Next Year I Will Encounter A Standard Dispute Over Exports.

Facing the shrinking of international trade under the financial crisis, the Ministry of Commerce issued a warning to domestic export enterprises that the threat of trade protectionism is increasing all over the world, and the situation of trade friction will be more severe next year.

In addition, the rising risk of foreign exchange and trade is also worth the vigilance of export enterprises.

In response, the officials of the Ministry of Commerce, the central bank and other government officials and representatives of the banking industry who attended the seventh annual import and export enterprise meeting last weekend responded to the joint efforts to help export enterprises tide over the difficulties.

At the same time, experts suggest that trade barriers will focus on the "standard dispute".

Fu Ziying, Vice Minister of commerce at the seventh annual conference of import and export enterprises, said that the economic downturn is a catalyst for trade protectionism. China has always been the hardest hit area of international trade protectionism, and the situation of trade friction will only be more severe next year.

Fu Ziying analyzed that many countries and regions had slowed down their economic growth and increased unemployment. Some countries had internal calls for resisting imports, protecting domestic industries and employment; some countries had abused trade emergency measures and raised market access standards; some began to implement an automatic licensing export system, and had strict scrutiny and examination of many products suspected of being exported at low prices; and some countries adopted disguised trade protectionism under the banner of "two counter two guarantees", intellectual property rights and product quality.

At the same time, China must also guard against the substantial increase in foreign exchange and trade risks.

The Ministry of Commerce pointed out that the financial crisis caused many countries' financial market liquidity to be scarce. Some countries' importers even broke up the capital chain, which led to the fact that some of our products could not receive payment after they were issued.

It is understood that in the first 10 months of this year, the compensation paid by China Export and Credit Insurance Corp to enterprises was as high as $150 million, up 174% from the same period last year.

Besides, the accelerated adjustment of the international industrial structure will also impact China's existing foreign trade structure.

Last month, the EU's 200 billion euro stimulus plan put forward the real economy to save member countries.

"This change will, to a certain extent, have an impact on China's absorption of foreign capital and foreign trade, especially in the international high-end manufacturing industry."

Fu Ziying said.

Jia Jinsi, a professor at Capital University of Economics and Business, said that the number of trade frictions will increase next year, and there will be new changes in the means of trade protection in all countries.

The signs of increasing trade frictions have been revealed by the end of this year.

Anti dumping has always been the main way of trade friction in China, and countervailing has risen in recent times.

In December 15th, China lost in the dispute over imports of auto parts between the United States and Europe, and the United States and Mexico put forward a request for countervailing negotiations with China on the 19 day.

"But these measures are somewhat old-fashioned. What worries us is that the international trade disputes in 2009 will be more standard."

Jia Jinsi thinks.

She told reporters that the severe foreign trade situation will force exporters to adjust their production structure and speed up the upgrading of the whole industry, especially those industries that are not competitive in export and are competitive.

The biggest impact of the "standard dispute" is the export of food processing, mechanical and electrical production and so on. Under the crisis, the protection of domestic industries will be accelerated, and all countries will speed up the formulation of new standards.

Jia Jinsi believes that our government departments and trade associations should play more service responsibilities, and there may also be a number of professional intermediary services.

"For example, the standards of textile products export are very complex, and countries are not the same, and some enterprises do not even know the domestic standards," she said.

Enterprises should use financial instruments to avoid risks. Fu Ziying said that enterprises do not have the market initiative to import and export, and it is also one of the reasons for the increasing number of trade frictions.

Therefore, enterprises should dynamically monitor the changes in import and export commodity prices, and take effective measures to enhance the initiative of import and export pricing of comparative advantage products.

Shen Bingxi, deputy director of the financial market division of the people's Bank of China at the annual conference on import and export, said that in the 30 financial regulations recently issued by the State Council, measures have been proposed to encourage financial institutions to carry out export credit business, and import and export enterprises can choose according to their own conditions.

In addition, due to the volatility of the international financial market, the interest rate and exchange rate risks faced by some import and export enterprises are increasing correspondingly. It is necessary for enterprises to use some hedging tools to lock risks or reduce financial costs, such as the use of interest derivatives and exchange rate derivatives already existing in the market to spread risks.

The demand elasticity of our export products is relatively small, that is, whether the economic situation is good or bad, there is a certain demand.

The process of division and elimination will be a process of "shuffle" in an industry.

"When the international economic situation is bad, small export enterprises are more flexible and short in capital chain. Although large enterprises are rich in capital, it is difficult to" turn around "and cash flow control is difficult.

Jia Jinsi told reporters that next year, the medium-sized export enterprises will become strong large enterprises or become smaller businesses and increase flexibility.

Enterprises should pay more attention to the compression of internal costs, increase the ability to resist risks, and maintain better corporate reputation in order to compete for permanent market.

Yang Jing: editor in charge