be favorable to the US dollar will be a challenge because if the data is better, especially CPI, the Bank of Japan will have room for a temporary wait and see.

The US side will announce February personal income, core PCE price index and consumer confidence index of University of Michigan in March, which is also very important to the US dollar trend. Considering that the market will face another super week next week, investors may need to do a good job in controlling the risks ahead.