Expert: PX For Textile Industry
< p > over reliance on imports will threaten industrial safety and import volume should be controlled within 30%.
In recent years, many PX projects have been stranded in protest in recent years. Besides the investors, there are also downstream users who are more anxious.
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< p > < strong > What if there is no PX? Can PX only rely on imports? < /strong > /p >
The largest downstream product of < p > PX is fiber.
Duan Xiaoping, President of the China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, told the China Economic Weekly that in the textile industry, chemical fiber accounts for 80% of the total fiber processing. 80% of the chemical fiber is made from PTA, and PTA takes PX as raw material. In this way, the impact of PX on textile raw materials is more than 60%.
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< p > nowadays, China's steel, cement, electrolytic aluminum and other industries are facing the problem of overcapacity.
Cao Xianghong, academician of the Chinese Academy of engineering, said that refining capacity is now also surplus, and that many downstream chemical products are also overproduced. Only PX capacity is not excessive, and shortages depend heavily on imports.
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< p > Cao Xianghong introduced that in 2013, China consumed 16 million 460 thousand tons of PX, of which 7 million 590 thousand tons were produced, 8 million 870 thousand tons were imported, and the dependence on imports reached 53.9%, increasing year by year.
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< p > Xiaoping pointed out that according to the import dependence of PX, the number he grasped is far more than the data given by the chemical industry. In 2013, it has exceeded 60%. If there is no new project, the import dependency will exceed 65% in 2014, because the amount of PX in the chemical fiber industry is getting bigger and larger, and the domestic PX projects are so few.
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< p > < strong > China's technological level world third < /strong > < /p >
< p > PX is the biggest use in the textile industry. Xiaoping said that at present, chemical fiber can replace all the traditional natural fibers, but only because of the consumption concept and habit, we can see whether we are willing to choose any cotton or silk, wool or linen products. We can find alternatives in chemical fiber, but there is no natural fiber to completely replace polyester, and chemical fiber has more than half of the status in clothing, home textiles and other fields.
In addition, because it has high strength, flame retardancy, fatigue resistance and other special properties, it is also widely used in building materials, geotextiles, medical and health materials and so on.
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< p > Xiaoping said that PX is irreplaceable whether it is physical or performance.
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< p > some people think PX is backward technology.
Cao Xianghong said, this is wrong understanding, PX technology itself is advanced, China's level of technology in this field is also advanced: at present, it is the third in the world, the first is the United States, and the second is France.
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< p > according to Cao Xianghong, after more than 20 years of long term research, China has recently solved a difficult problem of PX Technology: PX has three isomers. It needs to create a ball with very small particles and separate three isomers. The technical difficulty is very great. After breaking through, we have mastered the whole technology and realized localization.
At present, the 600 thousand ton PX plant built in Hainan is the first project built by China's autonomous technology, and its technical index is higher than the international level.
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< p > < strong > rely on import threat > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > industrial safety < /a > /strong > /p >
< p > Cao Xianghong introduced that at present many countries are producing PX to meet the demand of downstream industry chain. The US capacity is mainly concentrated in the Houston area, producing 4 million 300 thousand tons a year, Japan produced 3 million 900 thousand tons last year, while South Korea is 6 million 180 thousand tons.
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< p > China is the largest textile country in the world. The large demand for fiber has led to the rapid growth of PX demand.
In all parts of China, the slow progress of the new PX project, which is often a twists and turns, has been stranded because of the public resistance. This gives Korea the opportunity to rapidly expand its capacity: in 2014, three sets of PX installations were put into operation in Korea, which were 1 million tons, 1 million 300 thousand tons and 2 million 300 thousand tons respectively. According to the situation of construction, South Korea's PX production capacity could increase to 10 million 500 thousand tons by 2017.
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First, China will lose the pricing power. The upstream raw materials are controlled by others. The price is entirely the same as others. What we can do is to increase the prices of these downstream products such as PTA and PET, and pass them to the terminal products successively.
PX products manufactured by ordinary people will rise in price and affect the interests of consumers.
Secondly, what is more serious is that industrial safety is affected by imports, and if the other side stops supply, we will be at a loss.
Xiaoping said, this is not a high degree of dependence on grain and energy.
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< p > because chemical fiber can completely replace natural fibers, the development of chemical fiber industry can alleviate the contradiction between grain and cotton competition.
Cao Xianghong once again introduced the calculation: 1 tons of PX can produce 1.77 tons of polyester fiber, if planted cotton, 1 acres of land can produce 380~400 kilograms of seed cotton, seed cotton processing into lint, 1 mu of land can produce 135~140 kilograms of lint; 1 tons of PX is equivalent to 12 mu of fiber production; if not on the PX project, using cotton to fill this demand, 1 million tons of PX project is equivalent to 12 million acres of land......
People worry about pollution in the production process of < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > PX < /a > but in the process of planting cotton, chemical fertilizers and pesticides will still be used, which will still pollute the soil and water.
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< p > > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > end Xiaoping < /a > indicates that from the user's point of view, he thinks that the import of PX is controlled within 30%, which is relatively safe for the industry. Considering that our country's external dependence on resources is relatively high, the upstream of contacts is crude oil refining and chemical enterprises. 100%, it is unrealistic to solve the problem by ourselves, nor does it conform to the principle of international allocation of resources after joining WTO.
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< p > "the present contradiction is mainly the public's concern. People talk about chemical discoloration, which is totally different from the situation abroad."
Xiaoping believes that to solve this problem, on the one hand, the project must do well the work of EIA and so on from the planning stage, and the government must strictly control the information and make public the information. Then, in the production process, we must strictly monitor the safety and emission. On the other hand, the approval of the PX project should be further liberalized, allowing more private enterprises to come in. Now only refinery enterprises can do it, and refining and chemical enterprises are basically state-owned enterprises.
We should let go of some eligible private enterprises, especially those with relatively large PTA capacity, allowing them to take part in PX projects, which will make the government more objective.
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