In The Second Half Of 2014, The Stable Price Of Domestic Mink Will Be Tentatively Pulled Up.

< p > in the past < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_z.asp" > convention < /a >, in August and September, the production order mode of downstream leather clothing, leather clothing, leather shoes and other processing enterprises will gradually open.

The number of orders, on the one hand, objectively reflects the sales situation in the downstream market, and on the other hand determines the future trend of the price of mink.

Understand from the market, every year in August and September, the price of domestic mink skin has been raised. However, considering all factors, journalists believe that this year's domestic mink rebound pressure is not small, the price increase is difficult and in the past.

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< p > first, from the supply side, since 2008, the marten market can not be said to be soaring all the way, but it can also be said to be a lot of profits. Under the stimulation of considerable profits, the market in this industry has gradually increased, and the scale of aquaculture has increased rapidly, resulting in a sharp increase in market supply, resulting in a large number of fur and leather clothing hoarding, and the sharp decline in prices is inevitable.

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< p > secondly, as far as market demand is concerned, fur and products are still mainly sold domestically at present. At present, the domestic market accounts for about 80% of the gross consumer market. Most of them are in the form of production bases, fur market, wholesale markets, stores and stores.

In China, the concentrated consumption of mink is in winter, and the degree of cold weather determines sales.

The impact of warm winter in 2013 caused heavy sales of fur products and a large backlog of stocks. According to relevant reports, the remaining goods were hoarding up to 50%-60%.

The disadvantage of terminal consumer market is directly reflected in the reduction of raw material procurement.

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The fashion preference of < p > > a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_z.asp" > consumer < /a >, that is, the trend of popularity, also affects the demand of raw materials.

In the past few years, domestic consumers favored the mink, blue fox and raccoon skin, which directly promoted the soaring prices of raw materials. Therefore, the trend of fashion in the containment of raw material prices should not be underestimated.

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< p > however, the positive factors are also obvious.

First of all, last year's overall market downturn made aquaculture and production affected. This year, the market fur traders generally reduced, and some of the market reduction actions were obvious.

According to reports, a number of merchants in Wendeng, Shandong, have chosen to reduce the number of breeding mink, the highest reduction is 70%, mink stock has decreased compared with previous years, it is reported that Shandong Zhucheng mink stock decreased by nearly 20% compared with previous years, these will provide favorable conditions for later price rebound.

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< p > secondly, from the perspective of < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_z.asp > > export > /a", the fur materials in China are mainly imported, and fur and products are mostly exported.

Data show that in the 1~6 months of 2014, the top 8 fur and export products in China were Russia, China, Hongkong, Vietnam, South Korea, Italy, Germany, the United States and Turkey. From this we can see that Russia is China's largest export consumer.

As of June 2014, China exported 577.71 tons of fur garments to Russia, an increase of 47.99% over the same period last year, accounting for 59.63% of the total export volume.

From the data, China's exports to Russia increased substantially over the past year. This may become the signal of the price trend this winter - no longer as the price of last winter has fallen sharply.

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< p > Third, the price trend of international auction houses affects the pricing of domestic market to a certain extent.

According to observation, the auction price difference between June 2014 and April in Copenhagen is -3%, which is basically flat, but it is higher than the auction price of June in NAFA5 months and in the family fur market. The auction price of the family fur trade in June is increasing than that of the current international level. The price of mink in the NAFA5 month is still strong, compared with the auction price of the last 2014 period in general.

It is noteworthy that Copenhagen, NAFA, and the family fur and mink are basically sold 100%, and China buys more homes.

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< p > according to the price of international main auction houses, the price of marten fur is still not likely to fall deep, partly or will rebound.

However, in view of the end of 2013, market hoarding is not small, (according to traders, Shandong Wendeng fur trading market, as of June 2014 stockpile conservatism estimated at about 4 million) need to have a market digestion process, so it is good or will be visible next year.

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< p > in the latter half of this year, the price of homemade marten is mainly stable, and part of the price of the marten will be increased. The estimated price will be 10-60 yuan / Zhang, and the rebound will still need to wait for the downstream sales.

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