7.5% Foreign Trade Confusion

< p > the first half of the year < a href= "http:// www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > foreign trade < /a > the situation is not optimistic: external demand is insufficient, production costs are high, trade friction is frequent. The prospect of China's foreign trade is "confused". However, the domestic economic structure is being adjusted, and more micro stimulus policies will be launched in the second half of the year, which will form some positive effects. Can China's foreign trade achieve a target of 7.5% growth in the whole year? < /p >
< p > August 4th, the Ministry of Commerce issued a document saying that it will accelerate the cultivation of new advantages in foreign trade competition and strive to accomplish the target of foreign trade growth in the whole year. < /p >
< p > "annual foreign trade growth target and task" is the annual growth target of 7.5% of foreign trade proposed in this year's government work report. Earlier, Ministry of Commerce spokesman said that 7.5% of the target of foreign trade growth can be achieved through hard work. However, there are other people in the industry who question this, and think that the goal is still challenging for China's foreign trade. < /p >
Zhang Ji, director of the foreign trade division of the Ministry of Commerce, has estimated that the annual growth target of 7.5% of foreign trade is to be completed in the government work report. The average monthly growth rate will reach 13.3% in the first 6 months of this year. < /p >
< p > export trade is known as one of the "three carriages" driving GDP growth. In the second half of the year has passed a period of time, 7.5% of the target is far away? < /p >
< p > < strong > external distress is inevitable, < /strong > /p >
< p > insufficient external demand, high production costs and frequent trade frictions. China's foreign trade has encountered a series of unfavorable factors. In the first half of this year, the total value of China's imports and exports was 12 trillion and 400 billion yuan, down 0.9% compared to the same period last year. In dollar terms, the total value of imports and exports was 2 trillion and 20 billion US dollars, up 1.2% over the same period last year. < /p >
< p > actually, our foreign ministry's economic environment has not been ideal in recent months. < /p >
< p > "the international market is shrinking. The statistics of the unemployment rate in the United States basically have 5 caliber, often with the most favorable caliber to declare the unemployment rate. In the long run, if Japan fails to find jobs, it will voluntarily give up employment and do not take statistics into account. Jiang Yong, a researcher at the national strategy research center, told reporters that the so-called recovery in the international market is not solid. < /p >
After the financial crisis of 2008 P, the major economies suffered from economic calamity. The foreign trade in the whole world has been in a contraction period. < /p >
< p > he said that China's foreign trade volume increased absolutely, but the growth rate was decreasing. The main reason is that the world economy is declining and our foreign trade frictions are increasing. < /p >
< p > "there will be a turning point in the future of China's foreign trade and even the growth of the coastal economy. This turning point is that the pulling force of foreign trade will be smaller than that of investment, and this turning point will definitely emerge." Jiang Yong told reporters. < /p >
"P >" at present, China and its reliance on domestic demand and investment to boost economic growth are not too high expectations. Foreign exchange has long been saturated, and now it has become a burden. External influences on China's foreign trade will be affected. However, the impact is relatively small and the most difficult time has passed. The pulling effect of foreign trade is not as good as before. Cao Jiuqiang also told reporters so. < /p >
< p > < strong > internal adjustment is the key < /strong > < /p >.
< p > many people in the industry expressed concern about whether China can maintain its competitiveness in foreign trade. Judging from the survey of the Ministry of Commerce, China's foreign trade is still competitive. < /p >
In August 4th, the Ministry of Commerce issued a document that mentioned that in the first half of the year, despite the grim situation, China's import and export growth began to stabilize and pick up, and positive progress was made in the way and structure of foreign trade P. < /p >
< p > "because the decision to increase GDP is the three carriages of investment, consumption and exports. At present, domestic investment is relatively high, and consumption growth can still be achieved. The decline of exports and imports will have some impact. However, there may be some micro stimulus policies in the second half of the year, and the annual growth target is not very difficult to achieve. Cao Jiuqiang told reporters. < /p >
< p > our government also attaches great importance to foreign trade. In recent years, the State Council has continuously promulgated policies and measures to promote steady growth and structural adjustment of foreign trade. Not long ago, the general office of the State Council issued a number of opinions on supporting the steady growth of foreign trade. The "opinion" is based on the current need to stabilize foreign trade growth and to optimize the foreign trade structure in the long run, which is also conducive to creating new competitive advantages for China's foreign trade. < /p >
< p > in order to judge the true foreign trade situation, from the end of May to the beginning of June, the Ministry of Commerce organized 10 working groups to carry out research and policy propaganda in 14 provinces (districts and cities) such as a href= "http:// www.91se91.com/news/index_p.asp" > Guangdong < /a > Jiangsu, etc., and went deep into grass-roots, port and port terminals to understand the difficulties and suggestions of foreign trade enterprises, and to speed up the implementation of relevant policies through research. < /p >
"P >" after 2008, the growth rate of foreign trade has been dropping faster, and now it has basically adapted to it. However, the drop in imports is a bit surprising, because domestic consumption is not bad. At present, the central government has many measures to stimulate the economy, and the fiscal room is relatively large, plus the dividend from the reform release. It is not difficult to achieve the annual growth target. Moreover, the state is ready to adjust the consumption tax and expand domestic demand. Cao Jiuqiang told reporters. < /p >
< p > he said that the current export structure is adjusted to match the domestic economic transformation. Although the growth rate is decreasing, the total export volume is increasing. After all, China's economy is growing at a relatively high speed. As long as the growth of domestic economy is relatively high, personal income will increase rapidly and imports will increase. The international recession will not lead to a reduction in China's domestic demand. < /p >
< p > "China should rely on consumption demand in the future to stimulate domestic investment and consumption demand. We need to continuously strengthen the direct investment of the government or state-owned enterprises, and seek new breakthroughs in the fields of high technology and independent innovation. Jiang Yong told reporters. < /p >
< p > experts also said that we should constantly cultivate new advantages in foreign trade competition, encourage high-tech and high-tech content from policy, and strive to achieve "deep processing, high added value, top grade, a href=" http:// "www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > brand name < /a >. For processing trade, we should extend the industrial chain, which also brings adjustment opportunities to China's foreign trade and enterprises. < /p >
< p > although the role of commodity exports has been relatively lower than that of 20 years ago in the proportion of China's macro-economy, exports as one of the three carriages of China's economy remain essential. It can be said that 7.5% of the target of foreign trade growth is not a problem, but the government needs to increase investment to stimulate consumption. After all, maintaining stable growth of foreign trade is a long-term strategic task that is in line with China's national conditions and is conducive to China's economic development. < /p >